Coritiba vs Palmeiras Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

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Palmeiras

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Palmeiras

11%

26%

63%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Coritiba vs Palmeiras: Sportiko assegna a Coritiba una probabilità di vittoria del 11%, a Palmeiras del 63% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Jul 2026, 00:36.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

Mauricio assist: Ramón Sosa

▮ 15'

Ramón Sosa Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 19'

Mauricio

▮ 38'

Yellow Card

45' ▮

HT 0–2

46' ⇄

59' ⇄

65' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 67'

Ramón Sosa assist: Joaquín Piquerez

68' ⚽ 1–3

77' ⇄

▮ 79'

Yellow Card

⇄ 79'

Mauricio ⇄ Emiliano Martínez

⇄ 80'

Jhon Arias

⇄ 90+1'

Ramón Sosa

FT 1–3

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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Palmeiras

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Coritiba

LDLWW

Palmeiras

DWWDD

Last 3 meetings Coritiba · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Coritiba and Palmeiras, both teams will aim to secure vital points. Coritiba has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Palmeiras boasts a strong attacking line, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game. Historically, Palmeiras has had the upper hand in their recent encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 matches against Coritiba. The match will be crucial for Coritiba as they look to improve their standing, while Palmeiras seeks to maintain their title challenge. Expect a competitive match with tactical battles in midfield likely determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

11%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

63%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Palmeiras goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12	17	15	8	4	1
1	5	11	8	5	2	1
2	2	3	2	1	1
3		1
4
5

↑ Coritiba goals · most likely 0–1 (16.8%)

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Players in form

Coritiba

Pedro Rocha 8 gls

Breno Lopes 8 gls

Palmeiras

J. López 8 gls

Maurício 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

63%

Draw

26%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

85% Away (No Draw) 15% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.2%	16.8%	15.1%	8.4%	3.5%
1	4.8%	11.5%	8.5%	4.7%	2.0%
2	1.7%	2.8%	2.4%	1.3%	0.6%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Coritiba	Draw	Palmeiras
Coritiba	5.8%	2.9%	1.8%
Draw	5.1%	18.5%	22.3%
Palmeiras	0.5%	2.9%	40.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

57%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Coritiba vs Palmeiras

0 Coritiba Wins

0 Draws

3 Palmeiras Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Oct 2023	Coritiba	0 - 2	Palmeiras
04 Jun 2023	Palmeiras	3 - 1	Coritiba
06 Oct 2022	Palmeiras	4 - 0	Coritiba

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Coritiba — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Vasco DA Gama	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	H Atletico Paranaense	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	H Mirassol	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Remo	W	2 - 3
23 Aug	H Corinthians	W	2 - 1

Palmeiras — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Gremio	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Sao Paulo	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	H LDU de Quito	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Botafogo	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	A Santos	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.