Celta Vigo vs Elche Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

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Elche

Away

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Celta Vigo

63%

23%

14%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Celta Vigo vs Elche: Sportiko assegna a Celta Vigo una probabilità di vittoria del 63%, a Elche del 14% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Celta Vigo secured a comfortable 3–1 home victory over Elche in La Liga matchday 34, with the hosts doing their damage early despite being outplayed in terms of possession. Hugo Álvarez opened the scoring in the 14th minute, and Iago Aspas doubled the lead on 30 minutes to send Celta into the break firmly in control at 2–0. The result was notable given that Elche dominated the ball with 67% possession and generated an expected goals figure of 1.71 compared to Celta's 1.05, underlining the efficiency of the home side's finishing.

The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both teams, with Aspas and Álvarez both withdrawn before the hour mark. Elche pulled one back through an André Silva penalty on 82 minutes, briefly threatening a nervy finish, but Borja Iglesias extinguished any comeback hopes just three minutes later with Celta's third goal to seal the points.

The win confirmed the pre-match assessment from our AI model, which had rated a Celta victory as the most likely outcome at 63%. Elche's inability to convert their territorial dominance into goals ultimately proved their undoing.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Hugo Álvarez assist: Javier Rueda

14' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 28'

Gonzalo Villar Yellow Card

Iago Aspas assist: Ferran Jutglà

30' ⚽ 2–0

Javier Rueda Yellow Card

41' ▮

HT 2–0

Javier Rueda ⇄ Manu Fernández

46' ⇄

⇄ 58'

David Affengruber ⇄ Víctor Chust

⇄ 58'

Gonzalo Villar ⇄ Martim Neto

Iago Aspas ⇄ Jones El-Abdellaoui

63' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Adrià Pedrosa ⇄ Josan

⇄ 69'

Tete Morente ⇄ Hector Fort

Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Williot Swedberg

71' ⇄

Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Borja Iglesias

71' ⇄

⇄ 77'

Marc Aguado ⇄ Lucas Cepeda

Alvaro Núñez ⇄ Óscar Mingueza

78' ⇄

⚽ 2–1 82'

André Silva Penalty

Yoel Lago Yellow Card

83' ▮

Borja Iglesias assist: Williot Swedberg

85' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

Celta Vigo

Match Stats

Elche

33% Ball Possession 67%

1.05 Expected Goals (xG) 1.71

6 Total Shots 15

4 Shots on Goal 4

1 Shots off Goal 8

1 Blocked Shots 3

5 Shots insidebox 11

1 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 2

0 Offsides 1

14 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

306 Total passes 594

230 Passes accurate 534

75% Passes % 90%

-1.11 goals_prevented -1.11

Celta Vigo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
23 Hugo Álvarez F	7.9	71'	1	–	1	17 (14%)	1
7 Borja Iglesias F	7.7	19'	1	–	1	9 (8%)	–
9 Ferran Jutglà F	7.7	71'	–	1	1	24 (19%)	1
10 Iago Aspas F	7.7	63'	1	–	1	18 (11%)	2
17 Javier Rueda M	7.3	45'	–	1	–	12 (9%)	–
5 Sergio Carreira M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	2
13 Ionuț Radu G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	40 (19%)	–
6 Ilaix Moriba M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	3
8 Fer López M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	23 (20%)	4
19 Williot Swedberg M	6.9	19'	–	1	–	4 (4%)	2
29 Yoel Lago D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	2
32 Javi Rodríguez D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	33 (26%)	3
14 Alvaro Núñez D	6.7	78'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	1
39 Jones El-Abdellaoui F	6.5	27'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
3 Óscar Mingueza D	6.2	12'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	1
12 Manu Fernández D	6.0	45'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–

Elche

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Gonzalo Villar F	7.3	58'	–	–	–	41 (39%)	–
9 André Silva F	7.2	90'	1	–	3	30 (24%)	–
14 Aleix Febas M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	69 (61%)	2
1 Matías Dituro G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	57 (50%)	–
8 Marc Aguado M	6.7	77'	–	–	1	53 (51%)	1
17 Josan M	6.7	21'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
6 Pedro Bigas D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	83 (76%)	1
20 Álvaro Rodriguez F	6.6	90'	–	–	2	16 (9%)	1
15 Tete Morente M	6.5	69'	–	–	1	31 (27%)	–
24 Lucas Cepeda F	6.5	13'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
18 John Donald D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	53 (49%)	3
3 Adrià Pedrosa M	6.3	69'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	1
16 Martim Neto M	6.3	32'	–	–	–	18 (18%)	1
23 Víctor Chust D	6.2	32'	–	–	1	34 (33%)	–
39 Hector Fort D	6.2	21'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	–
22 David Affengruber D	5.9	58'	–	–	1	60 (54%)	2

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Celta Vigo

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Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Elche

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Celta Vigo · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Celta Vigo hosts Elche in a La Liga clash on May 3, 2026. Celta has shown strong home form, averaging 1.8 goals per game at Balaídos this season, while Elche struggles defensively, conceding 2.1 goals per away match. Celta's attacking duo is expected to exploit Elche's vulnerabilities, especially if they can capitalize on set-pieces. Additionally, Elche's reliance on counter-attacks may be stifled by Celta’s disciplined defense. Expect a competitive match, but Celta is favored to secure three points with their offensive prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	6	2
1	16	11	4	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Celta Vigo goals · most likely 1–0 (15.8%)

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Players in form

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Elche

2 Celta Vigo Wins

0 Draws

1 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Sep 2025	Elche	2 - 1	Celta Vigo
26 Apr 2023	Celta Vigo	1 - 0	Elche
06 Jan 2023	Elche	0 - 1	Celta Vigo

Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Claudio Giraldez

13 Radu

14 Nunez

29 Lago

32 Rodriguez

5 Carreira

6 Moriba

8 Lopez

17 Rueda

23 Alvarez

10 Aspas

9 Jutgla

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	I. Radu	G
32	J. Rodriguez	D
29	Y. Lago	D
14	A. Nunez	D
17	J. Rueda	M
8	F. Lopez	M
6	I. Moriba	M
5	S. Carreira	M
10	I. Aspas	F
23	H. Alvarez	F
9	F. Jutgla	F

Substitutes

1	I. Villar	G
19	W. Swedberg	M
39	J. El Abdellaoui	F
12	M. Fernandez	D
36	A. Antanon	M
21	M. Ristic	D
7	B. Iglesias	F
4	J. Aidoo	D
3	O. Mingueza	D
24	C. Dominguez	D
22	H. Sotelo	M
18	P. Duran	F

Elche

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Eder Sarabia

1 Dituro

6 Bigas

22 Affengruber

18 Donald

3 Pedrosa

14 Febas

8 Aguado

15 Morente

12 Villar

9 Silva

20 Rodriguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Dituro	G
18	J. Donald	D
22	D. Affengruber	D
6	P. Bigas	D
15	Tete Morente	M
8	M. Aguado	M
14	A. Febas	M
3	A. Pedrosa	M
12	G. Villar	F
20	A. Rodriguez	F
9	Andre Silva	F

Substitutes

13	I. Pena	G
45	A. Iturbe	G
17	Josan	M
19	G. Diangana	F
21	L. Petrot	D
23	V. Chust	D
16	M. Neto	M
42	Buba Sangare	D
24	L. Cepeda	F
39	H. Fort	D