Brighton vs Arsenal Prognoza

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
American Express Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Arsenal
21%
26%
53%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Brighton vs Arsenal: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Brighton na 21%, Arsenal na 53%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 19 Sep 2026, 15:57.

Typy Premium

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
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Timeline

Pascal Groß assist: Charalampos Kostoulas
31' 1–0
Charalampos Kostoulas Yellow Card
33'
Charalampos Kostoulas assist: Diego Gómez
45' 2–0
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Yellow Card
45+1'
HT 2–0
Chema Andrés assist: Pascal Groß
57' 3–0
60'
J. Timber ⇄ Martín Zubimendi
60'
Bruno Guimarães ⇄ Mikel Merino
Pascal Struijk Yellow Card
71'
73'
Martin Ødegaard ⇄ Viktor Gyökeres
73'
Christos Tzolis ⇄ Eberechi Eze
Ferdi Kadıoğlu ⇄ Costinha
76'
Charalampos Kostoulas ⇄ Georginio Rutter
76'
81'
Bukayo Saka ⇄ Max Dowman
Chema Andrés ⇄ Malick Yalcouyé
85'
Diego Gómez ⇄ Matt O'Riley
86'
Pascal Struijk ⇄ Michael Svoboda
86'
Maxim De Cuyper Yellow Card
90+1'
90+7'
Declan Rice Yellow Card
FT 3–0
Brighton

Match Stats

Arsenal
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 0
5 Corner Kicks 6
0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
336 Total passes 495
255 Passes accurate 418
9 Free Kicks 13
Brighton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Pascal Groß M 9.0 90' 1 1 2 29 (24%) 1
14 Chema Andrés M 8.2 85' 1 2 34 (26%)
19 Charalampos Kostoulas F 8.2 76' 1 1 4 19 (14%) 1
20 Costinha D 7.4 14' 2 (1%)
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D 7.3 76' 1 23 (21%)
44 Luka Vušković D 7.2 90' 35 (27%)
21 Olivier Boscagli D 7.1 90' 1 24 (17%) 2
4 Pascal Struijk D 7.1 86' 1 48 (42%) 1
25 Diego Gómez M 7.0 86' 1 31 (20%) 5
30 Michael Svoboda D 6.9 4' 1 (1%) 1
35 Malick Yalcouyé M 6.9 5' 1 1 (1%) 1
26 Yasin Ayari M 6.7 90' 2 21 (19%) 1
1 B. Verbruggen G 6.7 90' 40 (24%)
10 Georginio Rutter F 6.6 14' 1 3 (1%)
29 Maxim De Cuyper M 6.4 90' 1 24 (16%) 3
33 Matt O'Riley M 6.4 4' 1 1 (1%)
Arsenal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 J. Timber D 6.7 60' 25 (22%) 2
14 Viktor Gyökeres F 6.6 17' 5 (3%)
41 Declan Rice M 6.5 90' 56 (50%) 2
15 Ezri Konsa D 6.4 90' 1 68 (66%)
29 Kai Havertz F 6.3 90' 2 27 (23%)
7 Bukayo Saka M 6.3 81' 2 21 (16%) 1
8 Martin Ødegaard M 6.2 73' 1 41 (37%)
17 Christos Tzolis M 6.2 73' 22 (19%) 1
6 Gabriel Magalhães D 6.1 90' 62 (55%) 3
33 Riccardo Calafiori D 6.0 90' 2 41 (32%) 2
39 Bruno Guimarães M 5.9 60' 38 (32%)
36 Martín Zubimendi M 5.9 30' 1 13 (8%) 1
10 Eberechi Eze M 5.8 17' 8 (7%)
56 Max Dowman M 5.8 9' 2 (2%)
23 Mikel Merino M 5.7 30' 21 (16%)
1 David Raya G 5.5 90' 45 (30%) 1
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Arsenal
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Brighton
WWWDL
Arsenal
LWWWW
Last 3 meetings Brighton · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Brighton faces Arsenal in an intriguing Premier League clash. Brighton's attacking efficiency has been notable, with an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, while Arsenal boasts a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per match. The match will test Brighton’s ability to break down Arsenal’s organized defense. Furthermore, Arsenal's midfield dominance could dictate the game's tempo, allowing them to control possession and create scoring opportunities. Both teams will be keen to secure points to bolster their positions in the league.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Brighton leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.7%. Comeback chance: 0.3%.

58' Goal 85% sure

Brighton now leads 3-0 with 98% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 62.9%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Brighton now leads 2-0 with 84.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Brighton leads. Win probability: 84.5%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.8%.

34' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Brighton win: 55.1%. BTTS: 67.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
21%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
53%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Brighton
P. Groß 3 gls
C. Kostoulas 2 gls
M. Yalcouyé 2 gls
Arsenal
B. Saka 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Arsenal

0 Brighton Wins
1 Draws
2 Arsenal Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Mar 2026 Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal
27 Dec 2025 Arsenal 2 - 1 Brighton
04 Jan 2025 Brighton 1 - 1 Arsenal
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

Brighton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Arsenal W 3 - 0
16 Sep A Manchester United W 2 - 3
13 Sep A Coventry W 0 - 5
05 Sep H Leeds D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Chelsea L 4 - 3

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Brighton L 3 - 0
15 Sep A Ipswich W 2 - 4
12 Sep A Sunderland W 0 - 2
09 Sep A Napoli W 0 - 1
06 Sep H Chelsea W 2 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Arsenal

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mikel Arteta
1 Raya
33 Calafiori
6 Magalhães
15 Konsa
12 Timber
39 Guimarães
41 Rice
17 Tzolis
8 Ødegaard
7 Saka
29 Havertz

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 David Raya G
12 J. Timber D
15 E. Konsa D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
33 R. Calafiori D
41 D. Rice M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 B. Saka M
8 M. Ødegaard M
17 C. Tzolis M
29 K. Havertz F

Substitutes

13 Kepa G
5 P. Hincapié D
49 M. Lewis-Skelly D
10 E. Eze M
23 Mikel Merino M
36 Martín Zubimendi M
56 M. Dowman M
14 V. Gyökeres F
20 N. Madueke F

Brighton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Hürzeler
1 Verbruggen
21 Boscagli
4 Struijk
44 Vušković
24 Kadıoğlu
13 Groß
14 Baixauli
29 Cuyper
26 Ayari
25 Gómez
19 Kostoulas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Verbruggen G
24 F. Kadıoğlu D
44 L. Vušković D
4 P. Struijk D
21 O. Boscagli D
14 José María Andrés Baixauli M
13 P. Groß M
25 D. Gómez M
26 Y. Ayari M
29 M. De Cuyper M
19 C. Kostoulas F

Substitutes

12 P. David F
35 M. Yalcouyé M
33 M. O'Riley M
15 I. Osman F
10 G. Rutter F
30 M. Svoboda D
20 Costinha D
3 J. Hadjam D
23 J. Steele G

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