Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander Predviđanje

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

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Racing Santander

Away

Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo

AI predikcija Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Celta Vigo

52%

26%

22%

Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: Sportiko procjenjuje da Celta Vigo ima 52% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Racing Santander 22%, a neriješeno 26%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 19 Sep 2026, 18:29.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Ferran Jutglà Penalty confirmed

28' 🖵

Hugo González Penalty

32' ⚽ 1–0

Ilaix Moriba assist: Miguel Román

43' ⚽ 2–0

Hugo González ⇄ Pablo Durán

45' ⇄

Javier Rueda ⇄ Sergio Carreira

45' ⇄

Javier Rueda Yellow Card

45+3' ▮

HT 2–0

▮ 57'

Yassir Zabiri Yellow Card

⇄ 63'

André Almeida ⇄ Sergio Canales

⇄ 63'

Alvaro Mantilla ⇄ Aarón Martín

⇄ 63'

Pablo García ⇄ Asier Villalibre

Ferran Jutglà ⇄ Borja Iglesias

63' ⇄

▮ 64'

Jeanuël Belocian Yellow Card

Williot Swedberg ⇄ Javi Galán

64' ⇄

Miguel Román

69' ⚽ 3–0

Yoel Lago Yellow Card

73' ▮

▮ 75'

Pablo Ramón Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Yassir Zabiri ⇄ Giorgi Guliashvili

Pablo Durán assist: Hugo Álvarez

78' ⚽ 4–0

Miguel Román ⇄ Hugo Burcio

84' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Iván Martín ⇄ Íñigo Sáinz-Maza

▮ 90'

Sergio Canales Yellow Card

Pablo Durán assist: Hugo Álvarez

90+2' ⚽ 5–0

▮ 90+3'

Iñigo Vicente Yellow Card

FT 5–0

Celta Vigo

Match Stats

Racing Santander

41% Ball Possession 59%

13 Total Shots 11

9 Shots on Goal 5

2 Shots off Goal 4

2 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 6

5 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 3

3 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

427 Total passes 606

370 Passes accurate 539

9 Free Kicks 12

Celta Vigo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Miguel Román M	9.0	84'	1	1	2	56 (49%)	4
23 Hugo Álvarez M	8.6	90'	–	2	–	26 (23%)	3
11 Pablo Durán F	8.4	44'	2	–	3	12 (9%)	1
6 Ilaix Moriba M	8.2	90'	1	–	1	40 (37%)	5
13 Ionuț Radu G	8.1	90'	–	–	–	32 (25%)	–
21 Sebastián Cáceres D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	45 (40%)	3
16 Hugo González F	7.6	46'	1	–	1	17 (15%)	–
15 Alvaro Núñez D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	49 (44%)	2
5 Sergio Carreira D	7.3	44'	–	–	–	27 (23%)	–
22 Javi Galán D	7.3	26'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	1
18 Yoel Lago D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	39 (37%)	2
30 Hugo Burcio M	7.0	6'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
7 Borja Iglesias F	6.7	27'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–
19 Williot Swedberg F	6.3	64'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	3
17 Javier Rueda M	6.3	46'	–	–	1	23 (17%)	–
9 Ferran Jutglà F	6.2	63'	–	–	2	11 (6%)	–

Racing Santander

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 André Almeida M	6.7	63'	–	–	–	63 (59%)	2
13 Julen Agirrezabala G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	16 (14%)	–
10 Iñigo Vicente M	6.4	90'	–	–	3	85 (73%)	–
12 Asier Villalibre F	6.4	27'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	–
23 Iván Martín M	6.2	84'	–	–	–	65 (57%)	1
19 Iker Luque M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	40 (36%)	–
17 Jorge Salinas D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	66 (57%)	4
7 Giorgi Guliashvili F	6.1	15'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
21 Yassir Zabiri F	6.0	75'	–	–	1	8 (7%)	–
5 Pablo Ramón D	5.9	90'	–	–	2	73 (67%)	3
3 Aarón Martín D	5.8	27'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	–
6 Íñigo Sáinz-Maza M	5.8	6'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	1
15 Pablo García M	5.7	63'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	–
24 Jeanuël Belocian D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	62 (58%)	1
2 Alvaro Mantilla D	5.6	63'	–	–	–	49 (41%)	3
20 Sergio Canales M	5.5	27'	–	–	–	19 (19%)	–

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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Naša prednost

Težak ishod — pobjeda ili remi za Celta Vigo

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Racing Santander

LLWLW

Match summary

Celta Vigo enters the match against Racing Santander with a solid home record, leveraging their attacking prowess, which has seen them average 1.5 goals per game this season. Racing Santander, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five outings. This clash will be crucial for Celta to secure three points and strengthen their standing in La Liga, while Racing aims to improve their form and avoid relegation threats. Key players to watch include Celta’s top scorer, who can exploit Racing's defensive vulnerabilities.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Celta Vigo now leads 5-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Celta Vigo leads 4-0. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

78' Goal 85% sure

Celta Vigo now leads 4-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 32.2%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Celta Vigo leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

70' Goal 85% sure

Celta Vigo now leads 3-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 47.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

52%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Racing Santander goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	3	1
1	8	12	6	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Celta Vigo goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

Racing Santander

M. Zabiri 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

52%

Draw

26%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

70% Home (No Draw) 30% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	4.6%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
1	8.2%	12.3%	6.2%	2.3%	0.7%
2	8.8%	9.9%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	5.3%	6.0%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.4%	2.7%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celta Vigo	Draw	Racing Santander
Celta Vigo	31.2%	3.8%	1.3%
Draw	18.7%	15.5%	8.0%
Racing Santander	3.3%	4.8%	13.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Celta Vigo	L	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Barcelona	L	7 - 2
12 Sep	H Alaves	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	3 - 2
28 Aug	H Elche	W	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

13 Radu

21 Cáceres

18 Lago

15 Núñez

23 Álvarez

8 Román

6 Moriba

17 Rueda

19 Swedberg

9 Jutglà

16 González

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	I. Radu	G
15	Álvaro Núñez	D
18	Yoel Lago	D
21	S. Cáceres	D
17	Javi Rueda	M
6	I. Moriba	M
8	Miguel Román	M
23	Hugo Álvarez	M
16	Hugo González	F
9	Ferran Jutglà	F
19	W. Swedberg	F

Substitutes

1	A. Bayındır	G
2	C. Starfelt	D
20	Javi Rodríguez	D
7	Borja Iglesias	F
22	Javi Galán	D
14	Aleix Febas	M
4	A. Faye	D
11	Pablo Durán	F
24	C. Driouech	F
5	Sergio Carreira	D
30	H. Burcio	M
3	Marcos Alonso	D

Racing Santander

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: José Alberto López

13 Agirrezabala

17 Salinas

24 Belocian

5 Ramón

2 Mantilla

8 Almeida

19 Luque

10 Vicente

23 Martín

15 García

21 Zabiri

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Julen Agirrezabala	G
2	Álvaro Mantilla	D
5	Pablo Ramón	D
24	J. Belocian	D
17	Jorge Salinas	D
8	André Almeida	M
15	Pablo García	M
23	Iván Martín	M
10	Iñigo Vicente	M
19	Iker Luque	M
21	M. Zabiri	F

Substitutes

14	M. Gueye	M
16	Facundo González	D
31	Laro Gómez	G
20	Sergio Canales	M
9	Juan Carlos Arana	F
7	G. Guliashvili	F
4	Manu Hernando	D
3	Aarón Martín	D
22	Pedro Felipe	D
18	M. Prati	M
6	Íñigo Sainz-Maza	M
12	Asier Villalibre	F