Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Previsione

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
Previsione AI Osasuna o pareggio
37%
30%
33%
Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Sportiko assegna a Osasuna una probabilità di vittoria del 37%, a Rayo Vallecano del 33% e al pareggio del 30%. Ultimo aggiornamento 19 Sep 2026, 13:57.

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  • Under 3.5 Gol 75%
  • Casa a Segno 73%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 74%
  • Ospite a Segno 71%
Gli utenti Premium avevano questi pronostici prima del calcio d'inizio. Vedi le analisi Premium

Timeline

Ante Budimir
16' 1–0
Asier Osambela Yellow Card
21'
24'
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Yellow Card
HT 1–0
1–1 50'
Sergio Camello assist: Adrià Pedrosa
Kike Barja ⇄ Raúl Moro
56'
Diego Rico ⇄ Abel Bretones
56'
60'
Óscar Valentín ⇄ Pedro Díaz
Jon Moncayola Yellow Card
67'
Jon Moncayola ⇄ Lucas Torró
69'
Rubén García ⇄ Jonathan Dubasin
69'
71'
Jorge de Frutos ⇄ Georgiy Tsitaishvili
71'
Sergio Camello ⇄ Alemão
Unai Santos ⇄ Raúl García de Haro
73'
Sergio Herrera Yellow Card
77'
87'
Unai López ⇄ Gnangoro Bouaré
87'
Álvaro García ⇄ Iván Balliu
90+6'
Alemão Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Osasuna

Match Stats

Rayo Vallecano
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 8
8 Shots insidebox 6
1 Shots outsidebox 13
4 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 0
21 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
265 Total passes 477
185 Passes accurate 396
12 Free Kicks 20
Osasuna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Ante Budimir F 8.0 90' 1 2 10 (6%) 2
18 Raúl Moro F 6.9 34' 9 (6%)
9 Raúl García de Haro F 6.8 17' 2 6 (5%)
8 Iker Muñoz M 6.7 90' 37 (25%)
15 Diego Rico D 6.6 56' 10 (6%) 1
14 Rubén García M 6.6 69' 18 (16%) 1
24 Alejandro Catena D 6.5 90' 36 (27%)
27 Iñigo Arguibide D 6.5 90' 2 12 (10%) 1
11 Kike Barja M 6.4 56' 2 12 (8%)
21 Jonathan Dubasin F 6.4 21' 8 (7%)
6 Lucas Torró M 6.3 21' 12 (11%)
13 Aitor Fernández G 6.3 90' 23 (14%)
35 Unai Santos D 6.2 73' 22 (12%)
23 Abel Bretones D 6.1 34' 15 (10%) 1
7 Jon Moncayola M 6.0 69' 7 (4%) 2
29 Asier Osambela D 6.0 90' 1 28 (18%) 1
Rayo Vallecano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Sergio Camello F 8.0 71' 1 4 22 (21%) 2
17 Adrià Pedrosa D 7.0 90' 1 38 (32%) 6
25 Emil Audero G 6.9 90' 24 (16%)
24 Florian Lejeune D 6.9 90' 3 63 (58%) 2
23 Óscar Valentín M 6.8 60' 46 (42%) 1
19 Jorge de Frutos F 6.7 71' 1 17 (12%) 1
15 Mujaid Sadick D 6.7 90' 49 (43%)
8 Unai López M 6.6 87' 1 75 (63%) 3
4 Pedro Díaz M 6.6 30' 2 11 (7%)
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M 6.5 90' 2 63 (54%) 3
2 Andrei Rațiu D 6.5 90' 40 (30%)
9 Alemão F 6.4 19' 1 5 (4%)
18 Álvaro García F 6.4 87' 5 18 (11%) 3
20 Iván Balliu D 6.3 3'
36 Gnangoro Bouaré M 6.3 3' 1 (1%)
14 Georgiy Tsitaishvili F 6.2 19' 5 (2%)
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio
Osasuna o pareggio
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Osasuna
DLLLW
Rayo Vallecano
DWLWL
Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga match, Osasuna faces Rayo Vallecano at their home ground. Osasuna has shown a solid defensive record, conceding only 8 goals in their last 10 matches, while Rayo Vallecano's attack has been inconsistent, averaging 1 goal per game during the same stretch. The key battle will likely occur in midfield, where Osasuna’s ability to control possession could stifle Rayo's counter-attacking threat. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points, but Osasuna's defensive resilience gives them a slight edge.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.5%. Late goal chance: 32.5%.

51' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 46.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Osasuna leads. Win probability: 73.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 70.7%.

16' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Osasuna win: 68.8%. BTTS: 63.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Osasuna
A. Budimir 5 gls
Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello 7 gls

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano

2 Osasuna Wins
1 Draws
0 Rayo Vallecano Wins
Date Home Score Away
24 Jan 2026 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 3 Osasuna
14 Sep 2025 Osasuna 2 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
19 Jan 2025 Osasuna 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Vedi tutti i 10 incontri — Premium

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rayo Vallecano D 1 - 1
16 Sep A Atletico Madrid L 4 - 0
12 Sep H Espanyol L 0 - 2
06 Sep A Alaves L 5 - 2
31 Aug H Getafe W 1 - 0

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Osasuna D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Espanyol W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Real Madrid L 4 - 1
05 Sep H Racing Santander W 3 - 2
31 Aug A Barcelona L 5 - 2

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Osasuna

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis
13 Fernández
15 Rico
35 Santos
24 Catena
29 Osambela
27 Arguibide
11 Barja
8 Muñoz
7 Moncayola
14 García
17 Budimir

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Aitor Fernández G
27 Íñigo Arguibide D
29 Asier Osambela D
24 Catena D
35 U. Santos D
15 Diego Rico D
14 Rubén García M
7 Moncayola M
8 Iker Muñoz M
11 Kike Barja M
17 A. Budimir F

Substitutes

30 Asier Bonel F
20 R. Del Castillo M
21 Jonathan Dubasin F
26 Mauro Echegoyen M
31 Rafa Fernández G
9 Raúl García F
1 Sergio Herrera G
18 Raul Moro F
6 Lucas Torró M
48 R. Yeboah D
22 F. Boyomo D
23 Abel Bretones D

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Beñat San José
25 Audero
17 Pedrosa
24 Lejeune
15 Sadick
2 Rațiu
23 Valentín
6 Ciss
8 López
18 García
10 Camello
19 Frutos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 E. Audero G
2 A. Rațiu D
15 Mujaid Sadick D
24 F. Lejeune D
17 Adrià Pedrosa D
8 Unai López M
6 P. Ciss M
23 Óscar Valentín M
19 Jorge de Frutos F
10 Sergio Camello F
18 Álvaro García F

Substitutes

1 Dani Cárdenas G
20 I. Balliu D
37 Rayane Belid F
36 G. Bouare M
4 Pedro Díaz M
22 Pelayo Fernández D
3 M. Kumbulla D
21 Fran Pérez F
14 G. Tsitaishvili F
9 Alemão F
26 Marco de las Sías D

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