Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Predviđanje

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Villa Park, Birmingham
AI predikcija Aston Villa ili neriješeno
43%
29%
28%
Pobjeda domaćina Neriješeno Pobjeda gostiju

Prognoza: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Sportiko procjenjuje da Aston Villa ima 43% vjerojatnosti za pobjedu, Nottingham Forest 28%, a neriješeno 29%. Zadnje ažuriranje: 12 Sep 2026, 15:59.

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  • Više od 1,5 golova 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 73%
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Match Report

Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest played out a goalless first half at Villa Park, though the opening 45 minutes were not without incident. Pau Torres was forced off early through injury, while yellow cards for Dan Ndoye, Nicolas Jackson — who was also substituted — and Murillo added a feisty edge to proceedings before the break.

Forest struck first just seconds into the second half, with Liam Delap converting to give the visitors the lead. Villa pushed for an equaliser and dominated in terms of volume, finishing the match with 22 total shots to Forest's six, but it was the away side who made their chances count. Alysson levelled matters on 74 minutes, only for Igor Jesus to restore Forest's advantage six minutes from time, sealing a 2–1 victory that the scoreline perhaps flatters the hosts.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Aston Villa win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark as Forest held firm to claim all three points despite Villa's considerable territorial pressure.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Pau Torres ⇄ Tyrone Mings
25' ⇄
▮ 43'
Dan Ndoye Yellow Card
Nicolas Jackson Yellow Card
45' ▮
Nicolas Jackson ⇄ Tammy Abraham
45' ⇄
George Hemmings ⇄ Alysson
45' ⇄
▮ 45+3'
Murillo Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 46'
Liam Delap assist: Murillo
▮ 56'
Xaver Schlager Yellow Card
Emiliano Buendía ⇄ Ibrahim Mbaye
63' ⇄
Ross Barkley ⇄ Johan Manzambi
63' ⇄
Alysson assist: John McGinn
74' ⚽ 1–1
▮ 75'
Liam Delap Yellow Card
⇄ 75'
Dan Ndoye ⇄ Igor Jesus
▮ 80'
James McAtee Yellow Card
⇄ 82'
James McAtee ⇄ Ibrahim Sangaré
⚽ 1–2 88'
Igor Jesus assist: Morgan Gibbs-White
⇄ 90+1'
Liam Delap ⇄ Chris Wood
Tyrone Mings Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
FT 1–2
Aston Villa

Match Stats

Nottingham Forest
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Goal 7
0 Shots off Goal 12
1 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Corner Kicks 1
0 Offsides 4
11 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
410 Total passes 360
339 Passes accurate 309
16 Free Kicks 11
Aston Villa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
47 Alysson F 7.9 44' 1 – 1 13 (9%) –
7 John McGinn M 7.5 90' – 1 – 22 (20%) 1
29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D 7.1 90' – – – 46 (41%) 5
1 Zion Suzuki G 6.8 90' – – – 43 (26%) –
14 Pau Torres D 6.7 25' – – – 25 (22%) –
6 Ross Barkley M 6.6 63' – – 1 30 (28%) 4
19 Ibrahim Mbaye F 6.5 27' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
5 Tyrone Mings D 6.5 65' – – – 34 (29%) 1
3 Victor Lindelöf D 6.4 90' – – 1 64 (60%) –
22 Ian Maatsen D 6.4 90' – – 2 33 (28%) 1
8 Boubacar Kamara M 6.3 90' – – – 36 (30%) 3
18 Tammy Abraham F 6.2 44' – – – 10 (5%) –
53 George Hemmings M 6.2 46' – – – 7 (7%) –
44 Johan Manzambi M 6.1 27' – – – 9 (7%) 1
11 Nicolas Jackson F 6.1 46' – – – 6 (4%) –
10 Emiliano Buendía M 6.0 63' – – – 20 (15%) –
Nottingham Forest
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Matz Sels G 8.0 90' – – – 22 (16%) –
11 Igor Jesus F 7.8 15' 1 – 1 9 (9%) –
19 Liam Delap F 7.7 91' 1 – 6 13 (9%) 1
10 Morgan Gibbs-White M 7.7 90' – 1 1 37 (32%) 1
27 Daniel Muñoz M 7.6 90' – – 1 37 (34%) 4
2 Ousmane Diomande D 7.2 90' – – 1 32 (31%) 1
21 Xaver Schlager M 7.2 90' – – 1 41 (35%) 6
34 Ola Aina D 7.0 90' – – – 39 (35%) 3
5 Murillo D 6.9 90' – 1 – 42 (37%) 2
3 Neco Williams M 6.7 90' – – 2 21 (17%) 1
14 Dan Ndoye M 6.4 75' – – 5 9 (7%) –
6 Ibrahim Sangaré M 6.4 8' – – 1 8 (6%) 1
24 James McAtee M 6.2 82' – – 2 48 (40%) 3
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Naša prednost
Aston Villa ili neriješeno
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Aston Villa
WWLWD
Nottingham Forest
LWDDL
Last 3 meetings Aston Villa · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Aston Villa faces Nottingham Forest in a Premier League clash, with Villa currently showing a strong form at home, having secured 12 points from their last 6 matches. Their attack, led by key forwards, averages 2 goals per game this season. Nottingham Forest, while capable defensively, has struggled on the road, conceding an average of 2 goals per match away from home. The outcome may hinge on Villa's ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess against a Forest defense that has been inconsistent. Overall, Villa's current momentum and offensive capabilities position them as favorites in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
43%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
28%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

2 Aston Villa Wins
1 Draws
0 Nottingham Forest Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Apr 2026 Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
03 Jan 2026 Aston Villa 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest
05 Apr 2025 Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest
Pogledaj svih 8 međusobnih susreta — Premium

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Tottenham W 2 - 3
16 Sep A Coventry W 1 - 3
12 Sep H Nottingham Forest L 1 - 2
08 Sep A Club Brugge KV W 2 - 3
05 Sep A Hull City D 0 - 0

Nottingham Forest — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Coventry L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Aston Villa W 1 - 2
05 Sep H Tottenham D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Liverpool D 2 - 2
25 Aug H Leeds L 0 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Nottingham Forest

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Glasner
26 Sels
5 Murillo
2 Diomande
34 Aina
3 Williams
21 Schlager
24 McAtee
27 Muñoz
10 Gibbs-White
14 Ndoye
19 Delap

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Sels G
34 O. Aina D
2 O. Diomande D
5 Murillo D
27 D. Muñoz M
24 J. McAtee M
21 X. Schlager M
3 N. Williams M
14 D. Ndoye M
10 M. Gibbs-White M
19 L. Delap F

Substitutes

9 C. Wood F
15 A. Kalimuendo F
12 John G
25 L. Netz D
7 C. Hudson-Odoi F
6 I. Sangaré M
8 N. Domínguez M
22 R. Yates M
11 Igor Jesus F

Aston Villa

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Unai Emery
1 Suzuki
22 Maatsen
14 Torres
3 Lindelöf
29 Wan-Bissaka
6 Barkley
8 Kamara
53 Hemmings
10 Buendía
7 McGinn
11 Jackson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Z. Suzuki G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
3 V. Lindelöf D
14 Pau Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
8 B. Kamara M
6 R. Barkley M
7 J. McGinn M
10 E. Buendía M
53 George Hemmings M
11 N. Jackson F

Substitutes

19 I. Mbaye F
18 T. Abraham F
17 A. Garnacho F
47 Alysson Edward F
44 J. Manzambi M
26 L. Bogarde M
13 M. Ruggeri D
5 T. Mings D
40 M. Bizot G

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