Mafra vs Tirsense Previsione

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Mafra

Home

2 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Tirsense

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Mafra

56%

26%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Mafra vs Tirsense: Sportiko assegna a Mafra una probabilità di vittoria del 56%, a Tirsense del 18% e al pareggio del 26%. Ultimo aggiornamento 19 Sep 2026, 19:52.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
Under 3.5 Gol 72%
1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

16' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

92' ⚽ 2–1

⚽ 2–2 105'

Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 3–2

⚽ 3–3 120+1'

Penalty

120+2' ⚽ 4–3

✗ 120+2'

Missed Penalty

120+3' ✗

⚽ 4–4 120+3'

Penalty

120+4' ⚽ 5–4

⚽ 5–5 120+4'

Penalty

120+5' ⚽ 6–5

✗ 120+5'

Missed Penalty

FT 2–2

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Value Edge — modello vs mercato
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Mafra

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Mafra

DLWWL

Tirsense

DWLWW

Live insights

105' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

93' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Mafra win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.3%. Late goal chance: 36.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 43.1%, Away win 2H: 16.7%.

17' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 29.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Tirsense goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	11	12	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Mafra goals · most likely 1–1 (12.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

26%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

26%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	4.7%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.6%	12.5%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.8%	9.9%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.5%	6.0%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.9%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mafra	Draw	Tirsense
Mafra	36.3%	3.7%	1.0%
Draw	18.9%	16.2%	6.9%
Tirsense	2.6%	4.1%	10.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mafra vs Tirsense

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mafra — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Tirsense	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	A Oliveirense	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H SC Covilha	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Atlético Malveira	W	2 - 3
22 Aug	A Lusitano Évora 1911	L	2 - 1

Tirsense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Mafra	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Brito	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Celoricense	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H Vinhais	W	3 - 0
16 Aug	A Rebordosa	W	0 - 1

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.