Monza vs Udinese Prognoza

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Typowanie AI Udinese lub remis
33%
31%
36%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Monza vs Udinese: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Monza na 33%, Udinese na 36%, a remisu na 31%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 29 Aug 2026, 18:29.

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Match Report

Udinese claimed a dramatic 3–2 victory at Monza in a first half that proved decisive. Jakub Piotrowski opened the scoring on 32 minutes, but Monza responded swiftly through Andrea Colpani five minutes later to level. Udinese then seized control emphatically, with Hassane Kamara and Jürgen Ekkelenkamp both striking in the final moments of the first half to send the visitors into the break with a commanding 3–1 advantage.

Monza pushed for a comeback after the interval, and Gustavo Varela pulled one back on 63 minutes to set up a tense finale. Despite the hosts' efforts, Udinese's defence held firm to preserve the win, with both sides finishing level on shots on target at five apiece in an evenly contested second half. The match remained in the balance long enough to keep Monza's hopes alive, but the damage done before the break ultimately proved irreparable.

The result was the most likely outcome according to our pre-match AI model, which had rated an Udinese win as the top probability at 36%. Udinese move through with three points, while Monza are left to rue a catastrophic five-minute spell late in the first half.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 32'
Jakub Piotrowski assist: Hassane Kamara
Andrea Colpani assist: Ricardo Mangas
37' ⚽ 1–1
⚽ 1–2 45'
Hassane Kamara
⚽ 1–3 45+3'
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp
HT 1–3
Lorenzo Lucchesi Yellow Card
46' ▮
Manga Foe Ondoa ⇄ Michael Folorunsho
54' ⇄
⇄ Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
54' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Jakub Piotrowski ⇄ Lennon Miller
⇄ 60'
Unai Gómez ⇄ Oier Zarraga
Lorenzo Lucchesi ⇄ Filippo Delli Carri
61' ⇄
Gustavo Varela assist: Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
63' ⚽ 2–3
⇄ 68'
Keinan Davis ⇄ Idrissa Gueye
⇄ 68'
Enzo Ebosse ⇄ Nicolò Bertola
Samuele Birindelli ⇄ Omari Forson
84' ⇄
Andrea Colpani ⇄ Dany Mota
84' ⇄
⇄ 85'
Mërgim Vojvoda ⇄ Juan Arizala
FT 2–3
Monza

Match Stats

Udinese
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Corner Kicks 3
4 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
420 Total passes 420
344 Passes accurate 336
11 Free Kicks 10
Monza
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Gustavo Varela F 7.5 90' 1 – 3 15 (10%) –
28 Andrea Colpani M 7.3 84' 1 – 2 17 (15%) –
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M 6.7 36' – 1 – 32 (31%) –
7 Ricardo Mangas M 6.7 90' – 1 – 35 (24%) –
11 Omari Forson F 6.5 6' – – – 6 (6%) –
47 Dany Mota F 6.5 6' – – 1 4 (4%) –
15 Filippo Delli Carri D 6.3 29' – – – 27 (25%) –
60 Eddy Kouadio D 6.2 90' – – – 52 (42%) 1
44 Andrea Carboni D 6.2 90' – – 2 55 (43%) 2
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M 6.0 54' – – 2 18 (18%) 2
90 Michael Folorunsho M 5.9 36' – – 2 27 (22%) 1
10 Patrick Cutrone M 5.9 90' – – 1 17 (15%) 2
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D 5.9 61' – – – 30 (29%) –
20 Demba Thiam G 5.7 90' – – – 30 (21%) –
19 Samuele Birindelli M 5.7 84' – – 1 25 (18%) 1
Udinese
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Hassane Kamara M 7.8 90' 1 1 1 30 (25%) 2
24 Jakub Piotrowski M 7.7 60' 1 – 3 32 (26%) 3
32 Jürgen Ekkelenkamp M 7.4 90' 1 – 3 26 (21%) –
28 Oumar Solet D 6.7 90' – – – 52 (47%) 1
77 Enzo Ebosse D 6.6 68' – – – 49 (45%) 1
7 Idrissa Gueye F 6.6 22' – – 1 8 (2%) –
20 Juan Arizala M 6.4 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
46 Unai Gómez M 6.3 60' – – 2 18 (11%) 1
9 Keinan Davis F 6.3 68' – – 2 20 (16%) –
8 Jesper Karlström M 6.2 90' – – – 37 (33%) –
13 Nicolò Bertola D 6.1 22' – – – 6 (4%) –
23 Mërgim Vojvoda M 6.1 85' – – – 54 (43%) 1
40 Maduka Okoye G 6.0 90' – – – 43 (25%) –
14 James Abankwah D 6.0 90' – – – 30 (26%) 1
38 Lennon Miller M 5.9 30' – – – 8 (5%) –
6 Oier Zarraga M 5.8 30' – – – 6 (6%) –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Udinese lub remis
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Monza
WLDWL
Udinese
LLLWW
Last 3 meetings Monza · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Monza will face Udinese in a Serie A clash on August 29, 2026. Both teams have shown contrasting forms in the league, with Monza seeking to leverage their attacking prowess, having averaged 1.5 goals per match this season. Udinese, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The outcome may hinge on Monza's ability to convert chances and Udinese's resilience at the back. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points in the early season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Monza
Gustavo Varela 4 gls
Udinese
H. Kamara 2 gls
J. Ekkelenkamp 2 gls

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Head to Head: Monza vs Udinese

1 Monza Wins
1 Draws
1 Udinese Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 May 2025 Udinese 1 - 2 Monza
09 Dec 2024 Monza 1 - 2 Udinese
03 Feb 2024 Udinese 0 - 0 Monza
Zobacz wszystkie 6 spotkania — Premium

Monza — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Sassuolo W 2 - 1
13 Sep A Lecce L 3 - 2
06 Sep A Parma D 1 - 1
01 Sep A Torino W 0 - 1
29 Aug H Udinese L 2 - 3

Udinese — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cagliari L 0 - 1
14 Sep A Inter L 5 - 3
07 Sep H Lazio L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Venezia W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Monza W 2 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Udinese

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá
40 Okoye
28 Solet
77 Ebosse
14 Abankwah
11 Kamara
8 Karlström
24 Piotrowski
23 Vojvoda
32 Ekkelenkamp
46 Gómez
9 Davis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Okoye G
14 J. Abankwah D
77 E. Ebosse D
28 O. Solet D
23 M. Vojvoda M
24 J. Piotrowski M
8 J. Karlström M
11 H. Kamara M
46 Unai Gómez M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
9 K. Davis F

Substitutes

6 Oier Zarraga M
20 J. Arizala M
13 N. Bertola D
2 S. Goglichidze D
7 I. Gueye F
4 S. Lovrić M
38 L. Miller M
41 B. Mrozek G
93 D. Padelli G
79 D. Pejiči㇠M
45 G. Vinciati F

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá
20 Thiam
44 Carboni
3 Lucchesi
60 Kouadio
28 Colpani
7 Mangas
8 Ondoa
19 Birindelli
9 Varela
10 Cutrone

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 D. Thiam G
60 E. Kouadio D
3 L. Lucchesi D
44 A. Carboni D
19 S. Birindelli M
8 M. Ondoa M
7 Ricardo Mangas M
28 A. Colpani M
10 P. Cutrone M
9 Gustavo Varela F

Substitutes

46 Jay Robinson F
14 E. Akinsanmiro M
47 Dany Mota F
5 Y. Maye D
11 O. Forson F
90 M. Folorunsho M
15 F. Delli Carri D
21 L. Colombo M
24 A. Bakoune D
6 V. Antov D

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