Rodez vs Montpellier Previsione

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9

16 Oct 2026, 18:00

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Montpellier

Away

Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

Previsione AI Troppo equilibrato per una previsione

40%

30%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Rodez vs Montpellier: Sportiko assegna a Rodez una probabilità di vittoria del 40%, a Montpellier del 30% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Rodez

LLLDW

Montpellier

DWLDW

Match summary

Rodez faces Montpellier in an intriguing Ligue 2 matchup. Rodez has struggled for consistency this season, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, with a goal difference of -5. In contrast, Montpellier has shown more attacking intent, averaging 1.5 goals per match and holding a better away record. The key for Rodez will be to solidify their defense, while Montpellier will look to exploit gaps in the home side's backline. This clash could be pivotal for both teams in their pursuit of mid-table stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

40%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Montpellier goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Rodez goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Rodez

I. Baldé 5 gls

Montpellier

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

30%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

30%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	7.5%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.3%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.5%	8.8%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.5%	4.0%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rodez	Draw	Montpellier
Rodez	24.2%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	15.1%	18.9%	11.8%
Montpellier	2.1%	4.4%	17.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rodez vs Montpellier

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Rodez — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Nancy	L	3 - 4
11 Sep	H Grenoble	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Metz	L	4 - 1
28 Aug	H PAU	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Nantes	W	2 - 5

Montpellier — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Reims	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H PAU	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Saint Etienne	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Boulogne	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	A Dunkerque	W	0 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.