Atalanta vs Parma Previsione

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

01 Nov 2026, 17:30

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Parma

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria Atalanta

80%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Atalanta vs Parma: Sportiko assegna a Atalanta una probabilità di vittoria del 80%, a Parma del 3% e al pareggio del 17%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Atalanta

LLLWW

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Atalanta enters this Serie A clash against Parma with a solid home record, leveraging their attacking prowess, which has seen them score an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Parma, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Both teams have experienced fluctuations in form, but Atalanta's tactical flexibility and strong midfield presence may give them an edge. Expect a high-paced encounter with Atalanta likely pushing for an early goal to assert control.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	4	1
4	8	2
5	3	1

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	1.9%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.2%	6.4%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.7%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.9%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	Parma
Atalanta	55.0%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.5%	12.6%	1.7%
Parma	1.3%	1.5%	1.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Parma

1 Atalanta Wins

1 Draws

1 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	Atalanta	4 - 0	Parma
30 Aug 2025	Parma	1 - 1	Atalanta
25 May 2025	Atalanta	2 - 3	Parma

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Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.