Estoril vs Rio Ave Previsione

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Previsione AI Estoril o pareggio
46%
30%
24%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Estoril vs Rio Ave: Sportiko assegna a Estoril una probabilità di vittoria del 46%, a Rio Ave del 24% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.

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  • Under 2.5 Gol 71%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 71%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 15'
Jalen Blesa
FT 0–2
Estoril

Match Stats

Rio Ave
61% Ball Possession 39%
0.36 Expected Goals (xG) 0.14
3 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 0
0 Blocked Shots 0
2 Shots insidebox 1
1 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Corner Kicks 2
Offsides
3 Fouls 4
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
138 Total passes 87
120 Passes accurate 70
87% Passes % 80%
0.17 goals_prevented 0.17
Estoril
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Yanis Begraoui F 6.9 26' – – – 8 (8%) –
7 André Lacximicant M 6.9 26' – – – 4 (4%) –
5 Antef Tsoungui M 6.7 26' – – 1 11 (8%) 1
99 Rafik Guitane M 6.6 26' – – – 16 (13%) –
1 Joel Robles G 6.5 26' – – – 10 (9%) –
12 João Carvalho M 6.5 26' – – 1 12 (11%) –
15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D 6.5 26' – – – 22 (21%) –
4 Ferro D 6.3 26' – – – 18 (18%) –
2 Ricard Sánchez D 6.2 26' – – 1 15 (13%) 2
3 Fernando Medrano D 6.2 26' – – – 11 (8%) –
90 Tiago Brito M 6.2 26' – – – 14 (10%) –
Rio Ave
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Jalen Blesa M 7.6 26' 1 – 1 12 (8%) 1
14 Jakub Brabec D 7.2 26' – – – 7 (7%) 1
6 Nelson Abbey D 6.9 26' – – – 11 (9%) 2
44 Tamás Nikitscher M 6.7 26' – – – 6 (5%) –
7 Diogo Bezerra M 6.7 26' – 1 – 5 (4%) –
9 Tamblé Monteiro F 6.7 26' – – – 3 (1%) –
99 Ennio Van Der Gouw G 6.6 26' – – – 12 (10%) –
23 Francisco Petrasso D 6.6 26' – – – 12 (10%) –
90 Diogo Nascimento M 6.5 26' – – – 11 (11%) –
54 Georgios Liavas D 6.3 26' – – – 6 (4%) –
30 Roland Galčík M 6.3 26' – – – 2 (1%) –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Estoril o pareggio
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Estoril
LLDLL
Rio Ave
LDLLW
Last 3 meetings Estoril · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Estoril faces Rio Ave in a Primeira Liga clash on August 23, 2026. Estoril will rely on their recent form, where they have averaged 1.5 goals per game in the last five matches, while Rio Ave's defense has shown vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the same span. Both teams will aim to capitalize on their attacking strengths; Estoril’s midfield has been effective in creating chances, with a high pass completion rate of 85%. This matchup could hinge on set-piece execution, as both teams have shown proficiency in converting such opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Estoril vs Rio Ave

2 Estoril Wins
0 Draws
1 Rio Ave Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Mar 2026 Estoril 1 - 2 Rio Ave
01 Nov 2025 Rio Ave 0 - 4 Estoril
22 Feb 2025 Estoril 2 - 1 Rio Ave
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Estoril — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Casa Pia L 1 - 2
14 Sep A SC Braga L 1 - 0
07 Sep H Arouca D 0 - 0
31 Aug A Benfica L 2 - 1
22 Aug H Rio Ave L 0 - 2

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Alverca L 1 - 0
14 Sep H Estrela D 3 - 3
06 Sep A Santa Clara L 4 - 0
28 Aug H Sporting CP L 0 - 4
22 Aug A Estoril W 0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Rio Ave

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
99 Gouw
6 Abbey
14 Brabec
23 Petrasso
54 Liavas
90 Nascimento
44 Nikitscher
30 Galčík
11 Blesa
7 Bezerra
9 Monteiro

Starting XI

# Player Pos
99 Ennio Van Der Gouw G
54 Georgios Liavas D
23 Francisco Petrasso D
14 Jakub Brabec D
6 Nelson Abbey D
44 Tamás Nikitscher M
90 Diogo Nascimento M
7 Diogo Bezerra M
11 Jalen Blesa M
30 Roland Galčík M
9 Tamblé Monteiro F

Substitutes

22 Kevin Chamorro G
39 Gustavo Mancha D
60 Caike D
13 Julien Lomboto D
70 Antoine Wenck M
25 Rafael Lobato F
79 Miguel Patricio F
5 Andreas Ndoj D
17 Marios Vrousai F
67 Samuel da Silva Alves F
27 Tobias Medina M
77 Dario Špikić F

Estoril

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Matos
1 Robles
3 Medrano
15 Arnal
4 Ferro
2 Sánchez
5 Tsoungui
90 Brito
7 Lacximicant
12 Carvalho
99 Guitane
14 Begraoui

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Joel Robles G
2 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Ferro D
15 Ismael Sierra Arnal D
3 Fernando Medrano D
90 Tiago Brito M
5 Antef Tsoungui M
99 Rafik Guitane M
12 João Carvalho M
7 André Lacximicant M
14 Yanis Begraoui F

Substitutes

23 Diogo Dias G
16 Martin Turk G
42 Jordan Arnolin D
22 Pedro Carvalho D
19 Tiago Parente D
25 Stelios Andreou D
18 Gonçalo Costa D
80 Luis Gomes M
6 Jandro Orellana M
98 Fabrício Garcia F
17 Peixinho F

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