Santos vs Gremio Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

22 Nov 2026, 21:00

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Gremio

Away

Previsione AI Santos o pareggio

46%

27%

28%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Santos vs Gremio: Sportiko assegna a Santos una probabilità di vittoria del 46%, a Gremio del 28% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Santos

WWWWD

Gremio

DLLLW

Last 3 meetings Santos · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gremio goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	5	2
1	12	13	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Santos goals · most likely 1–1 (12.7%)

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Players in form

Santos

Gabriel Barbosa 11 gls

Gremio

Carlos Vinícius 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Away Win

28%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Away Win

28%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 28% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

21%

26%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	9.0%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
1	12.3%	12.7%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.0%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.1%	4.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

35%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Santos	Draw	Gremio
Santos	15.4%	9.1%	9.3%
Draw	19.9%	11.7%	12.0%
Gremio	10.3%	6.1%	6.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Santos vs Gremio

0 Santos Wins

1 Draws

2 Gremio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 May 2026	Gremio	3 - 2	Santos
01 Oct 2025	Santos	1 - 1	Gremio
04 May 2025	Gremio	1 - 0	Santos

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Santos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Remo	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Atletico-MG	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Internacional	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0

Gremio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0
16 Sep	A Botafogo	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Vitoria	L	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Internacional	W	3 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.