Arouca vs Vitória SC Previsione

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 18

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Vitória SC

Away

Previsione AI Vitória SC vince o pareggia

23%

68%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Arouca vs Vitória SC: Sportiko assegna a Arouca una probabilità di vittoria del 9%, a Vitória SC del 68% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 15.6%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Arouca

DLDWL

Vitória SC

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Arouca · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Arouca faces Guimaraes in a mid-season clash that could impact their standings in the Primeira Liga. Arouca has shown resilience at home, maintaining a solid defensive record, conceding only 10 goals in their last 10 matches. Guimaraes, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, with a mixed bag of results away from home, but they possess a potent attack led by their top scorer. The match may hinge on Arouca's ability to exploit defensive lapses from Guimaraes, while the visitors will look to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. Expect a tightly contested game with both teams aiming for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitória SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	15	16	10	5	2
1	4	10	9	6	3	1
2	1	3	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Arouca goals · most likely 0–2 (15.6%)

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Players in form

Arouca

Barbero 4 gls

Vitória SC

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	15.3%	15.6%	9.8%	4.7%
1	3.7%	10.5%	8.7%	5.5%	2.6%
2	1.4%	2.6%	2.5%	1.5%	0.7%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arouca	Draw	Vitória SC
Arouca	4.9%	2.7%	2.0%
Draw	4.2%	15.8%	22.6%
Vitória SC	0.5%	2.7%	44.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

57%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arouca vs Vitória SC

2 Arouca Wins

1 Draws

0 Vitória SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	Vitória SC	0 - 1	Arouca
07 Feb 2026	Arouca	3 - 2	Vitória SC
30 Aug 2025	Vitória SC	1 - 1	Arouca

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Arouca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sporting CP	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Santa Clara	L	1 - 2
07 Sep	A Estoril	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Maritimo	W	2 - 1
23 Aug	A FC Porto	L	2 - 0

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Moreirense	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Academico Viseu	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Casa Pia	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Nacional	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.