Derby vs Birmingham Previsione
FT
Previsione AI
Birmingham o pareggio
28%
30%
42%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico Derby vs Birmingham: Sportiko assegna a Derby una probabilità di vittoria del 28%, a Birmingham del 42% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 12 Sep 2026, 13:34.
Pronostici Premium
Premium- Ospite a Segno 76%
- Under 3.5 Gol 75%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Gli utenti Premium avevano questi pronostici prima del calcio d'inizio.
Vedi le analisi Premium
Timeline
Mohammed Fuseini
Yellow Card
19'
▮
▮
21'
Alex Cochrane
Yellow Card
Bobby Clark
assist: Sammie Szmodics
40'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
42'
Carlos Vicente
assist: Liam Millar
▮
44'
August Priske
Yellow Card
HT 1–1
Henrik Wendel Meister
⇄ Oscar Fraulo
54'
⇄
⇄
60'
Jhon Solís
⇄ Seung Ho Paik
⚽
1–2
63'
Seung Ho Paik
assist: Liam Millar
⇄
73'
August Priske
⇄ Luis Vázquez
⇄
73'
Liam Millar
⇄ Ethan Laird
D. Ozoh
⇄ Corey Blackett-Taylor
85'
⇄
E. Cashin
⇄ Ryan Hedges
85'
⇄
Charlie Taylor
⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
90+5'
⇄
⇄
90+6'
Jay Stansfield
⇄ Kristoffer Lund
⇄
90+6'
Carlos Vicente
⇄ Dael Fry
FT 1–2
Derby
Match Stats
Birmingham
59%
Ball Possession
41%
16
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
9
6
Shots off Goal
7
6
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots insidebox
13
8
Shots outsidebox
5
10
Corner Kicks
4
4
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1
377
Total passes
273
286
Passes accurate
183
12
Free Kicks
8
Derby
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Bobby Clark M | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 43 (32%) | 4 |
| 23 Joe Ward D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (37%) | 1 |
| 44 E. Cashin D | 7.1 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 48 (39%) | 1 |
| 11 Sammie Szmodics M | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 6 | 36 (22%) | 3 |
| 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (14%) | – |
| 6 Sondre Langås D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | 1 |
| 33 Corey Blackett-Taylor F | 6.4 | 5' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 26 Ryan Hedges M | 6.4 | 5' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 4 D. Ozoh M | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | 2 |
| 18 Charlie Taylor D | 6.2 | 95' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | 1 |
| 9 Carlton Morris F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (15%) | – |
| 29 Oscar Fraulo M | 6.1 | 36' | – | – | 2 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 16 Mohammed Fuseini M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (17%) | – |
| 19 Henrik Wendel Meister M | 5.8 | 54' | – | – | – | 11 (5%) | – |
Birmingham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Liam Millar M | 8.3 | 73' | – | 2 | – | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 8 Seung Ho Paik M | 7.5 | 30' | 1 | – | 1 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 7 Carlos Vicente M | 6.9 | 96' | 1 | – | 5 | 25 (15%) | 2 |
| 2 Ethan Laird D | 6.8 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | 2 |
| 4 Christoph Klarer D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (19%) | – |
| 26 Bright Osayi-Samuel D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 5 |
| 1 James Beadle G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (9%) | – |
| 24 Tomoki Iwata M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (32%) | 1 |
| 28 Jay Stansfield M | 6.4 | 96' | – | – | 4 | 9 (4%) | – |
| 14 Jhon Solís M | 6.3 | 60' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 5 Phil Neumann D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (11%) | 2 |
| 20 Alex Cochrane D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (17%) | 1 |
| 9 August Priske F | 6.1 | 73' | – | – | 3 | 10 (6%) | – |
| 32 Luis Vázquez F | 6.0 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (42%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
Birmingham o pareggio
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Derby
DLLLW
Birmingham
DWLDD
Last 1 meetings
Derby · 1W 0D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
42%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Derby vs Birmingham
1
Derby Wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Derby | 1 - 0 | Birmingham |
Derby — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Burnley | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Birmingham | L | 1 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H West Brom | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A West Ham | L | 3 - 0 |
| 01 Sep | A Portsmouth | W | 0 - 2 |
Birmingham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Middlesbrough | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Derby | W | 1 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | A Norwich | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Wolves | D | 2 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | H Southampton | D | 1 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Birmingham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: C. Davies
1
Beadle
20
Cochrane
4
Klarer
5
Neumann
26
Osayi-Samuel
14
Solis
24
Iwata
17
Millar
28
Stansfield
7
Vicente
9
Priske
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Beadle | G |
| 26 | B. Osayi-Samuel | D |
| 5 | P. Neumann | D |
| 4 | C. Klarer | D |
| 20 | A. Cochrane | D |
| 24 | T. Iwata | M |
| 14 | J. Solis | M |
| 7 | Carlos Vicente | M |
| 28 | J. Stansfield | M |
| 17 | L. Millar | M |
| 9 | A. Priske | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | Paik Seung-Ho | M |
| 32 | L. Vázquez | F |
| 25 | K. Lund | D |
| 2 | E. Laird | D |
| 27 | K. Fujimoto | M |
| 33 | M. Ducksch | F |
| 3 | L. Buchanan | D |
| 21 | R. Allsop | G |
| 23 | D. Fry | D |
Derby
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Eustace
1
Zetterström
18
Taylor
44
Cashin
6
Langås
23
Ward
4
Ozoh
8
Clark
19
Meister
11
Szmodics
16
Fuseini
9
Morris
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Widell Zetterström | G |
| 23 | J. Ward | D |
| 6 | S. Langås | D |
| 44 | E. Cashin | D |
| 18 | C. Taylor | D |
| 8 | B. Clark | M |
| 4 | D. Ozoh | M |
| 16 | M. Fuseini | M |
| 11 | S. Szmodics | M |
| 19 | H. Meister | M |
| 9 | C. Morris | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | J. Vickers | G |
| 33 | C. Blackett-Taylor | F |
| 29 | O. Fraulo | M |
| 26 | R. Hedges | M |
| 22 | M. Johnston | D |
| 20 | A. Mowatt | M |
| 24 | R. Nyambe | D |
| 15 | L. Salvesen | F |
| 28 | D. Sanderson | D |