Udinese vs Lazio Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Previsione AI Lazio o pareggio
33%
31%
35%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Udinese vs Lazio: Sportiko assegna a Udinese una probabilità di vittoria del 33%, a Lazio del 35% e al pareggio del 31%. Ultimo aggiornamento 7 Sep 2026, 20:45.

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Match Report

Udinese dominated possession and territory for much of this Serie A encounter but were unable to convert their superiority into first-half goals, with both sides heading into the break level at 0–0 despite the hosts registering eight corner kicks and 19 total shots across the 90 minutes.

The second half brought the decisive action. Udinese broke the deadlock four minutes after the restart through Jesper Karlström, who had been booked in first-half stoppage time, and the hosts appeared on course for all three points. Lazio's response was swift and clinical, however, with Davide Frattesi equalising on 75 minutes before Albert Guðmundsson sealed the turnaround with a late winner six minutes from time to complete a 2–1 comeback victory.

The match was also disrupted by a string of disciplinary issues, including an early double yellow card for Udinese's Jakub Piotrowski that forced a substitution inside the first quarter-hour. Lazio's win came despite managing just 40% possession and six shots on target — a result that, notably, our pre-match AI model had identified as the most likely outcome at 35%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jakub Piotrowski Yellow Card
13' ▮
Jakub Piotrowski ⇄ Lennon Miller
15' ⇄
Lennon Miller Yellow Card
23' ▮
▮ 25'
Gustav Isaksen Yellow Card
Oumar Solet ⇄ Christian Kabasele
38' ⇄
Unai Gómez ⇄ Vakoun Bayo
45' ⇄
Jesper Karlström Yellow Card
45+3' ▮
HT 0–0
Jesper Karlström assist: Keinan Davis
49' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 53'
Andrea Pinamonti ⇄ Tijjani Noslin
⇄ 53'
Gustav Isaksen ⇄ Matteo Cancellieri
Vakoun Bayo Yellow Card
67' ▮
⚽ 1–1 75'
Davide Frattesi assist: Mattia Zaccagni
Keinan Davis ⇄ Oier Zarraga
76' ⇄
James Abankwah ⇄ Nicolò Bertola
76' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Davide Frattesi ⇄ Albert Guðmundsson
Nicolò Bertola Yellow Card
84' ▮
⚽ 1–2 88'
Albert Guðmundsson assist: Danilho Doekhi
⇄ 90+1'
Mattia Zaccagni ⇄ Alfonso Pedraza
FT 1–2
Udinese

Match Stats

Lazio
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Goal 7
1 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Corner Kicks 8
1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
359 Total passes 540
292 Passes accurate 478
9 Free Kicks 12
Udinese
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Maduka Okoye G 7.5 90' – – – 28 (23%) –
9 Keinan Davis F 7.5 76' – 1 3 27 (17%) 1
8 Jesper Karlström M 7.3 90' 1 – 1 43 (33%) 3
77 Enzo Ebosse D 7.0 90' – – – 41 (38%) –
14 James Abankwah D 6.8 76' – – – 26 (24%) 2
38 Lennon Miller M 6.7 75' – – – 28 (26%) 3
28 Oumar Solet D 6.6 38' – – – 24 (22%) 1
27 Christian Kabasele D 6.4 52' – – – 11 (10%) 1
11 Hassane Kamara M 6.4 90' – – 3 19 (15%) 4
15 Vakoun Bayo F 6.3 44' – – – 11 (6%) –
46 Unai Gómez M 6.3 46' – – 1 8 (5%) 1
23 Mërgim Vojvoda M 6.2 90' – – – 49 (38%) 3
24 Jakub Piotrowski M 6.0 15' – – – 3 (3%) –
32 Jürgen Ekkelenkamp M 6.0 90' – – 2 26 (18%) 2
6 Oier Zarraga M 6.0 14' – – – 3 (3%) –
13 Nicolò Bertola D 5.8 14' – – – 12 (11%) 1
Lazio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
35 Christos Mandas G 8.0 90' – – – 22 (17%) –
80 Albert Guðmundsson F 7.9 10' 1 – 2 7 (7%) –
10 Mattia Zaccagni F 7.7 89' – 1 4 46 (39%) 1
16 Davide Frattesi M 7.4 80' 1 – 3 27 (22%) 1
5 Danilho Doekhi D 7.3 90' – 1 1 59 (56%) –
22 Matteo Cancellieri F 7.2 37' – – 2 16 (16%) –
17 Nuno Tavares D 7.0 90' – – 2 65 (56%) 1
24 Kenneth Taylor M 6.8 90' – – 2 64 (57%) 4
21 Reda Belahyane M 6.8 90' – – – 67 (62%) 3
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini D 6.6 90' – – – 48 (43%) 3
25 Oliver Provstgaard D 6.5 90' – – 1 73 (68%) 1
14 Tijjani Noslin F 6.5 37' – – 1 12 (9%) –
11 Gustav Isaksen F 6.3 53' – – 1 22 (18%) –
9 Andrea Pinamonti F 6.3 53' – – – 10 (6%) –
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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Lazio o pareggio
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Udinese
LLLWW
Lazio
WDWWW
Last 3 meetings Udinese · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Udinese will face Lazio, both teams bringing contrasting forms into the match. Udinese has struggled in recent fixtures, recording only 1 win in their last 5 league games, while Lazio has shown resilience, securing 3 wins in the same period. Key player performances will be crucial; Udinese will rely on their top scorer, while Lazio's defense, anchored by their experienced center-backs, will aim to stifle the home side's attack. The battle in midfield will also be pivotal, as both teams look to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
33%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
35%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Udinese
H. Kamara 2 gls
J. Ekkelenkamp 2 gls
Lazio
D. Frattesi 3 gls

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Head to Head: Udinese vs Lazio

0 Udinese Wins
3 Draws
0 Lazio Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Apr 2026 Lazio 3 - 3 Udinese
27 Dec 2025 Udinese 1 - 1 Lazio
10 Mar 2025 Lazio 1 - 1 Udinese
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Udinese — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Cagliari L 0 - 1
14 Sep A Inter L 5 - 3
07 Sep H Lazio L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Venezia W 2 - 1
29 Aug A Monza W 2 - 3

Lazio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Venezia W 0 - 2
12 Sep H AC Milan D 2 - 2
07 Sep A Udinese W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Genoa W 1 - 0
24 Aug A Bologna W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gennaro Gattuso
35 Mandas
17 Tavares
25 Provstgaard
5 Doekhi
15 Mussolini
24 Taylor
21 Belahyane
16 Frattesi
10 Zaccagni
9 Pinamonti
11 Isaksen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
35 C. Mandas G
15 R. Floriani Mussolini D
5 D. Doekhi D
25 O. Provstgaard D
17 Nuno Tavares D
16 D. Frattesi M
21 R. Belahyane M
24 K. Taylor M
11 G. Isaksen F
9 A. Pinamonti F
10 M. Zaccagni F

Substitutes

22 M. Cancellieri F
33 Ricardo Bordon D
71 V. Farcomeni M
80 A. Guðmundsson F
29 M. Lazzari M
40 E. Motta G
14 T. Noslin F
23 Pedraza D
28 A. Przyborek M
47 D. Renzetti G
63 F. Serra F
37 J. Šutalo D

Udinese

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Kosta Runjaic
40 Okoye
77 Ebosse
28 Solet
14 Abankwah
11 Kamara
24 Piotrowski
8 Karlström
23 Vojvoda
46 Gómez
32 Ekkelenkamp
9 Davis

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 M. Okoye G
14 J. Abankwah D
28 O. Solet D
77 E. Ebosse D
23 M. Vojvoda M
8 J. Karlström M
24 J. Piotrowski M
11 H. Kamara M
32 J. Ekkelenkamp M
46 Unai Gómez M
9 K. Davis F

Substitutes

38 L. Miller M
41 B. Mrozek G
93 D. Padelli G
45 G. Vinciati F
6 Oier Zarraga M
4 S. Lovrić M
15 V. Bayo F
13 N. Bertola D
30 G. Chakvetadze M
7 I. Gueye F
91 L. Jovanović F
27 C. Kabasele D

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