Peterhead vs Kilmarnock Previsione

League Cup · Group Stage

Post on X

Kilmarnock

Away

Previsione AI Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Kilmarnock

16%

23%

61%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico Peterhead vs Kilmarnock: Sportiko assegna a Peterhead una probabilità di vittoria del 16%, a Kilmarnock del 61% e al pareggio del 23%. Ultimo aggiornamento 25 Jul 2026, 16:08.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Ospite a Segno 71%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

39' ▮

HT 0–0

⇄ 53'

⇄ Tom Lowery

⇄ 53'

⇄ Aaron Tshibola

61' ⇄

⇄ 62'

68' ⇄

⇄ 75'

75' ⇄

▮ 90'

Robbie Deas Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 91'

Joe Hugill Penalty

Penalty

92' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 92'

Penalty

93' ⚽ 2–2

⚽ 2–3 94'

Greg Kiltie Penalty

Penalty

94' ⚽ 3–3

⚽ 3–4 95'

Aaron Tshibola Penalty

Penalty

95' ⚽ 4–4

✗ 96'

Missed Penalty

Penalty

97' ⚽ 5–4

FT 0–0

Peterhead

Match Stats

Kilmarnock

6 Total Shots 15

1 Shots on Goal 3

4 Shots off Goal 9

1 Blocked Shots 3

5 Shots insidebox 11

1 Shots outsidebox 4

1 Corner Kicks 5

3 Offsides 4

12 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

12 Free Kicks 12

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria o pareggio difficile per Kilmarnock

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Peterhead

WLLWL

Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Match summary

In the upcoming League Cup match, Peterhead will face Kilmarnock. Historically, Kilmarnock has performed better in higher-tier competitions, while Peterhead has struggled against teams from the Championship. Kilmarnock's recent form shows a stronger attacking output, averaging 1.5 goals per match in their last five games compared to Peterhead's 0.8. Defensively, Kilmarnock has also shown resilience, conceding only six goals in their last five outings. Peterhead will need to capitalize on any home opportunities to compete effectively against their more experienced opponents.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

61%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kilmarnock goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	10	7	3	1
1	9	15	8	3	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Peterhead goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Peterhead

No scorer data.

Kilmarnock

A. Tshibola 0 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

23%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

61%

Draw

23%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	9.7%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%
1	8.8%	14.8%	8.2%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.0%	7.5%	4.7%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Peterhead	Draw	Kilmarnock
Peterhead	15.1%	3.0%	1.1%
Draw	15.3%	19.9%	11.9%
Kilmarnock	2.7%	6.0%	25.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Peterhead vs Kilmarnock

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Peterhead — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Sep	A Forfar Athletic	W	0 - 2
19 Sep	H Airdrie United	L	1 - 2
12 Sep	A East Kilbride	L	3 - 1
08 Sep	H Clachnacuddin	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Montrose	L	0 - 3

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Kilmarnock

Formation: 4-1-2-1-2 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

1 Stryjek

49 Rice

25 Brown

6 Deas

21 Schjønning-Larsen

8 Ring

11 Kiltie

5 O'Hara

10 John-Jules

9 Hugill

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	M. Stryjek	G
21	M. Schjønning-Larsen	D
6	R. Deas	D
25	E. Brown	D
49	B. Rice	M
8	E. Ring	M
5	M. O'Hara	M
11	G. Kiltie	M
10	T. John-Jules	F
9	J. Hugill	F

Substitutes

7	R. McKenzie	M
23	Roshaun Mathurin	F
18	T. Lowery	M
20	N. Cleșcenco	F
36	A. Tshibola	M
32	R. Ellis	D

Peterhead

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Newman	G
2	D. Strachan	D
5	Jason Brown	D
21	D. Forrest	M
20	N. McGinn	F
22	S. Ross	F

Substitutes

C. Smith