Villarreal vs Levante Previsione

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

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Levante

Away

Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Villarreal

61%

22%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Villarreal vs Levante: Sportiko assegna a Villarreal una probabilità di vittoria del 61%, a Levante del 17% e al pareggio del 22%. Ultimo aggiornamento 20 Sep 2026, 18:25.

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Match Report

Villarreal secured a comfortable 3–1 victory over Levante in La Liga matchday seven, though the game was level at the break following a frantic end to the first half. Ayoze Pérez opened the scoring for the hosts in the 41st minute, only for Iván Romero to equalise just a minute later, sending both sides into the dressing room level.

Villarreal reasserted their dominance after the interval, with Alberto Moleiro restoring the lead on 54 minutes. The Yellow Submarine controlled proceedings throughout, finishing with 62% possession, 21 total shots and seven corners to Levante's one, reflecting the one-sided nature of the second half. Georges Mikautadze wrapped up the points with a late goal in the 86th minute to seal the three points.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved correct. Levante, limited to just one shot on target across the entire match, will need to regroup ahead of their next fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 13'

Aïssa Mandi Yellow Card

Ayoze Pérez assist: Alberto Moleiro

41' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 42'

Iván Romero assist: Jeremy Toljan

▮ 45+3'

Yellow Card

HT 1–1

Alberto Moleiro assist: Ilias Akhomach

54' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 63'

Iván Romero ⇄ Yanis Musuayi

⇄ 63'

Thiago Fernández ⇄ Víctor García

⇄ 63'

Aïssa Mandi ⇄ Ifeanyi Ndukwe

Ilias Akhomach ⇄ Gerard Moreno

67' ⇄

Ayoze Pérez ⇄ Georges Mikautadze

67' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Enzo Bardeli ⇄ Daniel Requena

Tajon Buchanan Yellow Card

79' ▮

Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Nicolas Pépé

79' ⇄

Pau Navarro ⇄ Santiago Mouriño

79' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Oriol Rey ⇄ Petar Ratkov

Georges Mikautadze assist: Alberto Moleiro

86' ⚽ 3–1

Pape Gueye ⇄ Carlos Maciá

87' ⇄

FT 3–1

Villarreal

Match Stats

Levante

62% Ball Possession 38%

21 Total Shots 6

7 Shots on Goal 1

8 Shots off Goal 4

6 Blocked Shots 1

13 Shots insidebox 6

8 Shots outsidebox 0

7 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 10

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

614 Total passes 368

547 Passes accurate 300

10 Free Kicks 9

Villarreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Alberto Moleiro M	9.4	90'	1	2	3	46 (41%)	1
11 Ilias Akhomach F	7.7	67'	–	1	1	25 (20%)	–
9 Georges Mikautadze F	7.6	23'	1	–	2	7 (7%)	–
12 Renato Veiga D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	108 (104%)	–
22 Ayoze Pérez F	7.2	67'	1	–	5	14 (9%)	–
24 Nathan-Dylan Saliba M	7.1	90'	–	–	3	39 (36%)	5
3 Alexander Freeman D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	73 (70%)	2
25 Péter Gulácsi G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	–
6 Pau Navarro D	6.7	79'	–	–	–	83 (77%)	2
7 Gerard Moreno F	6.6	23'	–	–	2	12 (6%)	–
23 Sergi Cardona D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	63 (53%)	1
17 Tajon Buchanan M	6.5	79'	–	–	3	29 (25%)	2
19 Nicolas Pépé F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
15 Santiago Mouriño D	6.3	11'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
18 Pape Gueye M	6.2	87'	–	–	–	58 (48%)	–
16 Carlos Maciá M	6.2	3'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–

Levante

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Iván Romero F	7.7	63'	1	–	1	13 (9%)	1
22 Jeremy Toljan D	6.8	90'	–	1	2	28 (25%)	2
4 Adrián de la Fuente D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	45 (39%)	4
7 Roger Brugué F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	3
10 Petar Ratkov F	6.4	6'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
24 Thiago Fernández F	6.4	63'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
3 Ifeanyi Ndukwe D	6.4	27'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	2
20 Oriol Rey M	6.3	84'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	2
11 Yanis Musuayi F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	–
18 Enzo Bardeli M	6.1	72'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	1
2 Aïssa Mandi D	6.0	63'	–	–	–	36 (34%)	–
17 Víctor García D	6.0	27'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
8 Jon Ander Olasagasti M	5.9	90'	–	–	–	37 (22%)	4
13 Mathew Ryan G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	–
23 Manuel Sánchez D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	41 (29%)	4
6 Daniel Requena M	5.5	18'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Villarreal

Most likely score

2:1 · 10%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Villarreal

WWLLL

Levante

LLDWD

Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Villarreal faces Levante, with Villarreal looking to capitalize on their strong offensive metrics, averaging 1.8 goals per match in the last season. Levante, on the other hand, struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Villarreal's midfield control and pressing game could disrupt Levante's rhythm, especially given their tendency to struggle against high-pressing teams. This match will be crucial for both clubs as they aim to secure vital points early in the season.

Live insights

87' Goal 85% sure

Villarreal now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 11.8%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Villarreal leads 2-1. Win probability: 88.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.2%.

56' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Villarreal win: 84%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 34.9%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 48.4%, Away win 2H: 16.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Levante goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	2	1
1	7	10	5	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	7	8	4	2
4	4	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Villarreal goals · most likely 2–1 (10.0%)

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Players in form

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

Levante

Brugui 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

22%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

22%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

57%

3.5

43%

76%

4.5

24%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	2.7%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
1	6.6%	9.9%	4.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	8.9%	10.0%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
3	6.8%	7.6%	4.3%	1.6%	0.5%
4	3.9%	4.4%	2.5%	0.9%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Villarreal	Draw	Levante
Villarreal	45.3%	4.7%	1.8%
Draw	15.6%	12.1%	6.8%
Levante	2.3%	3.1%	8.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Levante

2 Villarreal Wins

0 Draws

1 Levante Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2026	Villarreal	5 - 1	Levante
18 Feb 2026	Levante	0 - 1	Villarreal
02 Apr 2022	Levante	2 - 0	Villarreal

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Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

Levante — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Villarreal	L	3 - 1
13 Sep	H Barcelona	L	2 - 4
06 Sep	A Malaga	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Real Betis	W	5 - 2
24 Aug	A Osasuna	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Villarreal

Formation: 4-1-2-1-2 Coach: Iñigo Pérez

25 Gulácsi

23 Cardona

12 Veiga

6 Navarro

3 Freeman

24 Saliba

17 Buchanan

18 Gueye

10 Moleiro

22 Pérez

11 Akhomach

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	P. Gulácsi	G
3	A. Freeman	D
6	Pau Navarro	D
12	Renato Veiga	D
23	Sergi Cardona	D
24	N. Saliba	M
18	P. Gueye	M
17	T. Buchanan	M
10	Alberto Moleiro	M
11	Ilias Akhomach	F
22	Ayoze Pérez	F

Substitutes

13	Rubén Gómez	G
2	Logan Costa	D
16	C. Macia	M
9	G. Mikautadze	F
7	Gerard Moreno	F
15	S. Mouriño	D
21	T. Oluwaseyi	F
19	N. Pépé	F
1	Luíz Júnior	G
20	Carlos Romero	D
8	J. Foyth	D
5	A. Diatta	M

Levante

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luís Castro

13 Ryan

23 Sánchez

2 Mandi

4 Dela

22 Toljan

8 Olasagasti

20 Rey

18 Bardeli

24 Fernández

9 Romero

7 Brugui

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	M. Ryan	G
22	J. Toljan	D
4	Dela	D
2	A. Mandi	D
23	Manu Sánchez	D
18	E. Bardeli	M
20	Oriol Rey	M
8	Jon Ander Olasagasti	M
7	Brugui	F
9	Iván Romero	F
24	T. Fernández	F

Substitutes

17	Víctor García	D
14	Jorge Cabello	D
27	Paco Cortés	F
1	Pablo Cuñat	G
11	Yanis Musuayi	F
3	IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe	D
29	Nacho Pérez	D
10	P. Ratkov	F
6	Reque	M
33	M. Santos	D
16	A. Tape	D
34	M. Usedo Domingo	M