Inter Miami vs San Diego Previsione

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 26

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Inter Miami

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 1

San Diego

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter Miami

64%

19%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Inter Miami vs San Diego: Sportiko assegna a Inter Miami una probabilità di vittoria del 64%, a San Diego del 17% e al pareggio del 19%. Ultimo aggiornamento 21 Sep 2026, 01:17.

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Home 2H Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Home or Away 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 12'

Anders Dreyer assist: Jeppe Tverskov

Lionel Messi

23' ⚽ 1–1

▮ 33'

Ian Murphy Yellow Card

HT 1–1

🖵 52'

Marcus Ingvartsen Goal Disallowed - offside

⇄ 62'

Marcus Ingvartsen ⇄ Cédric Bakambu

Yannick Bright Yellow Card

65' ▮

Matías Galarza ⇄ Alexander Shaw

69' ⇄

Fricio Caicedo ⇄ Sergio Reguilón

69' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Ian Murphy ⇄ Christopher McVey

⇄ 74'

Aníbal Godoy ⇄ Alejandro Alvarado Jr

Luis Suárez assist: Rodrigo De Paul

75' ⚽ 2–1

Alexander Shaw Yellow Card

82' ▮

⚽ 2–2 82'

Anders Dreyer

Germán Berterame ⇄ Daniel Pinter

88' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Dagur Dan Þórhallsson ⇄ Sam Vines

FT 2–2

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Sblocca l'analisi completa dell'AI su Inter Miami vs San Diego

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Value Edge — modello vs mercato
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Inter Miami

Most likely score

2:1 · 8.5%

Both teams to score

73%

Over 2.5 goals

79%

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Inter Miami

DWDDD

San Diego

DLLLW

Live insights

84' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 76.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Inter Miami win: 86.7%. BTTS: 100%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Inter Miami leads 2-1. Win probability: 86.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.3%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-2. San Diego win: 51%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 52.7%, Away win 2H: 17.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

64%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

San Diego goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2	1	1	1
1	3	7	4	2	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	6	8	6	3	1
4	4	6	4	2	1
5	2	3	3	1

↑ Inter Miami goals · most likely 2–1 (8.5%)

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Players in form

Inter Miami

L. Messi 20 gls

L. Suárez 12 gls

San Diego

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

19%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS Yes 27% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

98%

1.5

93%

21%

2.5

79%

40%

3.5

60%

61%

4.5

39%

79%

5.5

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

64%

Draw

19%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

98%

1.5

93%

21%

2.5

79%

40%

3.5

60%

61%

4.5

39%

79%

5.5

21%

Both Teams To Score

73% BTTS Yes 27% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

19%

21%

18%

12%

Goal Range

3-5 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	1.3%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%
1	3.3%	6.7%	4.3%	2.1%	0.8%
2	5.9%	8.5%	6.2%	3.0%	1.1%
3	5.7%	8.3%	6.0%	2.9%	1.1%
4	4.1%	6.0%	4.3%	2.1%	0.8%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter Miami	Draw	San Diego
Inter Miami	49.6%	4.6%	2.1%
Draw	14.5%	9.0%	5.9%
San Diego	2.9%	3.1%	8.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

72%

3.5

28%

Home Exact Goals

17%

25%

24%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter Miami vs San Diego

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Inter Miami — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Diego	D	2 - 2
17 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Chicago Fire	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2

San Diego — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	0 - 5
10 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Los Angeles Galaxy	W	3 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.