Arezzo vs Sudtirol Previsione

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

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Arezzo

Home

1 : 4

HT 0 - 1

Sudtirol

Away

Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo

Previsione AI Arezzo o pareggio

40%

32%

28%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Arezzo vs Sudtirol: Sportiko assegna a Arezzo una probabilità di vittoria del 40%, a Sudtirol del 28% e al pareggio del 32%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 15:04.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Draw or Away 74%
Casa a Segno 72%

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Timeline

Artur Ioniță Yellow Card

26' ▮

▮ 29'

L. Anghelè Yellow Card

⇄ 45'

Bjarki Bjarkason ⇄ Simone Davì

⇄ 45'

L. Anghelè ⇄ Aljoša Vasić

⚽ 0–1 45+1'

Fabio Rispoli assist: Salvatore Molina

HT 0–1

Mattia Viviani Yellow Card

46' ▮

▮ 51'

Vasco Lopes Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 54'

Vasco Lopes assist: Aljoša Vasić

Pietro Cianci ⇄ Alberto Cerri

56' ⇄

Mattia Viviani ⇄ Luca Chierico

57' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Alvin Obinna Okoro ⇄ Kenny Mixtur

M. Olivieri ⇄ Alessandro Arena

62' ⇄

⚽ 0–3 68'

Kenny Mixtur assist: Vasco Lopes

⇄ 71'

Vasco Lopes ⇄ Rareș Burnete

Mattia Sala ⇄ Kevin Leone

78' ⇄

Emiliano Pattarello ⇄ L. Mancuso

78' ⇄

⚽ 0–4 79'

Andrea Giorgini assist: Fabio Rispoli

L. Mancuso assist: Alessandro Arena

81' ⚽ 1–4

⇄ 83'

Giacomo Stabile ⇄ Davide Veroli

FT 1–4

Arezzo

Match Stats

Sudtirol

40% Ball Possession 60%

12 Total Shots 10

3 Shots on Goal 5

4 Shots off Goal 3

5 Blocked Shots 2

11 Shots insidebox 7

1 Shots outsidebox 3

9 Corner Kicks 2

4 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

365 Total passes 555

308 Passes accurate 502

13 Free Kicks 6

Arezzo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
30 Alessandro Arena F	7.2	28'	–	1	2	10 (10%)	–
11 L. Mancuso F	7.1	12'	1	–	1	3 (1%)	–
17 Artur Ioniță M	6.8	90'	–	–	2	26 (25%)	2
99 M. Olivieri F	6.7	62'	–	–	–	10 (6%)	3
16 Mattia Sala M	6.5	78'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	1
9 Alberto Cerri F	6.5	34'	–	–	3	6 (4%)	–
10 Emiliano Pattarello F	6.4	78'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	2
71 Pietro Cianci F	6.4	56'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
23 Mattia Viviani M	6.3	57'	–	–	–	24 (22%)	3
24 Luca Chierico M	6.1	33'	–	–	3	23 (18%)	–
4 Mauro Coppolaro D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	1
37 Samuele Righetti D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	45 (37%)	1
5 Julián Illanes D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	–
7 Kevin Leone M	5.9	12'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
13 Matteo Gilli D	5.8	90'	–	–	1	59 (49%)	–
14 Alessandro Nunziante G	5.5	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	–

Sudtirol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Fabio Rispoli M	9.7	90'	1	2	2	63 (59%)	1
11 Vasco Lopes M	8.6	71'	1	1	2	24 (21%)	–
55 Andrea Giorgini D	8.1	90'	1	–	1	98 (94%)	–
79 Salvatore Molina M	7.5	90'	–	1	–	41 (36%)	1
25 Kenny Mixtur F	7.4	31'	1	–	2	8 (6%)	–
4 Riccardo Stivanello D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	84 (82%)	1
27 Giacomo Stabile D	7.0	83'	–	–	–	63 (56%)	–
22 Alessandro Plizzari G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	42 (35%)	–
14 Aljoša Vasić M	6.9	44'	–	1	–	11 (9%)	–
24 Simone Davì D	6.8	44'	–	–	1	17 (15%)	1
90 Alvin Obinna Okoro F	6.8	59'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	1
5 Simone Tronchin M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	59 (53%)	1
20 Bjarki Bjarkason M	6.5	46'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–
3 Davide Veroli D	6.5	7'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	–
9 Rareș Burnete F	6.3	19'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	1
17 L. Anghelè M	6.2	46'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Arezzo o pareggio

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Arezzo

LWLLW

Sudtirol

WLDWD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Sudtirol now leads 2-4 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

83' Goal 85% sure

Sudtirol now leads 1-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 16.4%.

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Sudtirol leads 1-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

81' Goal 85% sure

Sudtirol now leads 0-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 20.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Sudtirol leads 0-3. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

28%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sudtirol goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	9	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Arezzo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Arezzo

No scorer data.

Sudtirol

K. Mixtur 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

32%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

32%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	8.6%	5.3%	1.8%	0.5%
1	11.0%	14.8%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.2%	8.4%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
3	3.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

78%

1.5

22%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

34%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arezzo	Draw	Sudtirol
Arezzo	20.4%	3.8%	1.5%
Draw	18.9%	21.3%	12.9%
Sudtirol	2.3%	4.3%	14.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arezzo vs Sudtirol

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Arezzo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sudtirol	L	1 - 4
11 Sep	A Empoli	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	A Hellas Verona	L	5 - 0
30 Aug	H Palermo	L	2 - 3
22 Aug	A Avellino	W	1 - 2

Sudtirol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Arezzo	W	1 - 4
15 Sep	A Genoa	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Modena	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Catanzaro	W	2 - 0
30 Aug	A Benevento	D	1 - 1

Serie B Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10	5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9	3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10	5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7	4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5	6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10	7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7	6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8	8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6	13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4	6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7	6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5	7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7	10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5	9	-4	4
18	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4	7	-3	3
19	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5	9	-4	3
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2	6	-4	1

Sudtirol

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: D. Possanzini

22 Plizzari

27 Stabile

55 Giorgini

4 Stivanello

20 Bjarkason

5 Tronchin

10 Rispoli

79 Molina

17 Anghelè

11 Lopes

90 Okoro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	A. Plizzari	G
4	R. Stivanello	D
55	A. Giorgini	D
27	G. Stabile	D
79	S. Molina	M
10	Fabio Rispoli	M
5	S. Tronchin	M
20	B. Bjarkason	M
11	Vasco Lopes	M
17	L. Anghelè	M
90	A. Okoro	F

Substitutes

1	Lukas Ploner	G
46	D. Brik	M
9	R. Burnete	F
23	F. Davi	D
24	S. Davì	D
25	K. Mixtur	F
19	M. Pellini	D
80	Elias Schroot	M
21	F. Tait	M
12	Rok Vadjunec	G
14	A. Vasic	M
3	D. Veroli	D

Arezzo

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: C. Bucchi

14 Nunziante

37 Righetti

5 Illanes

13 Gilli

4 Coppolaro

17 Ioniţă

23 Viviani

16 Sala

99 Olivieri

71 Cianci

10 Pattarello

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
14	A. Nunziante	G
4	M. Coppolaro	D
13	M. Gilli	D
5	J. Illanes	D
37	S. Righetti	D
16	Mattia Sala	M
23	M. Viviani	M
17	A. Ioniţă	M
10	E. Pattarello	F
71	P. Cianci	F
99	M. Olivieri	F

Substitutes

32	A. Cagnano	D
9	A. Cerri	F
24	L. Chierico	M
7	Giuseppe Kevin Leone	M
33	D. Mancini	D
11	L. Mancuso	F
47	Aleandro Manes	M
8	S. Mawuli	M
2	M. Mena	D
90	A. Seculin	G
22	F. Serban	G
30	A. Arena	F