Valencia vs Atletico Madrid Previsione
Pronostico Valencia vs Atletico Madrid: Sportiko assegna a Valencia una probabilità di vittoria del 28%, a Atletico Madrid del 49% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Atletico Madrid claimed a comfortable 2–0 victory at Valencia in La Liga matchday 34, with both goals arriving in the second half to settle a tight contest. The first half passed without a breakthrough, though the match was feisty, with Thiago Almada picking up a yellow card in the 29th minute.
The visitors broke the deadlock through Iker Luque in the 74th minute, and Miguel Cubo doubled the advantage eight minutes later — a goal confirmed by VAR review. The result was somewhat against the run of play in terms of chances created, as Valencia dominated possession of corners (7–1) and registered five shots on target to Atletico's none, while also posting an expected goals figure of 2.04 compared to the visitors' 1.09. Discipline was also an issue for the hosts, with César Tárrega and Obed Vargas among those booked alongside the already-cautioned Almada and Rodrigo Mendoza.
Atletico's clinical efficiency proved decisive, converting their opportunities despite Valencia's territorial pressure. The result was in line with pre-match expectations, as our AI model had rated an Atletico win as the most likely outcome at 49%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Valencia
Match Stats
Valencia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 José Luis Gayà D | 7.5 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 32 (30%) | 2 |
| 2 Guido Rodríguez M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (43%) | 3 |
| 5 César Tárrega D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (59%) | 1 |
| 8 Javier Guerra M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 59 (54%) | 1 |
| 23 Filip Ugrinić M | 6.9 | 59' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 3 |
| 16 Diego López F | 6.9 | 31' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 18 Pepelu D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (57%) | 3 |
| 11 Luis Rioja M | 6.7 | 59' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 1 Stole Dimitrievski G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (18%) | – |
| 7 Arnaut Danjuma F | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 19 Dani Raba F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 17 Largie Ramazani F | 6.5 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 15 (8%) | 1 |
| 9 Hugo Duro F | 6.2 | 31' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 6 Umar Sadiq F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 21 Jesús Vázquez D | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 20 Renzo Saravia D | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 41 (32%) | 1 |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Obed Vargas M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 48 (40%) | 2 |
| 16 Nahuel Molina M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 26 (19%) | 1 |
| 15 Clément Lenglet D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (56%) | 3 |
| 37 Iker Luque F | 7.3 | 27' | 1 | – | 3 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 24 Robin Le Normand D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (33%) | 2 |
| 4 Rodrigo Mendoza M | 7.2 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 35 (28%) | – |
| 61 Miguel Cubo F | 7.2 | 27' | 1 | – | 1 | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 11 Thiago Almada M | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 6 Koke M | 6.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 3 |
| 47 Javi Morcillo M | 6.9 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 27 (24%) | 2 |
| 32 Javier Boñar D | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 43 (38%) | 2 |
| 34 Julio Díaz D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | – |
| 1 Juan Musso G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (25%) | – |
| 7 Antoine Griezmann F | 6.3 | 17' | – | 1 | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 29 Rayane Belaid F | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | 2 | 15 (14%) | 2 |
| 40 Aleksa Purić D | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Álex Baena
4 gls
J. David
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Valencia vs Atletico Madrid
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 1 | Valencia |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Valencia | 0 - 3 | Atletico Madrid |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Atletico Madrid | 3 - 0 | Valencia |
Valencia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | A Alaves | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Sevilla | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Barcelona | L | 0 - 5 |
| 30 Aug | A Deportivo La Coruna | L | 3 - 1 |
Atletico Madrid — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Madrid | W | 2 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 4 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Real Sociedad | W | 0 - 3 |
| 09 Sep | A Liverpool | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Athletic Club | L | 3 - 0 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Atletico Madrid
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: D. Simeone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Musso | G |
| 32 | J. Bonar | D |
| 24 | R. Le Normand | D |
| 15 | C. Lenglet | D |
| 34 | J. Diaz | D |
| 16 | N. Molina | M |
| 4 | R. Mendoza | M |
| 47 | J. Morcillo | M |
| 21 | O. Vargas | M |
| 11 | T. Almada | M |
| 29 | R. Belaid | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | J. Oblak | G |
| 6 | Koke | M |
| 3 | M. Ruggeri | D |
| 40 | A. Puric | D |
| 7 | A. Griezmann | F |
| 10 | A. Baena | M |
| 5 | J. Cardoso | M |
| 18 | M. Pubill | D |
| 30 | D. Martinez | D |
| 37 | I. Luque | F |
| 61 | M. Cubo | F |
Valencia
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Carlos Corberan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dimitrievski | G |
| 20 | Renzo Saravia | D |
| 5 | C. Tarrega | D |
| 18 | Pepelu | D |
| 14 | J. Gaya | D |
| 11 | L. Rioja | M |
| 8 | J. Guerra | M |
| 2 | G. Rodriguez | M |
| 23 | F. Ugrinic | M |
| 17 | L. Ramazani | F |
| 6 | U. Sadiq | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | C. Rivero | G |
| 22 | B. Santamaria | M |
| 4 | U. Nunez | D |
| 7 | A. Danjuma | F |
| 19 | D. Raba | F |
| 24 | E. Comert | D |
| 16 | D. Lopez | F |
| 29 | L. Nunez | M |
| 9 | H. Duro | F |
| 10 | A. Almeida | M |
| 21 | J. Vazquez | D |
| 26 | Rubo | D |