Strasbourg vs Lens Previsione

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Previsione AI Lens o pareggio
25%
27%
48%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Strasbourg vs Lens: Sportiko assegna a Strasbourg una probabilità di vittoria del 25%, a Lens del 48% e al pareggio del 27%. Ultimo aggiornamento 29 Aug 2026, 17:16.

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Match Report

Lens looked on course for victory after Florian Thauvin converted a penalty in the 38th minute to give the visitors a 1–0 lead at half-time, a scoreline that reflected their slightly more threatening approach in the opening period.

Strasbourg responded immediately after the break, with Gessime Yassine levelling matters just three minutes into the second half. Lens thought they had retaken the lead when Jacobo Ortega found the net in the 56th minute, but VAR intervened to cancel the goal and keep the scores level. The match remained finely balanced through a flurry of substitutions on both sides, though Yassine was booked in the 84th minute, adding further tension to his evening.

The decisive moment came in the 85th minute when Yassine, despite his earlier caution, struck again to complete a memorable individual performance and seal a 2–1 win for Strasbourg. The result was a surprise given that our pre-match AI model had rated a Lens victory as the most likely outcome at 48%. Both sides finished with seven shots on target, underlining how closely contested the encounter was throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jeyland Mitchell Yellow Card
36' ▮
⚽ 0–1 38'
Florian Thauvin Penalty
HT 0–1
Gessime Yassine assist: Sebastian Nanasi
48' ⚽ 1–1
Jacobo Ortega Goal cancelled
56' 🖵
⇄ 62'
Maik Nawrocki ⇄ Ruben Aguilar
▮ 69'
Franjo Ivanović Yellow Card
⇄ 72'
Michaël Cuisance ⇄ Andrija Bulatovic
⇄ 73'
Franjo Ivanović ⇄ Thorgan Hazard
Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
76' ⇄
▮ 80'
Ruben Aguilar Yellow Card
Lucas Høgsberg ⇄ Karim Coulibaly
83' ⇄
Jacobo Ortega ⇄ Sékou Mara
83' ⇄
Gessime Yassine Yellow Card
84' ▮
Gessime Yassine assist: Sebastian Nanasi
85' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 89'
Abdallah Sima ⇄ Florian Sotoca
⇄ 89'
Michał Skóraś ⇄ Mezian Mesloub
Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Mateo Del Blanco
90' ⇄
Gessime Yassine ⇄ Fabio Baldé
90' ⇄
FT 2–1
Strasbourg

Match Stats

Lens
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 4
12 Shots insidebox 12
4 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 5
444 Total passes 415
387 Passes accurate 353
11 Free Kicks 9
Strasbourg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
80 Gessime Yassine M 9.4 89' 2 – 3 23 (20%) 1
11 Sebastian Nanasi M 8.3 89' – 2 2 25 (21%) 1
1 Filip Jørgensen G 7.7 90' – – – 45 (32%) –
10 Giovanni Reyna M 7.2 76' – – 2 26 (24%) –
24 Lucas Høgsberg D 6.8 83' – – – 43 (37%) 2
21 Pape Diop M 6.7 90' – – 3 51 (49%) 3
2 Andrew Omobamidele D 6.7 90' – – 1 62 (60%) 1
14 Sékou Mara F 6.6 7' – – – 3 (3%) 1
7 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F 6.6 14' – – 1 7 (6%) –
16 Genesis Antwi D 6.5 90' – – – 34 (32%) 1
30 Jacobo Ortega F 6.5 83' – – 3 20 (14%) –
31 Karim Coulibaly D 6.3 7' – – – 3 (2%) –
4 Jeyland Mitchell D 6.2 90' – – 1 66 (59%) –
23 Diogo Sousa M 6.2 90' – – – 33 (25%) –
19 Fabio Baldé F 0.0 1' – – – 2 (2%) –
15 Mateo Del Blanco D 0.0 1' – – – 1 (1%) 2
Lens
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Florian Thauvin M 7.8 90' 1 – 1 40 (32%) 1
40 Robin Risser G 7.2 90' – – – 36 (30%) –
25 Ismaelo Ganiou D 6.9 90' – – 1 55 (48%) 2
31 Souleymane Sagnan D 6.8 90' – – – 47 (42%) 3
5 Andrija Bulatovic M 6.7 18' – – 3 12 (11%) 2
2 Ruben Aguilar D 6.7 28' – – – 25 (24%) –
8 Yassine Titraoui M 6.6 90' – – 1 55 (48%) 5
3 Maik Nawrocki D 6.6 62' – – – 24 (23%) 1
22 Michał Skóraś M 6.5 89' – – 1 41 (34%) 1
14 Matthieu Udol M 6.3 90' – – 4 25 (18%) 1
7 Florian Sotoca F 6.3 1' – – 2 – –
19 Abdallah Sima F 6.2 89' – – 2 15 (8%) 1
38 Mezian Mesloub M 6.2 1' – – – 8 (7%) –
9 Thorgan Hazard M 6.1 17' – – – 7 (6%) –
27 Michaël Cuisance M 6.0 72' – – 1 19 (17%) 2
29 Franjo Ivanović M 5.9 73' – – 1 6 (5%) 1
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Lens o pareggio
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Strasbourg
LDWWL
Lens
LDWLL
Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Strasbourg will face Lens in a Ligue 1 encounter on August 29, 2026. Strasbourg has shown a robust defensive structure, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season, while Lens boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Both teams will look to capitalize on transitional play; Strasbourg's midfield will be crucial in disrupting Lens's rhythm. Expect a tactical battle, with key players likely influencing the outcome through set pieces and counterattacks.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
48%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Strasbourg
Gessime Yassine 2 gls
S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls
Lens
F. Thauvin 3 gls
F. Ivanović 2 gls

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Lens

1 Strasbourg Wins
1 Draws
1 Lens Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Feb 2026 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Lens
22 Nov 2025 Lens 1 - 0 Strasbourg
16 Feb 2025 Lens 0 - 2 Strasbourg
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Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Paris FC L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Monaco D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Estac Troyes W 2 - 6
29 Aug H Lens W 2 - 1
21 Aug A Marseille L 4 - 0

Lens — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Monaco L 2 - 1
13 Sep A Le Mans D 2 - 2
10 Sep A Slavia Praha W 2 - 3
05 Sep H Lorient L 0 - 1
29 Aug A Strasbourg L 2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Strasbourg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá
1 Jörgensen
24 Høgsberg
2 Omobamidele
4 Mitchell
16 Antwi
21 Diop
23 Sousa
11 Nanasi
10 Reyna
80 Yassine
30 Ortega

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Jörgensen G
16 G. Antwi D
4 J. Mitchell D
2 A. Omobamidele D
24 L. Høgsberg D
23 Diogo Sousa M
21 P. Diop M
80 Gessime Yassine M
10 G. Reyna M
11 S. Nanasi M
30 J. Ortega F

Substitutes

7 S. Amo-Ameyaw F
17 M. Amougou M
19 Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé F
45 B. Brantlind M
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D
15 M. Del Blanco D
14 S. Mara F
28 Tyrese Noubissie M
12 M. Piekutowski G

Lens

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ramón Catalá
40 Risser
31 Sagnan
25 Ganiou
3 Nawrocki
14 Udol
27 Cuisance
8 Titraoui
22 Skóraś
29 Ivanović
10 Thauvin
19 Sima

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 R. Risser G
3 M. Nawrocki D
25 I. Ganiou D
31 S. Sagnan D
22 M. Skóraś M
8 Y. Titraoui M
27 M. Cuisance M
14 M. Udol M
10 F. Thauvin M
29 F. Ivanović M
19 A. Sima F

Substitutes

7 F. Sotoca F
38 Mezian Mesloub M
9 T. Hazard M
21 A. Haidara M
18 R. Fofana F
4 N. Čelik D
2 R. Aguilar D
5 A. Bulatović M

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