Venezia vs Lecce Previsione

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Previsione AI Venezia o pareggio
50%
28%
22%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Venezia vs Lecce: Sportiko assegna a Venezia una probabilità di vittoria del 50%, a Lecce del 22% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Aug 2026, 18:28.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Match Report

Lecce claimed a comfortable 2–0 victory at Venezia in this Serie A opener, dominating from start to finish despite a goalless first half. The visitors controlled 71% of possession and generated an expected goals figure of 1.63 compared to Venezia's modest 0.23, reflecting their clear superiority throughout. Venezia's task was complicated early when Thierry Correia had a goal ruled out by VAR for handball in the 16th minute.

The deadlock was broken immediately after the interval, with Olaf Gorter netting on 46 minutes before being substituted off just 15 minutes later. Venezia briefly threatened through Toma Bašić, but his effort was disallowed for offside in the 76th minute, and Tiago Gabriel put the result beyond doubt with a second Lecce goal on 80 minutes. Four yellow cards were distributed across the afternoon, with Venezia picking up three of them.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Venezia win as most likely at 50%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Lecce's dominance in every key statistical category told the full story.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 3'
Kialonda Gaspar Yellow Card
Thierry Correia Goal Disallowed - handball
16' 🖵
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 46'
Olaf Gorter assist: Lassana Coulibaly
⇄ 46'
Antonino Gallo ⇄ Corrie Ndaba
▮ 59'
Oumar Ngom Yellow Card
⇄ 61'
Olaf Gorter ⇄ Youssef Maleh
Thierry Correia ⇄ Ridgeciano Haps
64' ⇄
Kike Pérez ⇄ Matteo Dagasso
70' ⇄
▮ 71'
Danilo Veiga Yellow Card
⇄ 74'
Konan N'Dri ⇄ Tiago Gabriel
⇄ 74'
Willem Geubbels ⇄ Nikola Štulić
Toma Bašić Goal Disallowed - offside
76' 🖵
Matteo Dagasso Yellow Card
78' ▮
⚽ 0–2 80'
Tiago Gabriel
Antoine Hainaut ⇄ Richie Sagrado
85' ⇄
Toma Bašić ⇄ Albion Rrahmani
85' ⇄
⇄ 90+1'
Santiago Pierotti ⇄ Omri Gandelman
FT 0–2
Venezia

Match Stats

Lecce
71% Ball Possession 29%
1.63 Expected Goals (xG) 0.23
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 2
6 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
530 Total passes 220
460 Passes accurate 160
87% Passes % 73%
1.75 goals_prevented 1.75
Venezia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Gianluca Busio M 7.9 79' – – 2 91 (85%) 1
10 John Yeboah F 7.5 79' – – 2 25 (21%) 2
4 Bartol Franjić D 7.3 79' – – 2 68 (61%) 2
17 Armel Bella-Kotchap D 7.2 79' – – 1 64 (55%) 2
26 Toma Bašić M 6.9 79' – – – 50 (40%) 1
71 Kike Pérez M 6.7 70' – – – 53 (40%) –
45 Akor Adams F 6.6 79' – – 3 12 (10%) –
1 Filip Stanković G 6.6 79' – – – 38 (36%) –
18 Antoine Hainaut M 6.6 79' – – 2 35 (32%) 1
5 Ridgeciano Haps D 6.6 15' – – – 5 (3%) –
3 Joel Schingtienne D 6.5 79' – – – 57 (54%) 1
30 Matteo Dagasso M 6.5 9' – – – 6 (6%) –
14 Thierry Correia M 6.2 64' – – 2 26 (17%) 2
Lecce
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 Wladimiro Falcone G 8.3 79' – – – 30 (11%) –
4 Kialonda Gaspar D 7.6 79' – – – 12 (10%) 3
28 Olaf Gorter M 7.5 61' 1 – 1 12 (9%) –
5 Jamil Siebert D 7.3 79' – – – 23 (18%) –
17 Danilo Veiga D 7.0 79' – – – 24 (18%) 3
50 Santiago Pierotti F 7.0 79' – – – 27 (25%) 2
11 Konan N'Dri F 6.9 74' – – 1 13 (11%) 3
29 Lassana Coulibaly M 6.9 79' – 1 1 24 (18%) 1
25 Antonino Gallo D 6.7 45' – – 1 8 (5%) –
79 Oumar Ngom M 6.5 79' – – – 28 (22%) 2
14 Youssef Maleh M 6.3 18' – – 1 4 (2%) 1
3 Corrie Ndaba D 6.3 34' – – – 4 (3%) –
69 Willem Geubbels F 5.9 74' – – – 9 (6%) 1
44 Tiago Gabriel D — 5' – – – 2 (2%) –
9 Nikola Štulić F — 5' – – – – –
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Confidence Low (50%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Venezia o pareggio
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Venezia
LLLLL
Lecce
LWLLW
Last 2 meetings Venezia · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

Venezia will face Lecce in a Serie A clash on August 23, 2026. Both teams have shown varying performances in recent seasons, with Venezia looking to solidify their position in the top half of the table while Lecce aims to avoid relegation threats. Key players to watch include Venezia's attacking midfielder, who has been instrumental in creating goal-scoring opportunities, and Lecce’s defensive unit, which will need to be organized to withstand pressure. The match will be crucial for both teams as they seek to gain momentum early in the season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
22%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Venezia

No scorer data.

Lecce
L. Coulibaly 2 gls

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Head to Head: Venezia vs Lecce

0 Venezia Wins
1 Draws
1 Lecce Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Apr 2025 Lecce 1 - 1 Venezia
25 Nov 2024 Venezia 0 - 1 Lecce

Venezia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Lazio L 0 - 2
11 Sep H Fiorentina L 2 - 4
06 Sep A Frosinone L 3 - 2
02 Sep A Udinese L 2 - 1
28 Aug A AC Milan L 2 - 0

Lecce — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A AC Milan L 3 - 0
13 Sep H Monza W 3 - 2
07 Sep A Cagliari L 1 - 0
31 Aug H AS Roma L 0 - 4
23 Aug A Venezia W 0 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Lecce

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
30 Falcone
25 Gallo
5 Siebert
4 Gaspar
17 Veiga
28 Gorter
79 Ngom
29 Coulibaly
11 Konan
69 Geubbels
50 Pierotti

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Wladimiro Falcone G
17 Danilo Veiga D
4 Kialonda Gaspar D
5 Jamil Siebert D
25 Antonino Gallo D
29 Lassana Coulibaly M
79 Oumar Ngom M
28 Olaf Gorter M
50 Santiago Pierotti F
69 Willem Geubbels F
11 N'Dri Konan F

Substitutes

33 Plamen Penev G
1 Marco Bleve G
44 Tiago Gabriel D
3 Corrie Ndaba D
14 Youssef Maleh M
34 Hjalte Lærke F
8 Sadik Fofana M
16 Omri Gandelman M
22 Paco Esteban F
9 Nikola Štulić F

Venezia

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Giovanni Stroppa
1 Stanković
4 Franjić
17 Bella-Kotchap
3 Schingtienne
14 Correia
26 Bašić
6 Busio
71 Pérez
18 Hainaut
45 Adams
10 Yeboah

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Filip Stanković G
3 Joel Schingtienne D
17 Armel Bella-Kotchap D
4 Bartol Franjić D
18 Antoine Hainaut M
71 Kike Pérez M
6 Gianluca Busio M
26 Toma Bašić M
14 Thierry Correia M
10 John Yeboah F
45 Akor Adams F

Substitutes

96 Lorenzo Montipò G
25 Redouane Halhal D
95 Ale Gomes D
30 Matteo Dagasso M
8 Lamine Fanne M
56 Kornel Lisman F
5 Ridgeciano Haps D
11 Marko Farji F
20 Richie Sagrado D
55 Simone Panada M
19 Simon Sohm M
21 Þórir Jóhann Helgason M
90 Alvin Obinna Okoro F
7 Albion Rrahmani F
29 Lion Lauberbach F

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