Fátima vs Vinhais Previsione

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Fátima

Home

4 : 1

HT 3 - 1

Vinhais

Away

Previsione AI Fátima vince o pareggia

75%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Fátima vs Vinhais: Sportiko assegna a Fátima una probabilità di vittoria del 75%, a Vinhais del 8% e al pareggio del 18%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 15:56.

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Under 3.5 Gol 74%

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Timeline

4' ⚽ 1–0

23' ⚽ 2–0

38' ⚽ 3–0

⚽ 3–1 45'

HT 3–1

48' ⚽ 4–1

FT 4–1

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Value Edge — modello vs mercato
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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Fátima vince o pareggia

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Fátima

WLLWW

Vinhais

LLLLL

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Fátima leads 4-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

48' Goal 85% sure

Fátima now leads 4-1 with 99.7% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.4%.

45' Goal 85% sure

Fátima now leads 3-1 with 97% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 3-1. Fátima leads. Win probability: 97%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.8%.

39' Goal 85% sure

Fátima now leads 3-0 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 76%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vinhais goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	12	12	5	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	7	6	2	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Fátima goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	4.6%	2.5%	0.7%	0.1%
1	11.7%	12.3%	4.5%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.8%	9.8%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
3	7.1%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%
4	3.2%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fátima	Draw	Vinhais
Fátima	33.4%	3.1%	0.8%
Draw	23.4%	16.5%	6.4%
Vinhais	3.2%	4.2%	9.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fátima vs Vinhais

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Fátima — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Vinhais	W	4 - 1
13 Sep	H Oliveira Hospital	L	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Os Marialvas	L	3 - 0
29 Aug	H Benfica Castelo Branco	W	3 - 1
23 Aug	H Atlético Malveira	W	5 - 0

Vinhais — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fátima	L	4 - 1
13 Sep	A Vila Meã	L	4 - 0
06 Sep	H Chaves II	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Tirsense	L	3 - 0
16 Aug	H Maria da Fonte	L	0 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.