Atalanta vs Cagliari Predviđanje

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 4
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AI predikcija Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Atalanta
55%
27%
18%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Atalanta vs Cagliari: Sportiko procjenjuje da Atalanta ima 55% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Cagliari 18%, a neriješeno 27%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 12 Sep 2026, 20:40.

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Match Report

Cagliari claimed a surprise 2–1 victory at Atalanta in Serie A's fourth matchday, despite the hosts entering as favourites — a pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win most likely at 55%, a call that did not hold up. Paul Mendy broke the deadlock in the 19th minute for the visitors, before Gianluca Scamacca levelled for Atalanta just before half-time to send the sides in level at 1–1.

The decisive moment came early in the second half when Daniel Maldini converted a penalty on 61 minutes to restore Cagliari's lead. Atalanta were unable to find an equaliser despite a flurry of substitutions from the hour mark onwards, with Scamacca, Maldini, and Mendy all withdrawn before the final whistle.

The statistics underlined Cagliari's dominance on the day. The away side controlled 61% of possession and registered 22 total shots compared to Atalanta's five, with expected goals finishing narrowly in Cagliari's favour at 1.22 to 1.10. The result represents a notable upset for the Bergamo side on home soil.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 19'
Paul Mendy assist: Michel Adopo
Gianluca Scamacca assist: Charles De Ketelaere
41' 1–1
HT 1–1
57'
Jacopo Fazzini ⇄ Alieu Fadera
1–2 61'
Daniel Maldini Penalty
Sead Kolašinac ⇄ Lorenzo Bernasconi
68'
Gianluca Scamacca ⇄ Nikola Krstović
68'
68'
Zé Pedro ⇄ Yukinari Sugawara
Lazar Samardžić ⇄ Giacomo Raspadori
77'
79'
Paul Mendy ⇄ Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
79'
Daniel Maldini ⇄ Raphael Kofler
Franck Kessié ⇄ Mario Pašalić
86'
FT 1–2
Atalanta

Match Stats

Cagliari
61% Ball Possession 39%
1.22 Expected Goals (xG) 1.10
22 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots off Goal 0
8 Blocked Shots 0
13 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 8
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
690 Total passes 439
631 Passes accurate 375
91% Passes % 85%
0.59 goals_prevented 0.59
Atalanta
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Franck Kessié M 7.7 86' 3 69 (66%) 5
9 Gianluca Scamacca F 7.3 68' 1 4 20 (15%)
11 Jonathan Rowe F 7.2 95' 1 33 (30%) 3
10 Lazar Samardžić M 7.2 76' 1 74 (64%) 2
18 Giacomo Raspadori F 7.0 19' 1 16 (16%)
13 Éderson M 6.9 95' 90 (80%)
3 Odilon Kossounou D 6.9 95' 97 (95%) 2
8 Mario Pašalić M 6.6 9' 12 (11%)
42 Giorgio Scalvini D 6.6 95' 83 (80%) 1
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D 6.6 27' 1 27 (26%)
17 Charles De Ketelaere F 6.5 95' 1 40 (31%)
29 Marco Carnesecchi G 6.3 95' 21 (21%)
90 Nikola Krstović F 6.3 27' 1 10 (7%)
16 Raoul Bellanova D 6.3 95' 1 64 (58%) 3
23 Sead Kolašinac D 5.9 68' 1 34 (31%) 1
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Elia Caprile G 8.2 95' 42 (34%)
14 Alessandro Deiola D 7.9 95' 58 (52%) 3
31 Paul Mendy F 7.3 79' 1 1 9 (8%) 2
6 Harry Winks M 7.3 95' 60 (56%) 3
15 Juan Rodríguez D 7.2 95' 44 (44%) 3
70 Daniel Maldini F 6.9 79' 1 2 34 (26%)
8 Michel Adopo M 6.9 95' 1 32 (27%) 1
22 Raphael Kofler D 6.9 16' 1 (1%) 1
39 Alieu Fadera F 6.7 38' 10 (9%) 1
2 Zé Pedro D 6.6 68' 31 (26%) 2
33 Adam Obert D 6.6 95' 1 39 (29%) 5
9 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 6.6 16' 4 (2%)
28 Yukinari Sugawara D 6.3 27' 6 (3%)
4 Alessandro Romano M 6.3 95' 1 52 (46%)
10 Jacopo Fazzini M 6.0 57' 17 (12%) 1
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Atalanta
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Atalanta
LLLWW
Cagliari
WWWLL
Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Atalanta faces Cagliari in this Serie A match, with both teams looking to secure valuable points. Atalanta has shown a strong offensive capability, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Cagliari’s defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. Historically, Atalanta has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 60% of their encounters over the past five years. Cagliari will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Atalanta's attacking prowess effectively.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
18%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Atalanta

No scorer data.

Cagliari
D. Maldini 3 gls

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Cagliari

1 Atalanta Wins
1 Draws
1 Cagliari Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Apr 2026 Cagliari 3 - 2 Atalanta
13 Dec 2025 Atalanta 2 - 1 Cagliari
15 Feb 2025 Atalanta 0 - 0 Cagliari
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Atalanta — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Juventus L 2 - 0
12 Sep H Cagliari L 1 - 2
05 Sep A AS Roma L 2 - 1
31 Aug H Bologna W 1 - 0
27 Aug A Hapoel Tel Aviv W 0 - 1

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Udinese W 0 - 1
12 Sep A Atalanta W 1 - 2
07 Sep H Lecce W 1 - 0
03 Sep H Hellas Verona L 1 - 2
30 Aug H Inter L 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Cagliari

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Fabio Pisacane
1 Caprile
33 Obert
15 Rodríguez
14 Deiola
2 Pedro
10 Fazzini
6 Winks
4 Romano
8 Adopo
70 Maldini
31 Mendy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Elia Caprile G
2 Zé Pedro D
14 Alessandro Deiola D
15 Juan Rodríguez D
33 Adam Obert D
8 Michel Adopo M
4 Alessandro Romano M
6 Harry Winks M
10 Jacopo Fazzini M
70 Daniel Maldini F
31 Paul Mendy F

Substitutes

23 Boris Radunović G
12 Alen Sherri G
26 Yerry Mina D
28 Yukinari Sugawara D
22 Raphael Kofler D
24 Giuseppe Aurelio D
20 Riccardo Ciervo F
32 Ivan Sulev M
79 Yanis Massolin M
27 Joseph Liteta M
21 Roberto Gagliardini M
30 Demi Akarakiri M
39 Alieu Fadera F
9 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F
35 Alessandro Sugamele F

Atalanta

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri
29 Carnesecchi
23 Kolašinac
42 Scalvini
3 Kossounou
16 Bellanova
13 Éderson
19 Kessié
10 Samardžić
11 Rowe
9 Scamacca
17 Ketelaere

Starting XI

# Player Pos
29 Marco Carnesecchi G
16 Raoul Bellanova D
3 Odilon Kossounou D
42 Giorgio Scalvini D
23 Sead Kolašinac D
10 Lazar Samardžić M
19 Franck Kessié M
13 Éderson M
17 Charles De Ketelaere F
9 Gianluca Scamacca F
11 Jonathan Rowe F

Substitutes

22 Thomas Pompei G
57 Marco Sportiello G
40 Relja Obrić D
31 Thomas Kristensen D
47 Lorenzo Bernasconi D
59 Nicola Zalewski M
99 Eljif Elmas M
8 Mario Pašalić M
77 Davide Zappacosta D
18 Giacomo Raspadori F
90 Nikola Krstović F

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