Atalanta vs Monza Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

21 Feb 2027, 17:30

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Monza

Away

Previsione AI Atalanta vince o pareggia

77%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atalanta vs Monza: Sportiko assegna a Atalanta una probabilità di vittoria del 77%, a Monza del 5% e al pareggio del 18%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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76% 75% 72%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.1%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Atalanta

LLLWW

Monza

WLDWL

Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Atalanta faces Monza in this Serie A clash, with Atalanta currently positioned in the upper tier of the league. They boast a strong home record, averaging 2.1 goals per match at home this season, while Monza struggles defensively, conceding 1.7 goals per match on the road. Key players for Atalanta include their top scorer, who has netted 15 goals, while Monza will need to rely on their midfield to control the tempo. Given Atalanta's offensive prowess and Monza's defensive vulnerabilities, this match could see a significant goal tally.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monza goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	15	8	1
2	18	8	2
3	13	6	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 2–0 (18.1%)

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Players in form

Atalanta

No scorer data.

Monza

Gustavo Varela 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.4%	7.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.1%	7.6%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.4%	5.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.4%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	Monza
Atalanta	54.3%	2.0%	0.3%
Draw	23.0%	12.3%	2.4%
Monza	1.6%	1.8%	2.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Monza

3 Atalanta Wins

0 Draws

0 Monza Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 May 2025	Monza	0 - 4	Atalanta
30 Oct 2024	Atalanta	2 - 0	Monza
21 Apr 2024	Monza	1 - 2	Atalanta

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Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Sassuolo	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Lecce	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Parma	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Udinese	L	2 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.