Cagliari vs Parma Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

31 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Parma

Away

Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Previsione AI Vittoria Cagliari

79%

18%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Cagliari vs Parma: Sportiko assegna a Cagliari una probabilità di vittoria del 79%, a Parma del 4% e al pareggio del 18%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Cagliari

WWWLL

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Cagliari faces Parma in what promises to be a competitive Serie A clash. Cagliari has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match in their last five outings. Parma, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, averaging less than a goal scored per match in their last five away games. Both teams will seek to capitalize on set pieces, as defensive errors could be crucial in determining the outcome. The match could hinge on Cagliari's ability to break down Parma's defense, which has been vulnerable to counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	19	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Cagliari goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Cagliari

D. Maldini 3 gls

Parma

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	2.1%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.9%	6.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.2%	4.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.4%	2.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cagliari	Draw	Parma
Cagliari	53.4%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.9%	13.4%	1.8%
Parma	1.3%	1.6%	2.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Parma

2 Cagliari Wins

1 Draws

0 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Parma	0 - 1	Cagliari
27 Feb 2026	Parma	1 - 1	Cagliari
13 Sep 2025	Cagliari	2 - 0	Parma

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Cagliari — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Udinese	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Atalanta	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H Lecce	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Hellas Verona	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Inter	L	0 - 1

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.