Lens vs Lille Previsione

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

20 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Lille

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Lille

15%

24%

60%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Lens vs Lille: Sportiko assegna a Lens una probabilità di vittoria del 15%, a Lille del 60% e al pareggio del 24%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Lens

LDWLL

Lille

LWLWD

Last 3 meetings Lens · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lens will host Lille in a highly anticipated derby. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Lens currently sitting in the upper half of the table, while Lille aims to solidify their position in the European qualification spots. Lens has displayed a strong defensive record, conceding only 25 goals this season, making it challenging for opponents to break through. Conversely, Lille's attack, led by their top scorers, has been potent, averaging 1.8 goals per match. The outcome may hinge on Lens’ ability to maintain their defensive solidity against Lille's offensive prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lille goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	11	7	4	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	5	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lens goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Lille

Tiago Santos 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

24%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

24%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	10.4%	11.4%	7.4%	3.6%
1	4.0%	11.7%	10.0%	6.5%	3.1%
2	2.3%	4.5%	4.4%	2.9%	1.4%
3	0.7%	1.3%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lens	Draw	Lille
Lens	9.1%	4.1%	3.0%
Draw	5.8%	15.0%	20.6%
Lille	0.9%	3.3%	38.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lens vs Lille

1 Lens Wins

0 Draws

2 Lille Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	Lille	3 - 0	Lens
20 Sep 2025	Lens	3 - 0	Lille
30 Mar 2025	Lille	1 - 0	Lens

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Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Lille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nice	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Real Betis	L	2 - 3
03 Sep	A Toulouse	W	0 - 1
28 Aug	H Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.