Como vs Parma Predviđanje

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
AI predikcija Como – pobjeda ili neriješeno
75%
17%
8%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Como vs Parma: Sportiko procjenjuje da Como ima 75% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Parma 8%, a neriješeno 17%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 14 Sep 2026, 18:26.

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Match Report

Como secured a hard-fought 2–1 home victory over Parma in Serie A, despite being significantly outplayed for large portions of the contest. Jacobo Ramón broke the deadlock on 23 minutes to send the hosts into half-time with a slender advantage, and that lead held firm as Parma dominated possession — finishing with 65% of the ball, 28 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 3.24 compared to Como's 0.97.

The visitors pressed hard after the interval and were rewarded when Kaiki equalised on 83 minutes, threatening to deny Como all three points. However, the hosts showed resilience and struck back almost immediately through a David Romero goal deep into stoppage time, sealing a dramatic 2–1 win that belied the underlying statistics. A yellow card for Maxence Caqueret on 76 minutes added a moment of tension in what was an increasingly frantic closing spell.

The result was a classic case of clinical finishing overcoming territorial dominance. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Como win as the most likely outcome at 75%, a call that proved correct despite the pressure Parma applied throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jacobo Ramón assist: Nico Paz
23' 1–0
HT 1–0
Martin Baturina ⇄ Maxence Caqueret
55'
Assane Diao ⇄ Jesús Rodriguez
55'
55'
El Bilal Touré ⇄ Matija Frigan
Moise Kean ⇄ Anastasios Douvikas
64'
64'
Nesta Elphege ⇄ David Romero
64'
Vincent Sierro ⇄ Adrián Bernabé
Maxence Caqueret Yellow Card
76'
80'
Simone Lontani ⇄ Giovanni Fabbian
80'
Sascha Britschgi ⇄ Pontus Almqvist
Nico Paz ⇄ Samuele Ricci
80'
Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Luis Milla
80'
Kaiki assist: Máximo Perrone
83' 2–0
2–1 90+2'
David Romero assist: Pontus Almqvist
FT 2–1
Como

Match Stats

Parma
65% Ball Possession 35%
3.24 Expected Goals (xG) 0.97
28 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 7
12 Blocked Shots 1
24 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 5
11 Corner Kicks 4
4 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
649 Total passes 358
583 Passes accurate 291
90% Passes % 81%
1.29 goals_prevented 1.29
Como
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Kaiki D 8.2 92' 1 3 33 (27%) 3
10 Nico Paz M 8.0 80' 1 2 64 (56%) 5
5 Máximo Perrone M 7.6 92' 1 1 81 (74%) 2
20 Martin Baturina M 7.3 55' 1 38 (35%)
4 Jacobo Ramón D 7.3 92' 1 1 80 (71%) 1
17 Jesús Rodriguez F 7.3 37' 2 21 (20%) 2
7 Lucas Da Cunha M 7.2 80' 76 (71%) 2
11 Assane Diao M 7.0 55' 30 (25%)
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D 6.9 92' 1 72 (69%)
97 Robert Sánchez G 6.9 92' 26 (19%)
9 Anastasios Douvikas F 6.7 28' 1 3 (3%)
90 Moise Kean F 6.6 64' 1 9 (8%) 1
21 Samuele Ricci M 6.3 12' 12 (12%)
8 Maxence Caqueret M 6.3 37' 29 (22%)
27 Yan Couto D 6.3 92' 2 64 (60%)
6 Luis Milla M 6.3 12' 1 11 (11%)
Parma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
40 Edoardo Corvi G 8.7 92' 28 (21%)
14 Emanuele Valeri M 7.2 92' 17 (13%) 2
37 Mariano Troilo D 7.2 92' 59 (51%) 1
4 Vincent Sierro M 6.9 64' 1 32 (25%)
10 Adrián Bernabé M 6.7 28' 18 (14%)
19 El Bilal Touré F 6.7 55' 1 3 (2%) 1
23 Nesta Elphege F 6.6 64' 1 14 (10%)
34 Diego Carlos D 6.6 92' 53 (43%)
76 Simone Lontani F 6.5 80' 2 18 (12%) 1
16 Mandela Keita M 6.3 92' 1 40 (35%) 1
20 Matija Frigan F 6.3 37' 4 (4%)
9 David Romero F 6.2 28' 1 4 6 (5%)
80 Giovanni Fabbian M 6.2 12' 2 (1%)
15 Enrico Delprato D 6.2 92' 39 (33%)
11 Pontus Almqvist F 6.2 12' 3 (2%)
27 Sascha Britschgi M 6.0 80' 1 22 (20%)
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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Como – pobjeda ili neriješeno
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Como
LWWWW
Parma
WLDLL
Last 3 meetings Como · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Como faces Parma in a Serie A clash on September 13, 2026. Como will aim to leverage their recent form, having recorded a solid home performance with a defensive record that shows an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Parma, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a tendency to concede early; they allow an average of 1.5 goals per away game. The matchup will likely hinge on Como's ability to maintain defensive solidity while exploiting Parma's vulnerabilities in transition. Expect a tactical battle with both teams seeking to capitalize on set pieces.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
75%
45%
Draw
17%
45%
Away
8%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Como
M. Baturina 2 gls
Assane Diao 2 gls
Parma

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Como vs Parma

2 Como Wins
1 Draws
0 Parma Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 May 2026 Como 1 - 0 Parma
25 Oct 2025 Parma 0 - 0 Como
03 May 2025 Parma 0 - 1 Como
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Como — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Frosinone L 2 - 0
14 Sep H Parma W 2 - 1
10 Sep H RB Leipzig W 4 - 1
04 Sep A Genoa W 1 - 4
30 Aug A Napoli W 1 - 2

Parma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Genoa W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Como L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Monza D 1 - 1
01 Sep H Cremonese L 0 - 2
29 Aug A Juventus L 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Parma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Carlos Cuesta
40 Corvi
15 Delprato
37 Troilo
34 Carlos
14 Valeri
16 Keita
4 Sierro
27 Britschgi
76 Lontani
19 Touré
23 Elphege

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 Edoardo Corvi G
34 Diego Carlos D
37 Mariano Troilo D
15 Enrico Delprato D
27 Sascha Britschgi M
4 Vincent Sierro M
16 Mandela Keita M
14 Emanuele Valeri M
19 El Bilal Touré F
76 Simone Lontani F
23 Nesta Elphege F

Substitutes

22 Simone Ghidotti G
30 Giovanni Daffara G
5 Lautaro Valenti D
72 Dominik Drobnic D
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D
47 Abdou-Salam Konate M
8 Benjamin Cremaschi M
80 Giovanni Fabbian M
29 Franco Carboni D
10 Adrián Bernabé M
32 Christian Ordoñez M
25 Thomas de Martis F
11 Pontus Almqvist F
20 Matija Frigan F
9 David Romero F

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fabregas
97 Sánchez
16 Kaiki
2 Kempf
4 Ramón
27 Couto
7 Cunha
5 Perrone
20 Baturina
10 Paz
11 Diao
90 Kean

Starting XI

# Player Pos
97 Robert Sánchez G
27 Yan Couto D
4 Jacobo Ramón D
2 Marc Kempf D
16 Kaiki D
5 Máximo Perrone M
7 Lucas Da Cunha M
11 Assane Diao M
10 Nico Paz M
20 Martin Baturina M
90 Moise Kean F

Substitutes

22 Mauro Vigorito G
1 Jean Butez G
28 Ivan Smolčić D
3 Álex Valle D
18 Edoardo Goldaniga D
53 Willy Kambwala D
13 Alberto Dossena D
99 Trevoh Chalobah D
15 Adrian Lahdo M
17 Jesús Rodriguez F
6 Luis Milla M
21 Samuele Ricci M
8 Maxence Caqueret M
30 Mattia Liberali M
9 Anastasios Douvikas F

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