England vs Congo DR Previsione

World Cup · Round of 32

Post on X

Congo DR

Away

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Previsione AI Vittoria England

79%

17%

Vittoria Casa Pareggio Vittoria Ospite

Pronostico England vs Congo DR: Sportiko assegna a England una probabilità di vittoria del 79%, a Congo DR del 3% e al pareggio del 17%. Ultimo aggiornamento 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

England came from behind to beat Congo DR 2–1 and advance in the World Cup, though they were made to work hard after a difficult first half. Brian Cipenga struck early in the seventh minute to give Congo DR the lead, and despite England's dominance in possession — finishing with 60% of the ball and 16 total shots to Congo DR's six — Gareth Southgate's side could not find an equaliser before the break. Jude Bellingham picked up a yellow card in the 19th minute, adding to England's frustrations.

The second half told a different story. A double substitution on 61 minutes, bringing on Marcus Rashford and Noni Madueke, injected fresh energy, and Harry Kane drew England level in the 75th minute before completing the turnaround just a minute later with his second goal of the evening. Congo DR's xG of just 0.76 underlined how limited their threat had been beyond that early strike.

England's expected goals figure of 2.04 reflected their overall superiority, and the result aligned with the pre-match AI model's 79% probability for an England victory. They progress, though questions about their slow start will linger.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 7'

Brian Cipenga assist: Chancel Mbemba

Jude Bellingham Yellow Card

19' ▮

▮ 28'

Noah Sadiki Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Marcus Rashford ⇄ Anthony Gordon

61' ⇄

Noni Madueke ⇄ Bukayo Saka

61' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Nathanaël Mbuku ⇄ Meschak Elia

Djed Spence ⇄ Eberechi Eze

70' ⇄

Harry Kane assist: Anthony Gordon

75' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 76'

Ngal'ayel Mukau ⇄ Edo Kayembe

⇄ 76'

Brian Cipenga ⇄ Théo Bongonda

Harry Kane assist: Anthony Gordon

86' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 89'

Arthur Masuaku ⇄ Joris Kayembe

⇄ 89'

Samuel Moutoussamy ⇄ Fiston Mayele

Declan Rice ⇄ John Stones

90+1' ⇄

FT 2–1

England

Match Stats

Congo DR

60% Ball Possession 40%

2.04 Expected Goals (xG) 0.76

16 Total Shots 6

7 Shots on Goal 2

6 Shots off Goal 2

3 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 2

3 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 4

10 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

515 Total passes 365

467 Passes accurate 299

91% Passes % 82%

-0.04 goals_prevented -0.04

England

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Harry Kane F	8.5	93'	2	–	4	12 (9%)	–
20 Noni Madueke M	7.9	61'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	2
8 Elliot Anderson M	7.6	93'	–	–	1	70 (61%)	2
4 Declan Rice M	7.2	91'	–	–	–	54 (52%)	–
10 Jude Bellingham M	7.2	93'	–	–	3	39 (33%)	–
18 Anthony Gordon F	7.2	32'	–	2	1	20 (18%)	–
6 Marc Guéhi D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	68 (68%)	–
2 Ezri Konsa D	6.9	93'	–	–	–	71 (69%)	–
7 Bukayo Saka F	6.9	32'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	2
11 Marcus Rashford M	6.9	61'	–	–	3	27 (27%)	1
25 Djed Spence D	6.7	70'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	4
21 Eberechi Eze M	6.7	23'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
1 Jordan Pickford G	6.2	93'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
3 Nico O'Reilly D	5.9	93'	–	–	1	46 (42%)	–
5 John Stones D	—	2'	–	–	–	–	–

Congo DR

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D	7.9	93'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	3
1 Lionel Mpasi Nzau G	7.5	93'	–	–	–	36 (27%)	–
22 Chancel Mbemba D	7.2	93'	–	1	–	41 (32%)	–
8 Samuel Moutoussamy M	7.0	89'	–	–	–	38 (34%)	5
9 Brian Cipenga F	7.0	76'	1	–	2	24 (13%)	2
7 Nathanaël Mbuku F	6.9	64'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	1
4 Axel Tuanzebe D	6.7	93'	–	–	–	57 (52%)	2
10 Théo Bongonda M	6.6	17'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
13 Meschak Elia F	6.5	29'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	–
6 Ngal'ayel Mukau M	6.3	76'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	1
25 Edo Kayembe M	6.3	17'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
26 Arthur Masuaku D	6.2	89'	–	–	–	32 (26%)	4
20 Yoane Wissa F	6.2	93'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	–
14 Noah Sadiki M	6.2	93'	–	–	–	33 (29%)	1
12 Joris Kayembe D	—	4'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
19 Fiston Mayele F	—	4'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence High (79%)

At a glance

Il nostro approccio

Vittoria England

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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England

WLWWW

Congo DR

LWLDL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, England will face Congo DR in a neutral venue setting. England enters the match with a historically stronger squad, boasting a higher FIFA ranking and a wealth of talent in both midfield and attack. Their recent form shows a solid defensive record, having conceded only a few goals in the last several matches. Congo DR, while less experienced on the global stage, possesses individual flair and speed that could pose challenges for England's defense. This matchup will hinge on England's ability to control possession and exploit gaps in the Congo DR defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Congo DR goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	8	2
5	3	1

↑ England goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

England

J. Bellingham 7 gls

H. Kane 6 gls

Congo DR

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.8%	2.0%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.4%	6.5%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.5%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.7%	2.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	England	Draw	Congo DR
England	54.6%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.5%	12.9%	1.7%
Congo DR	1.3%	1.5%	1.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: England vs Congo DR

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

England — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Jul	A France	W	4 - 6
15 Jul	H Argentina	L	1 - 2
11 Jul	A Norway	W	1 - 2
06 Jul	A Mexico	W	2 - 3
01 Jul	H Congo DR	W	2 - 1

Congo DR — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Jul	A England	L	2 - 1
27 Jun	H Uzbekistan	W	3 - 1
24 Jun	A Colombia	L	1 - 0
17 Jun	A Portugal	D	1 - 1
09 Jun	H Chile	L	1 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

England

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thomas Tuchel

1 Pickford

3 O'Reilly

6 Guéhi

2 Konsa

25 Spence

4 Rice

8 Anderson

11 Rashford

10 Bellingham

20 Madueke

9 Kane

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Jordan Pickford	G
25	Djed Spence	D
2	Ezri Konsa	D
6	Marc Guéhi	D
3	Nico O'Reilly	D
8	Elliot Anderson	M
4	Declan Rice	M
20	Noni Madueke	M
10	Jude Bellingham	M
11	Marcus Rashford	M
9	Harry Kane	F

Substitutes

18	Anthony Gordon	F
7	Bukayo Saka	F
21	Eberechi Eze	M
23	James Trafford	G
13	Dean Henderson	G
12	Trevoh Chalobah	D
5	John Stones	D
15	Dan Burn	D
24	Reece James	D
26	Jarell Quansah	D
14	Jordan Henderson	M
17	Morgan Rogers	M
16	Kobbie Mainoo	M
19	Ollie Watkins	F
22	Ivan Toney	F

Congo DR

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Sebastien Desabre

1 Nzau

26 Masuaku

4 Tuanzebe

22 Mbemba

2 Wan-Bissaka

14 Sadiki

8 Moutoussamy

6 Mukau

9 Cipenga

20 Wissa

7 Mbuku

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lionel Mpasi Nzau	G
2	Aaron Wan-Bissaka	D
22	Chancel Mbemba	D
4	Axel Tuanzebe	D
26	Arthur Masuaku	D
6	Ngal'ayel Mukau	M
8	Samuel Moutoussamy	M
14	Noah Sadiki	M
7	Nathanaël Mbuku	F
20	Yoane Wissa	F
9	Brian Cipenga	F

Substitutes

13	Meschak Elia	F
10	Théo Bongonda	M
25	Edo Kayembe	M
21	Matthieu Epolo	G
16	Timothy Fayulu	G
5	Dylan Batubinsika	D
24	Gedeon Kalulu	D
12	Joris Kayembe	D
3	Steve Kapuadi	D
11	Gaël Kakuta	M
18	Charles Pickel	M
15	Aaron Tshibola	M
19	Fiston Mayele	F
17	Cédric Bakambu	F
23	Simon Banza	F