CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Previsione
FT
Previsione AI
CSKA Sofia o pareggio
45%
28%
28%
Vittoria Casa
Pareggio
Vittoria Ospite
Pronostico CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag: Sportiko assegna a CSKA Sofia una probabilità di vittoria del 45%, a Qarabag del 28% e al pareggio del 28%. Ultimo aggiornamento 30 Jul 2026, 20:49.
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Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
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Timeline
Yellow Card
39'
▮
HT 0–0
Yellow Card
48'
▮
▮
50'
Yellow Card
▮
55'
Yellow Card
⇄
70'
⇄ Renaldo Cephas
71'
⇄
Yellow Card
74'
▮
⇄
82'
⇄ Cebrail Makreckis
⇄
82'
⇄ Bruno Langa
⇄
82'
89'
⇄
⇄
90+2'
Yellow Card
95'
▮
99'
⇄
⇄
100'
Yellow Card
105+3'
▮
▮
106'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
112'
▮
⚽
0–1
120+1'
Penalty
Penalty
120+1'
⚽
1–1
✗
120+2'
Missed Penalty
Penalty
120+2'
⚽
2–1
⚽
2–2
120+3'
Penalty
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
Penalty
120+3'
⚽
3–2
⚽
3–3
120+4'
Renaldo Cephas
Penalty
Penalty
120+4'
⚽
4–3
⚽
4–4
120+5'
Penalty
Penalty
120+5'
⚽
5–4
FT 0–0
CSKA Sofia
Match Stats
Qarabag
42%
Ball Possession
58%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
3
Shots on Goal
5
6
Shots off Goal
4
3
Blocked Shots
7
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
2
Corner Kicks
10
2
Offsides
0
26
Fouls
14
6
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Il nostro approccio
CSKA Sofia o pareggio
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CSKA Sofia
DWWWD
Qarabag
WDWWL
Last 1 meetings
CSKA Sofia · 0W 1D 0L
Match summary
CSKA Sofia faces Qarabag in a UEFA Europa League clash with both teams showcasing strong defensive records in their domestic leagues. CSKA has been particularly effective at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match while conceding only 0.6, indicating a solid home performance trend. Conversely, Qarabag has maintained a robust away form, with a defensive resilience that has seen them concede fewer than 1 goal per match in their last five away fixtures. The match promises to be tightly contested, with set pieces likely playing a crucial role given both teams' aerial strengths.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
45%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
28%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
CSKA Sofia
Bruno Jordão
1 gls
Qarabag
R. Almeyda
1 gls
Pedro Bicalho
1 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag
0
CSKA Sofia Wins
1
Draws
0
Qarabag Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | Qarabag | 0 - 0 | CSKA Sofia |
CSKA Sofia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Lokomotiv Plovdiv | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | A Lokomotiv Sofia | W | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Arda Kardzhali | W | 4 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Levski Sofia | W | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | A Spartak Varna | D | 1 - 1 |
Qarabag — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Safa Baku | W | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Zira | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Araz | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Sumqayıt | W | 0 - 1 |
| 27 Aug | H Twente | L | 1 - 4 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Qarabag
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Qurban Qurbanov
99
Kochalski
44
Cafarquliyev
4
Várkonyi
55
Hüseynov
2
Silva
8
Janković
35
Bicalho
10
Zoubir
20
Borges
21
Kashchuk
11
Sawo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Mateusz Kochalski | G |
| 2 | Matheus Silva | D |
| 55 | Bədavi Hüseynov | D |
| 4 | Bence Várkonyi | D |
| 44 | Elvin Cafarquliyev | D |
| 35 | Pedro Bicalho | M |
| 8 | Marko Janković | M |
| 21 | Olexiy Kashchuk | M |
| 20 | Kady Borges | M |
| 10 | Abdellah Zoubir | M |
| 11 | Zakaria Sawo | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | Renaldo Cephas | F |
| 5 | Bruno Langa | D |
| 7 | Jaly Mouaddib | M |
| 25 | Cebrail Makreckis | M |
| 9 | Joni Montiel | M |
| 22 | Musa Qurbanlı | F |
| 1 | Shakhrudin Magomedaliyev | G |
| 23 | Martin Zlomislić | G |
| 13 | Bahlul Mustafazada | D |
| 32 | Hikmat Jabrayilzade | M |
| 19 | Ali Bashirov | M |
CSKA Sofia
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Hristo Yanev
21
Lapoukhov
17
Martino
32
Rodríguez
14
Ivanov
2
Pastor
5
Gbamin
28
Pittas
6
Jordão
8
Sensi
7
Ebong
9
Godoy
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Fedor Lapoukhov | G |
| 2 | Pastor | D |
| 14 | Teodor Ivanov | D |
| 32 | Facundo Rodríguez | D |
| 17 | Ángelo Martino | D |
| 5 | Jean-Philippe Gbamin | D |
| 7 | Max Ebong | M |
| 8 | Stefano Sensi | M |
| 6 | Bruno Jordão | M |
| 28 | Ioannis Pittas | F |
| 9 | Leandro Godoy | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | James Eto'o | M |
| 10 | Joël Zwarts | F |
| 11 | Mohamed Amine Brahimi | M |
| 25 | Dimitar Evtimov | G |
| 3 | Andrey Yordanov | D |
| 91 | Aleks Tunchev | D |
| 30 | Petko Panayotov | M |
| 34 | Vasil Kaymakanov | M |
| 38 | Léo Pereira | M |
| 77 | Alejandro Piedrahita | M |
| 80 | Georgi Chorbadzhiyski | M |
| 94 | Isaac Solet | M |