Newcastle vs Aston Villa Previsione

Premier League · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 14:00

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Aston Villa

Away

Previsione AI Aston Villa vince o pareggia

23%

69%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Sportiko assegna a Newcastle una probabilità di vittoria del 8%, a Aston Villa del 69% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 16.4%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Aston Villa

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Newcastle faces Aston Villa. Newcastle has shown strong form at home, boasting an average of 2.1 goals scored per match this season. Conversely, Aston Villa has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game away. The tactical battle will be crucial, with Newcastle likely to dominate possession, while Villa may rely on counter-attacks. Both teams possess quality attacking options, making it a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	16	10	5	2
1	4	10	8	5	2	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 0–2 (16.4%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

69%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

90% Away (No Draw) 10% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 8% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	16.2%	16.4%	10.3%	4.9%
1	3.5%	10.0%	8.4%	5.3%	2.5%
2	1.2%	2.3%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%
3	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Aston Villa
Newcastle	4.4%	2.6%	1.8%
Draw	3.8%	15.8%	23.0%
Aston Villa	0.4%	2.5%	45.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

60%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

0 Newcastle Wins

1 Draws

2 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2026	Newcastle	0 - 2	Aston Villa
16 Aug 2025	Aston Villa	0 - 0	Newcastle
19 Apr 2025	Aston Villa	4 - 1	Newcastle

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Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.