Lille vs Lens Previsione

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

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Lens

Away

Previsione AI Lens o pareggio

27%

25%

47%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Lille vs Lens: Sportiko assegna a Lille una probabilità di vittoria del 27%, a Lens del 47% e al pareggio del 25%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

Lille claimed a commanding 3–0 derby victory over Lens in Ligue 1 Matchday 28, with the hosts dominant throughout and the statistics reflecting a thoroughly one-sided contest.

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson broke the deadlock just before the interval, scoring in the 44th minute to give Lille a deserved lead. The second half brought more of the same, with Félix Correia doubling the advantage four minutes after the restart before Matías Fernández-Pardo added a third from the penalty spot on 58 minutes. Both goalscorers were withdrawn in the 73rd minute, their work done. The expected goals figures told the full story — Lille generated 3.68 against Lens's meagre 0.59, while the visitors managed just one shot on target across the entire match.

Lens struggled to impose themselves at any stage, and a yellow card shown to goalkeeper Berke Özer on 71 minutes summed up their frustration. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lens win as the most likely outcome at 47%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Lille cruised to a convincing north of France derby triumph.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson assist: Matías Fernández-Pardo

44' ⚽ 1–0

Nathan Ngoy Yellow Card

45+5' ▮

▮ 45+5'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

Félix Correia

49' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 55'

Matías Fernández-Pardo Penalty

58' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 67'

Berke Özer Yellow Card

71' ▮

Félix Correia ⇄ Olivier Giroud

73' ⇄

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson ⇄ Benjamin André

73' ⇄

▮ 78'

Saud Abdulhamid Yellow Card

Ngal'ayel Mukau

80' ⇄

Matías Fernández-Pardo ⇄ Gaëtan Perrin

80' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Yellow Card

90' ▮

Romain Perraud ⇄ Calvin Verdonk

90+4' ⇄

FT 3–0

Lille

Match Stats

Lens

56% Ball Possession 44%

3.68 Expected Goals (xG) 0.59

13 Total Shots 5

7 Shots on Goal 1

4 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 0

12 Shots insidebox 4

1 Shots outsidebox 1

3 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 13

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

469 Total passes 371

397 Passes accurate 293

85% Passes % 79%

0.65 goals_prevented 0.65

Lille

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Matías Fernández-Pardo F	8.5	80'	1	1	4	19 (17%)	1
23 Aïssa Mandi D	7.9	90'	–	–	1	68 (61%)	2
10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M	7.9	73'	1	–	2	35 (29%)	–
27 Félix Correia M	7.3	73'	1	–	3	21 (13%)	–
3 Nathan Ngoy D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	54 (46%)	1
17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M	7.2	80'	–	–	1	30 (26%)	2
1 Berke Özer G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	–
6 Nabil Bentaleb M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	52 (48%)	1
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	2
15 Romain Perraud D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	49 (41%)	1
21 Benjamin André M	6.9	17'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	2
28 Gaëtan Perrin F	6.7	10'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	1
8 Ethan Mbappé M	6.7	10'	–	–	–	8 (8%)	–
12 Thomas Meunier D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	42 (39%)	–
9 Olivier Giroud F	6.6	17'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	2
24 Calvin Verdonk D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Lens

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
40 Robin Risser G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	29 (19%)	–
11 Odsonne Édouard F	7.0	85'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	1
25 Ismaelo Ganiou D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	50 (43%)	1
38 Rayan Fofana F	6.7	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
9 Allan Saint-Maximin F	6.6	35'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
23 Saud Abdulhamid M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	35 (29%)	2
20 Malang Sarr D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	61 (51%)	3
21 Amadou Haidara M	6.5	35'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
8 Mamadou Sangare M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	–
28 Adrien Thomasson M	6.3	67'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	1
10 Florian Thauvin F	6.3	85'	–	–	1	24 (15%)	2
7 Florian Sotoca F	6.3	23'	–	–	2	10 (5%)	1
5 Andrija Bulatovic M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
22 Wesley Saïd F	6.2	55'	–	–	1	10 (6%)	–
4 Nidal Čelik D	6.0	55'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	1
14 Matthieu Udol M	5.6	90'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Lens o pareggio

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Lille

LWLWD

Lens

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Lille · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lens on April 5, 2026, promises to be a fiercely contested match, given both teams' current form. Lille has shown strength at home, boasting a solid defensive record, having conceded only 10 goals in their last 10 home fixtures. Meanwhile, Lens has been a formidable opponent, with a potent attack that has netted an average of 2 goals per away game this season. Historical data favors Lille slightly, as they have won 60% of their previous home matches against Lens. However, with Lens fighting for a European spot, expect a tactical battle where both teams will be keen to secure crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lens goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	11	8	4	2	1
1	8	12	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	5	3	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Lille goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Lille

Tiago Santos 2 gls

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Lille vs Lens

2 Lille Wins

0 Draws

1 Lens Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2025	Lens	3 - 0	Lille
30 Mar 2025	Lille	1 - 0	Lens
26 Oct 2024	Lens	0 - 2	Lille

Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Lille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nice	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Real Betis	L	2 - 3
03 Sep	A Toulouse	W	0 - 1
28 Aug	H Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2