Leeds vs Burnley Предвидување

Premier League · Regular Season - 35

Post on X

Burnley

Away

Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire

AI предвидување Тежок победник или реми за Leeds

54%

31%

16%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Leeds против Burnley: Sportiko проценува дека Leeds има 54% шанса за победа, Burnley 16%, а реми 31%. Последно ажурирано 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Leeds secured a comfortable home victory over Burnley, moving through the gears across 90 minutes despite a scoreline that perhaps flatters the hosts given the underlying numbers. An early goal in the eighth minute gave Leeds a platform, though the match was feisty in the first half with four yellow cards distributed before the break, including bookings for Struijk, Humphreys, Tchaouna, and Rodon.

The second half brought the game to life. Okafor doubled the lead just after the hour mark before Calvert-Lewin added a third two minutes later to effectively end the contest. Burnley pulled one back through Tchaouna on 71 minutes, but it proved little more than a consolation. The visitors actually dominated the statistical picture — 18 total shots to Leeds' nine, an xG of 1.64 compared to just 0.57 for the home side — yet were unable to convert their chances into goals when it mattered.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leeds win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved correct. Calvert-Lewin was withdrawn late on after completing a productive evening, with Leeds seeing out the final minutes without alarm.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

assist: Jaka Bijol

8' ⚽ 1–0

Pascal Struijk Yellow Card

27' ▮

▮ 35'

Bashir Humphreys Yellow Card

▮ 37'

Loum Tchaouna Yellow Card

Joe Rodon Yellow Card

40' ▮

HT 1–0

Dominic Calvert-Lewin Yellow Card

48' ▮

Noah Okafor assist: Jayden Bogle

52' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 54'

Josh Laurent ⇄ Hannibal Mejbri

Dominic Calvert-Lewin

56' ⚽ 3–0

Noah Okafor ⇄ Lukas Nmecha

65' ⇄

⇄ 65'

Quilindschy Hartman ⇄ Lucas Pires

⇄ 65'

James Ward-Prowse ⇄ Florentino Luís

⚽ 3–1 71'

Loum Tchaouna assist: Jaidon Anthony

Ao Tanaka ⇄ Sean Longstaff

72' ⇄

⇄ Brenden Aaronson

72' ⇄

Ethan Ampadu Yellow Card

75' ▮

⇄ 76'

Zian Flemming ⇄ Armando Broja

⇄ 76'

Bashir Humphreys ⇄ Zeki Amdouni

▮ 88'

Hannibal Mejbri Yellow Card

Jayden Bogle ⇄ Daniel James

90+4' ⇄

Dominic Calvert-Lewin ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto

90+4' ⇄

FT 3–1

Leeds

Match Stats

Burnley

48% Ball Possession 52%

1.64 Expected Goals (xG) 0.57

18 Total Shots 9

8 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 2

5 Blocked Shots 4

11 Shots insidebox 5

7 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 0

0 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 12

4 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

452 Total passes 508

359 Passes accurate 421

79% Passes % 83%

-0.70 goals_prevented -0.70

Leeds

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Anton Stach M	8.0	72'	1	–	3	23 (11%)	2
19 Noah Okafor F	7.3	65'	1	–	1	25 (19%)	1
15 Jaka Bijol D	7.3	90'	–	1	–	63 (54%)	1
2 Jayden Bogle M	7.3	89'	–	1	–	22 (19%)	1
24 James Justin M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	33 (21%)	4
26 Karl Darlow G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	41 (28%)	–
8 Sean Longstaff M	7.0	18'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
22 Ao Tanaka M	6.9	72'	–	–	2	50 (46%)	–
14 Lukas Nmecha F	6.9	25'	–	–	1	3	–
9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F	6.7	89'	1	–	2	15 (8%)	–
11 Brenden Aaronson M	6.6	18'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	1
4 Ethan Ampadu M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	55 (49%)	–
6 Joe Rodon D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	39 (32%)	–
5 Pascal Struijk D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	69 (58%)	–
29 Wilfried Gnonto F	—	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
7 Daniel James M	—	1'	–	–	1	–	–

Burnley

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Loum Tchaouna M	7.3	90'	1	–	1	18 (14%)	1
23 Lucas Pires D	6.7	25'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
25 Zeki Amdouni F	6.6	14'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
18 Hjalmar Ekdal D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	67 (59%)	3
28 Hannibal Mejbri M	6.6	36'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	–
1 Martin Dubravka G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	36 (26%)	–
20 James Ward-Prowse M	6.6	65'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	–
16 Florentino Luís M	6.6	25'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	2
19 Zian Flemming F	6.6	76'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
5 Maxime Estève D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	67 (60%)	1
11 Jaidon Anthony M	6.5	90'	–	1	1	34 (28%)	1
29 Josh Laurent M	6.5	54'	–	–	1	19 (16%)	–
27 Armando Broja F	6.3	14'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	–
2 Kyle Walker D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	2
3 Quilindschy Hartman D	5.9	65'	–	–	–	25 (17%)	2
12 Bashir Humphreys D	5.7	76'	–	–	1	47 (40%)	1

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа

Тежок победник или реми за Leeds

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Leeds

DWLDD

Burnley

DLDLD

Last 3 meetings Leeds · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 2, 2026, Leeds hosts Burnley at Elland Road. Leeds has shown a strong home record, winning 65% of their matches at home this season, while Burnley struggles with a 30% win rate on the road. Key players to watch include Leeds' top scorer, who averages 0.5 goals per game, and Burnley’s goalkeeper, boasting a save percentage of 75%. Both teams will be vying for crucial points as they navigate the final stretch of the season, making this encounter pivotal for their respective league standings. Expect an intense contest with Leeds likely to leverage their home advantage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Burnley goals →

	0	1	2
0	18	9	2
1	22	11	3
2	13	7	2
3	5	3	1
4	2	1
5

↑ Leeds goals · most likely 1–0 (21.7%)

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Players in form

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

Burnley

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Leeds vs Burnley

1 Leeds Wins

1 Draws

1 Burnley Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Oct 2025	Burnley	2 - 0	Leeds
02 Jan 2022	Leeds	3 - 1	Burnley
29 Aug 2021	Burnley	1 - 1	Leeds

Види ги сите 5 средби — Premium

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Burnley — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Derby	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Swansea	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	A Wrexham	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Bristol City	L	1 - 2
02 Sep	H Middlesbrough	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2