Elche vs Getafe Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

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Getafe

Away

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche

AI предвидување Тежок победник или реми за Getafe

21%

26%

52%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Elche vs Getafe prediction: Sportiko gives Elche a 21% chance of winning, Getafe 52% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Elche claimed a vital late-season victory over Getafe at the Martínez Valero, with Víctor Chust's 19th-minute header proving the decisive moment in a tightly contested La Liga encounter. The home side went in at the break with their slender advantage intact, despite Getafe enjoying the greater share of possession throughout the first half.

The match turned significantly in Elche's favour when Getafe defender Djené received a red card on 39 minutes, leaving the visitors to play the entire second half with ten men. Despite that numerical disadvantage, Getafe continued to press and actually finished the game with superior underlying numbers, registering ten total shots and an expected goals figure of 0.66 compared to Elche's 0.11 — though they failed to convert any of their three shots on target. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Getafe win as the most likely outcome at 52%, a call that did not materialise.

Elche managed the game efficiently in the closing stages, with a flurry of substitutions from both sides failing to alter the scoreline. The result leaves questions about Getafe's finishing, having dominated large spells yet returning home empty-handed.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Martim Neto Yellow Card

0' ▮

Víctor Chust

19' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 39'

Djené Red Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 53'

Damián Cáceres ⇄ Davinchi

André Silva Yellow Card

66' ▮

André Silva ⇄ Adrià Pedrosa

66' ⇄

Álvaro Rodriguez Yellow Card

69' ▮

⇄ 71'

Allan Nyom ⇄ Luis Vázquez

⇄ 72'

Domingos Duarte ⇄ Abdelkabir Abqar

Marc Aguado ⇄ John Donald

84' ⇄

Grady Diangana ⇄ Lucas Cepeda

84' ⇄

Víctor Chust ⇄ Buba Sangare

85' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Mario Martín ⇄ Veljko Birmančević

Álvaro Rodriguez ⇄ Josan

86' ⇄

▮ 90+5'

Martín Satriano Yellow Card

FT 1–0

Elche

Match Stats

Getafe

60% Ball Possession 40%

0.66 Expected Goals (xG) 0.11

10 Total Shots 4

3 Shots on Goal 0

4 Shots off Goal 2

3 Blocked Shots 2

4 Shots insidebox 2

6 Shots outsidebox 2

4 Corner Kicks 0

4 Offsides 1

18 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

414 Total passes 283

341 Passes accurate 192

82% Passes % 68%

-0.27 goals_prevented -0.27

Elche

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Víctor Chust D	8.2	85'	1	–	1	35 (28%)	2
6 Pedro Bigas D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	73 (59%)	–
1 Matías Dituro G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	49 (39%)	–
12 Gonzalo Villar M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (31%)	3
11 Germán Valera M	7.0	90'	–	–	2	30 (23%)	2
22 David Affengruber D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	63 (53%)	2
8 Marc Aguado M	6.9	84'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	–
15 Tete Morente M	6.9	90'	–	–	1	25 (20%)	1
17 Josan M	6.9	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
18 John Donald D	6.9	12'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
42 Buba Sangare D	6.6	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
3 Adrià Pedrosa D	6.6	24'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
9 André Silva F	6.5	66'	–	–	1	19 (15%)	–
24 Lucas Cepeda F	6.5	12'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
20 Álvaro Rodriguez F	6.3	86'	–	–	1	19 (14%)	1
19 Grady Diangana M	6.2	84'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	1

Getafe

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 Zaid Romero D	7.9	90'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	6
21 Juan Iglesias D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	30 (15%)	3
8 Mauro Arambarri M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	–
10 Martín Satriano F	6.9	90'	–	–	1	14 (8%)	1
26 Davinchi D	6.7	37'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	1
3 Abdelkabir Abqar D	6.7	18'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	–
46 Damián Cáceres M	6.7	53'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	4
22 Domingos Duarte D	6.6	72'	–	–	–	28 (21%)	3
19 Luis Vázquez F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	6 (2%)	–
5 Luis Milla M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (29%)	4
13 David Soria G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (9%)	–
20 Veljko Birmančević M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
12 Allan Nyom D	6.3	71'	–	–	–	14 (8%)	2
6 Mario Martín F	6.2	85'	–	–	–	20 (13%)	2
2 Djené D	5.2	39'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

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Тежок победник или реми за Getafe

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Elche

DWLDL

Getafe

LLWLW

Last 3 meetings Elche · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Elche will host Getafe in a crucial La Liga clash on May 17, 2026. As of the latest standings, Elche has struggled at home, with a win rate of just 30% in their last six matches, while Getafe has shown resilience on the road, securing points in 50% of their away fixtures. Key players to watch include Elche's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Getafe's defense, which has maintained a solid average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. This match could have significant implications for both teams' relegation battles, making it a tense encounter. Expect a tactical battle with potential for a low-scoring outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Getafe goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	14	11	5	2	1
1	8	12	9	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Elche goals · most likely 0–1 (14.4%)

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Head to Head: Elche vs Getafe

0 Elche Wins

1 Draws

2 Getafe Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Nov 2025	Getafe	1 - 0	Elche
20 May 2023	Getafe	1 - 1	Elche
31 Oct 2022	Elche	0 - 1	Getafe

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 May	A Girona	D	1 - 1
17 May	H Getafe	W	1 - 0
12 May	A Real Betis	L	2 - 1
09 May	H Alaves	D	1 - 1
03 May	A Celta Vigo	L	3 - 1

Getafe — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	A Monaco	L	1 - 0
29 Jul	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 1
23 May	H Osasuna	W	1 - 0
17 May	A Elche	L	1 - 0
13 May	H Mallorca	W	3 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Getafe

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

13 Soria

21 Iglesias

24 Romero

22 Duarte

2 Djene

12 Nyom

8 Arambarri

46 Caceres

5 Milla

10 Satriano

6 Martin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	D. Soria	G
12	A. Nyom	D
2	Djene	D
22	D. Duarte	D
24	Z. Romero	D
21	J. Iglesias	D
5	L. Milla	M
46	D. Caceres	M
8	M. Arambarri	M
6	M. Martin	F
10	M. Satriano	F

Substitutes

1	J. Letacek	G
16	D. Rico	D
14	Javier Munoz	M
9	B. Mayoral	F
20	V. Birmancevic	M
3	A. Abqar	D
11	A. Kamara	F
18	Alex Sancris	F
26	Davinchi	D
19	L. Vazquez	F
15	S. Boselli	D
23	A. Liso	F

Elche

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Eder Sarabia

1 Dituro

6 Bigas

22 Affengruber

23 Chust

11 Valera

12 Villar

8 Aguado

19 Diangana

15 Morente

9 Silva

20 Rodriguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Dituro	G
23	V. Chust	D
22	D. Affengruber	D
6	P. Bigas	D
15	Tete Morente	M
19	G. Diangana	M
8	M. Aguado	M
12	G. Villar	M
11	G. Valera	M
20	A. Rodriguez	F
9	Andre Silva	F

Substitutes

13	I. Pena	G
45	A. Iturbe	G
17	Josan	M
10	R. Mir	F
16	M. Neto	M
18	J. Donald	D
5	F. Redondo Solari	M
42	Buba Sangare	D
3	A. Pedrosa	D
24	L. Cepeda	F
39	H. Fort	D
46	J. Piera	F