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Bayern München vs Union Berlin Prognoza

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Bayern München

Bayern München

Home
7 : 0
HT 3 - 0
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Away
Allianz Arena, München
Typowanie AI Bayern München wygrywa
89%
7%
3%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Bayern München vs Union Berlin: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Bayern München na 89%, Union Berlin na 3%, a remisu na 7%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 18 Sep 2026, 20:25.

Typy Premium

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Gospodarz strzeli 2+ 71%
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Match Report

Bayern München dismantled Union Berlin with a dominant 7–0 victory at home, with the tone set early through Jamal Musiala's opener in the 18th minute. Harry Kane converted a penalty on the stroke of half-time following Felix Uduokhai's yellow card, and Michael Olise added a third in first-half stoppage time to send Bayern in with a commanding 3–0 lead. Union Berlin's discipline was also a concern, picking up two yellow cards before the break.

The second half brought no relief for the visitors. Kane struck again on 54 minutes before Ismael Saibari added a fifth on 70 minutes. Olise then completed a second-half hat-trick with goals in the 73rd and 76th minutes, rounding off a thoroughly one-sided evening. The stats underlined Bayern's total control — 68% possession, 15 shots on target to Union's two, and a 9–2 advantage in corners.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win as most likely at 89%, a call that proved well-founded. Union Berlin, limited to just three total shots across the entire match, offered almost nothing going forward.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jamal Musiala assist: Alphonso Davies
18' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 38'
Felix Uduokhai Yellow Card
Harry Kane Penalty
39' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 42'
Rani Khedira Yellow Card
Michael Olise assist: Jamal Musiala
43' ⚽ 3–0
Dayot Upamecano ⇄ Kim Min-jae
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Emmanuel Latte Lath ⇄ Tim Skarke
Dayot Upamecano Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 3–0
Harry Kane assist: Michael Olise
54' ⚽ 4–0
⇄ 60'
Janik Haberer ⇄ Aljoscha Kemlein
⇄ 60'
Woo-Yeong Jeong ⇄ Livan Burcu
Luis Díaz ⇄ Ismael Saibari
63' ⇄
Aleksandar Pavlović ⇄ Tom Bischof
63' ⇄
Ismael Saibari assist: Alphonso Davies
70' ⚽ 5–0
⇄ 71'
Christopher Trimmel ⇄ Zeno Van Den Bosch
Michael Olise assist: Tom Bischof
73' ⚽ 6–0
Michael Olise assist: Tom Bischof
76' ⚽ 7–0
Harry Kane ⇄ S. Gnabry
77' ⇄
▮ 78'
Livan Burcu Yellow Card
⇄ 82'
András Schäfer ⇄ Derrick Köhn
Alphonso Davies ⇄ Nathaniel Brown
83' ⇄
FT 7–0
Bayern München

Match Stats

Union Berlin
68% Ball Possession 32%
23 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 1
5 Blocked Shots 0
14 Shots insidebox 2
9 Shots outsidebox 1
9 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
637 Total passes 297
586 Passes accurate 223
8 Free Kicks 12
Bayern München
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Michael Olise M 9.6 90' 3 1 6 59 (51%) 3
19 Alphonso Davies D 9.0 83' – 2 – 64 (60%) 2
10 Jamal Musiala M 9.0 90' 1 1 2 38 (31%) 1
9 Harry Kane F 8.2 77' 2 – 5 12 (9%) 1
34 Ismael Saibari M 7.9 27' 1 – 4 16 (16%) –
8 Tom Bischof M 7.8 27' – 2 1 30 (27%) –
4 Jonathan Tah D 7.5 90' – – 1 58 (57%) 3
3 Kim Min-jae D 7.4 44' – – – 34 (31%) –
44 Josip Stanišić D 7.4 90' – – 1 52 (49%) –
1 Manuel Neuer G 7.3 90' – – – 23 (22%) –
6 Joshua Kimmich M 7.2 90' – – – 93 (84%) 1
45 Aleksandar Pavlović M 7.2 63' – – – 77 (74%) 1
11 Nathaniel Brown D 7.1 7' – – – 7 (7%) –
2 Dayot Upamecano D 7.0 46' – – – 38 (35%) –
14 Luis Díaz M 7.0 63' – – 2 31 (28%) –
7 S. Gnabry F 6.5 13' – – 1 5 (5%) –
Union Berlin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Michel Aebischer M 6.5 90' – – – 22 (20%) 4
1 Frederik Rønnow G 6.5 90' – – – 33 (19%) –
14 Leopold Querfeld D 6.4 90' – – – 41 (36%) 4
29 Emmanuel Latte Lath F 6.3 46' – – – 7 (3%) –
19 Janik Haberer M 6.2 60' – – 1 16 (15%) 2
9 Livan Burcu F 6.1 30' – – – 6 (5%) 1
6 Aljoscha Kemlein M 6.0 30' – – – 11 (7%) –
13 András Schäfer M 5.9 82' – – – 27 (22%) 4
11 Woo-Yeong Jeong M 5.9 60' – – – 12 (9%) 1
21 Tim Skarke M 5.9 44' – – – 7 (4%) –
8 Rani Khedira M 5.6 90' – – – 8 (7%) 1
2 Felix Uduokhai D 5.5 90' – – – 38 (31%) 2
4 Zeno Van Den Bosch D 5.5 19' – – – 5 (3%) –
17 Derrick Köhn D 5.4 8' – – 1 3 (3%) –
15 Tom Rothe D 5.4 90' – – 1 35 (25%) 5
28 Christopher Trimmel D 5.0 71' – – – 25 (13%) –
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Confidence High (89%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Bayern München wygrywa
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Bayern München
WWWDW
Union Berlin
LLLDW
Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Bayern München hosts Union Berlin. Bayern has demonstrated a potent offensive line, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, while Union Berlin has struggled defensively, conceding over 1.5 goals per game. Union will likely aim to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, but their lack of consistent scoring could be a significant disadvantage. Bayern's recent form, coupled with their strong home performance, suggests they will be favored to secure a victory in this matchup.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Bayern München now leads 8-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Bayern München leads 7-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

78' Goal 85% sure

Bayern München now leads 7-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 34.8%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Bayern München leads 6-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

74' Goal 85% sure

Bayern München now leads 6-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 43.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bayern München
M. Olise 4 gls
H. Kane 3 gls
Union Berlin
T. Skarke 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs Union Berlin

1 Bayern München Wins
2 Draws
0 Union Berlin Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Bayern München 4 - 0 Union Berlin
08 Nov 2025 Union Berlin 2 - 2 Bayern München
15 Mar 2025 Union Berlin 1 - 1 Bayern München
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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Union Berlin W 7 - 0
13 Sep A SV Elversberg W 1 - 2
10 Sep H Bodo/Glimt W 5 - 0
05 Sep A FC Schalke 04 D 0 - 0
02 Sep A VfL Osnabrück W 1 - 4

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bayern München L 7 - 0
11 Sep H FC Schalke 04 L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 4 - 0
29 Aug H Eintracht Frankfurt D 3 - 3
23 Aug A Eintracht Braunschweig W 2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Bayern München

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Kompany
1 Neuer
19 Davies
4 Tah
2 Upamecano
44 Stanišić
45 Pavlović
6 Kimmich
14 Díaz
10 Musiala
17 Olise
9 Kane

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Neuer G
44 J. Stanišić D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlović M
17 M. Olise M
10 J. Musiala M
14 L. Díaz M
9 H. Kane F

Substitutes

40 J. Urbig G
7 S. Gnabry F
11 N. Brown D
8 T. Bischof M
21 H. Ito D
42 L. Karl M
3 Kim Min-Jae D
39 Bara Ndiaye M
34 I. Saibari M

Union Berlin

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Lustrinelli
1 Rønnow
15 Rothe
2 Uduokhai
14 Querfeld
28 Trimmel
20 Aebischer
8 Khedira
13 Schäfer
11 Woo-Yeong
19 Haberer
29 Lath

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Rønnow G
28 C. Trimmel D
14 L. Querfeld D
2 F. Uduokhai D
15 T. Rothe D
8 R. Khedira M
20 M. Aebischer M
19 J. Haberer M
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong M
13 A. Schäfer M
29 E. Latte Lath F

Substitutes

9 Livan Burcu F
30 K. Imeri M
6 A. Kemlein M
17 D. Köhn D
27 M. Ljubičić F
31 M. Raab G
21 T. Skarke M
24 R. Skov M
4 Z. Van Den Bosch D

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