Lorient vs Nice Previsione

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

20 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Nice

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Lorient

60%

28%

12%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Lorient vs Nice: Sportiko assegna a Lorient una probabilità di vittoria del 60%, a Nice del 12% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 18%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Lorient

LDWLD

Nice

WLDLD

Last 3 meetings Lorient · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Lorient will face Nice, both teams aiming for crucial points in their pursuit of a higher league position. Lorient has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match this season, while Nice boasts a strong attacking unit, averaging 1.8 goals per game. The key battle will be in midfield, where Lorient will need to disrupt Nice's rhythm to limit their creative chances. Historically, matches between these sides have been closely contested, suggesting a potentially tight encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

60%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

12%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nice goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	5	2
1	18	12	3	1
2	15	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 1–0 (18.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

28%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

28%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.9%	5.4%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
1	18.0%	11.8%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.9%	8.0%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	7.6%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lorient	Draw	Nice
Lorient	38.7%	3.0%	0.5%
Draw	21.5%	20.3%	5.5%
Nice	1.5%	2.9%	6.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

58%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Nice

0 Lorient Wins

3 Draws

0 Nice Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Nice	0 - 0	Lorient
04 Mar 2026	Lorient	0 - 0	Nice
22 Feb 2026	Nice	3 - 3	Lorient

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Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.