Northampton vs Rotherham Previsione

League Two League Two · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
Previsione AI Northampton o pareggio
36%
31%
33%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Northampton vs Rotherham: Sportiko assegna a Northampton una probabilità di vittoria del 36%, a Rotherham del 33% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 19 Sep 2026, 15:55.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
  • Casa a Segno 72%
  • Oltre 1.5 Gol 72%
  • Ospite a Segno 70%
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Timeline

HT 0–0
▮ 48'
Josh Austerfield Yellow Card
⇄ 60'
Dominic Iorfa ⇄ J. Buyabu
▮ 66'
Ossama Ashley Yellow Card
⇄ 67'
Fábio Tavares ⇄ Tom Bradshaw
⇄ 67'
Ossama Ashley ⇄ Kian Spence
S. Chambers ⇄ Harvey Saunders
67' ⇄
Max Dyche Yellow Card
72' ▮
⚽ 0–1 73'
Paul Mullin Penalty
⇄ 79'
Paul Mullin ⇄ Kieran Ngwenya
⇄ 79'
Aaron Nemane ⇄ Emmanuel Adegboyega
O. Dale ⇄ Logan Briggs
81' ⇄
Max Dyche ⇄ Matty Warhurst
82' ⇄
Tyrese Fornah Yellow Card
85' ▮
Tyrese Fornah ⇄ Sam Hoskins
87' ⇄
N. Opoku ⇄ Connor Lemonheigh-Evans
87' ⇄
FT 0–1
Northampton

Match Stats

Rotherham
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 7
2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
266 Total passes 354
154 Passes accurate 221
11 Free Kicks 14
Northampton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Jon Guthrie D 7.1 90' – – 1 19 (10%) –
1 Zach Jeacock G 7.0 90' – – – 27 (7%) –
32 Harvey Saunders F 6.8 23' – – 3 4 (2%) –
24 Connor Lemonheigh-Evans M 6.7 3' – – – 3 (2%) –
7 Sam Hoskins F 6.6 3' – – 1 – –
9 Matty Warhurst F 6.5 8' – – – 2 (1%) –
20 Logan Briggs M 6.4 9' – – – 2 –
19 O. Dale M 6.4 81' – – 2 14 (10%) 1
35 Max Dyche D 6.3 82' – – 1 37 (25%) –
26 S. Chambers F 6.3 67' – – – 15 (12%) 1
14 Tyrese Fornah M 6.2 87' – – – 32 (19%) 1
22 Joshua Alan Powell M 6.2 90' – – 1 19 (12%) 2
6 Elliott Moore D 6.1 90' – – 1 37 (22%) 1
4 Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh  M 6.0 90' – – 4 20 (12%) 1
17 N. Opoku F 5.9 87' – – 1 11 (9%) –
16 Joe Wormleighton D 5.6 90' – – 1 26 (11%) 3
Rotherham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Dominic Iorfa D 7.2 60' – – – 46 (37%) 4
24 J. Buyabu D 7.2 30' – – 2 2 (2%) –
10 Paul Mullin F 7.1 79' 1 – 2 7 (2%) 1
16 Emmanuel Adegboyega D 7.0 11' – – – 2 –
5 Kieran Ngwenya D 7.0 11' – – – 1 (1%) –
8 Kian Spence M 6.9 23' – – 1 7 (5%) –
9 Tom Bradshaw F 6.8 23' – – – 3 (2%) –
14 Sonny Aljofree D 6.7 90' – – – 57 (38%) 1
12 Denzel Hall D 6.6 90' – – – 39 (27%) 2
3 Ewan Otoo M 6.6 90' – – – 31 (26%) –
4 Josh Austerfield M 6.5 90' – – 2 35 (17%) 4
23 Aaron Nemane M 6.4 79' – – – 19 (10%) –
6 Ossama Ashley M 6.3 67' – – – 33 (22%) 1
28 Brandon Cover M 6.3 90' – – 2 24 (16%) 1
13 Julian Eyestone G 6.3 90' – – – 40 (10%) –
7 Fábio Tavares F 6.2 67' – – 2 8 (6%) –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Northampton o pareggio
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Northampton
LLWDD
Rotherham
DWDLD

Live insights

75' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Rotherham win: 84.5%. BTTS: 19.1%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Rotherham leads 0-1. Win probability: 84.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 69.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 36.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Northampton

No scorer data.

Rotherham
P. Mullin 3 gls

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Head to Head: Northampton vs Rotherham

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Northampton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rotherham L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Shrewsbury L 2 - 0
05 Sep H Newport County W 1 - 0
01 Sep H Crawley Town D 1 - 1
29 Aug A Gillingham D 1 - 1

Rotherham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep A York D 1 - 1
19 Sep A Northampton W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Salford City D 3 - 3
05 Sep A Bristol Rovers L 1 - 0
01 Sep A Tranmere D 2 - 2

League Two Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barnet
7 4 3 0 +7 15
2
Walsall
7 3 4 0 +6 13
3
Grimsby
7 3 4 0 +5 13
4
Gillingham
7 3 3 1 +5 12
5
Cheltenham
7 3 3 1 +3 12
6
Bristol Rovers
7 4 0 3 +1 12
7
York
7 3 2 2 +3 11
8
Chesterfield
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
Crewe
7 2 5 0 +2 11
10
Tranmere
7 2 4 1 +2 10
11
Fleetwood Town
7 2 4 1 +1 10
12
Salford City
7 3 1 3 -1 10
13
Swindon Town
7 3 1 3 -3 10
14
Rotherham
7 2 3 2 0 9
15
Colchester
7 2 3 2 -2 9
16
Oldham
7 2 1 4 -1 7
17
Rochdale
7 2 1 4 -3 7
18
Shrewsbury
7 2 1 4 -6 7
19
Newport County
7 1 3 3 -1 6
20
Exeter City
7 1 3 3 -1 6
21
Accrington ST
7 1 3 3 -3 6
22
Northampton
7 1 3 3 -3 6
23
Port Vale
7 1 2 4 -6 5
24
Crawley Town
7 1 1 5 -7 4

Rotherham

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: A. Bruce
13 Eyestone
14 Aljofree
27 Iorfa
12 Hall
3 Otoo
28 Cover
6 Ashley
23 Nemane
4 Austerfield
10 Mullin
7 Tavares

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 J. Eyestone G
12 D. Hall D
27 D. Iorfa D
14 Sonny Aljofree D
23 A. Nemane M
6 O. Ashley M
28 Brandon Ashley Cover M
3 E. Otoo M
4 J. Austerfield M
7 Fábio Tavares F
10 P. Mullin F

Substitutes

8 K. Spence M
5 K. Ngwenya D
15 Jayce Fitzgerald M
1 T. Cann G
24 J. Buyabu D
9 T. Bradshaw F
16 E. Adegboyega D

Northampton

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: C. Hogg
1 Jeacock
5 Guthrie
6 Moore
35 Dyche
16 Wormleighton
22 Powell
4 O'Brien-Whitmarsh
14 Fornah
19 Dale
26 Chambers
17 Opoku

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Jeacock G
16 J. Wormleighton D
35 M. Dyche D
6 E. Moore D
5 J. Guthrie D
19 O. Dale M
14 T. Fornah M
4 J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh M
22 Joshua Alan Powell M
17 N. Opoku F
26 S. Chambers F

Substitutes

20 L. Briggs M
34 R. Fitzsimons G
7 S. Hoskins F
32 H. Saunders F
11 K. Simon-Swyer F
24 C. Lemonheigh-Evans M
9 Matthew Warhurst F

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