Botafogo vs Fluminense Prédiction
Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Prédiction IA
Botafogo ou match nul
41%
31%
28%
Victoire à domicile
Match nul
Victoire extérieure
Pronostic Botafogo vs Fluminense : Sportiko estime que Botafogo a 41% de chances de s'imposer, Fluminense 28% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 9 Aug 2026, 02:01.
Pronostics Premium
Premium- L'équipe à domicile marque 71%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 72%
Les membres Premium avaient ces pronostics avant le coup d'envoi.
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Timeline
Alex Telles
44'
⚽
1–0
HT 1–0
▮
54'
Ignácio
Yellow Card
⚽
1–1
58'
Ignácio
assist: Kevin Serna
Kauan Toledo
⇄ Jordan Barrera
59'
⇄
Lucas Villalba
⇄ Matheus Martins
59'
⇄
Nahuel Ferraresi
Yellow Card
68'
▮
⇄
70'
Kevin Serna
⇄ Agustín Canobbio
⇄
70'
Ganso
⇄ Hércules
Alex Telles
⇄ Paulinho
70'
⇄
▮
76'
Nonato
Yellow Card
▮
77'
Samuel Xavier
Yellow Card
⇄
79'
Yeferson Soteldo
⇄ Luciano Acosta
⇄
79'
Nonato
⇄ Jefferson Savarino
⇄
85'
Rodrigo Castillo
⇄ Hulk
Jordan Barrera
⇄ Lucas Emanuel
85'
⇄
Álvaro Montoro
⇄ Danilo
85'
⇄
Gabriel Justino
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Marçal
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
Marçal
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
FT 1–1
Botafogo
Match Stats
Fluminense
40%
Ball Possession
60%
1.06
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
18
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
5
6
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots insidebox
11
11
Shots outsidebox
3
7
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
19
4
Yellow Cards
3
1
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
316
Total passes
468
265
Passes accurate
409
84%
Passes %
87%
-0.48
goals_prevented
-0.48
Botafogo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Álvaro Montoro M | 8.5 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 42 (36%) | 2 |
| 13 Alex Telles D | 7.3 | 70' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 8 Danilo Santos M | 7.2 | 97' | – | – | 2 | 43 (38%) | 1 |
| 5 Nahuel Ferraresi D | 7.0 | 97' | – | – | – | 43 (34%) | 1 |
| 59 Kauan Toledo M | 6.9 | 59' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 4 |
| 17 Warleson G | 6.9 | 97' | – | – | – | 16 (11%) | – |
| 34 Gabriel Justino D | 6.7 | 97' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | 1 |
| 11 Matheus Martins F | 6.6 | 38' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 6 Cristian Medina M | 6.5 | 97' | – | – | 2 | 36 (32%) | – |
| 79 Lucas Emanuel F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 2 Vitinho D | 6.3 | 97' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 1 |
| 29 Paulinho D | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 9 Danilo F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 77 Lucas Villalba M | 6.2 | 59' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | – |
| 14 Jordan Barrera M | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 19 Arthur Cabral F | 6.2 | 97' | – | – | 2 | 11 (10%) | 1 |
Fluminense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Ignácio D | 8.9 | 97' | 1 | – | 2 | 37 (33%) | 5 |
| 44 Jemmes D | 7.2 | 97' | – | – | 1 | 48 (44%) | 2 |
| 6 Renê D | 7.2 | 97' | – | – | – | 62 (57%) | 4 |
| 90 Kevin Serna M | 7.2 | 70' | – | 1 | 2 | 33 (29%) | 2 |
| 2 Samuel Xavier D | 7.2 | 97' | – | – | – | 47 (43%) | 3 |
| 17 Agustín Canobbio F | 6.9 | 27' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 2 |
| 1 Fábio G | 6.9 | 97' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
| 30 Yeferson Soteldo M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | – |
| 94 Otávio M | 6.9 | 97' | – | – | 2 | 57 (51%) | 1 |
| 35 Hércules M | 6.7 | 27' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 2 |
| 7 Hulk F | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 10 Ganso M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 1 |
| 32 Luciano Acosta M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
| 11 Jefferson Savarino F | 6.3 | 18' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 19 Rodrigo Castillo F | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | 1 |
| 16 Nonato M | 5.9 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 43 (40%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Notre approche
Botafogo ou match nul
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Botafogo
LWDDL
Fluminense
WLLWW
Last 3 meetings
Botafogo · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Serie A clash, Botafogo faces off against Fluminense in a highly anticipated derby. Botafogo has shown solid form this season, particularly in their attacking play, averaging 1.9 goals per match. Conversely, Fluminense has been strong defensively, conceding only 0.9 goals per match, which could pose challenges for Botafogo's offense. The match promises to be competitive, as both teams have key players capable of influencing the outcome, making tactical adjustments crucial. Expect a tightly contested battle with potential playoff implications.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
41%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
28%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Botafogo
Danilo Santos
9 gls
Arthur Cabral
7 gls
Fluminense
John Kennedy
9 gls
Hulk
7 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Botafogo vs Fluminense
1
Botafogo Wins
0
Draws
2
Fluminense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb 2026 | Fluminense | 1 - 0 | Botafogo |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Fluminense | 2 - 0 | Botafogo |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Botafogo | 2 - 0 | Fluminense |
Botafogo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Mirassol | L | 2 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Gremio | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H RB Bragantino | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Palmeiras | D | 0 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Flamengo | L | 3 - 0 |
Fluminense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Corinthians | W | 1 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | A Platense | L | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Atletico-MG | L | 3 - 1 |
| 08 Sep | H Platense | W | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 8 |
Santos
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Coritiba
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |
RB Bragantino
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 36 |
| 12 |
Botafogo
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 |
Mirassol
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |
Gremio
|
28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Internacional
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 |
Botafogo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Franclim Carvalho
17
Warleson
13
Telles
5
Ferraresi
34
Justino
2
Vitinho
8
Santos
6
Medina
59
Toledo
10
Montoro
77
Villalba
19
Cabral
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warleson | G |
| 2 | Vitinho | D |
| 34 | Gabriel Justino | D |
| 5 | Nahuel Ferraresi | D |
| 13 | Alex Telles | D |
| 6 | Cristian Medina | M |
| 8 | Danilo Santos | M |
| 77 | Lucas Villalba | M |
| 10 | Álvaro Montoro | M |
| 59 | Kauan Toledo | M |
| 19 | Arthur Cabral | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Gabriel Batista | G |
| 33 | Lucas Monzón | D |
| 4 | Mateo Ponte | D |
| 29 | Paulinho | D |
| 21 | Marçal | D |
| 14 | Jordan Barrera | M |
| 88 | Edenilson | M |
| 91 | Domingos Andrade | M |
| 9 | Danilo | F |
| 37 | Kadir Barría | F |
| 11 | Matheus Martins | F |
| 79 | Lucas Emanuel | F |
Fluminense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Francisco Zubeldia Luis
1
Fábio
6
Renê
44
Jemmes
4
Ignácio
2
Xavier
16
Nonato
94
Otávio
90
Serna
10
Ganso
30
Soteldo
19
Castillo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fábio | G |
| 2 | Samuel Xavier | D |
| 4 | Ignácio | D |
| 44 | Jemmes | D |
| 6 | Renê | D |
| 94 | Otávio | M |
| 16 | Nonato | M |
| 30 | Yeferson Soteldo | M |
| 10 | Ganso | M |
| 90 | Kevin Serna | M |
| 19 | Rodrigo Castillo | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | Marcelo Pitaluga | G |
| 23 | Guga | D |
| 13 | Guilherme Arana | D |
| 21 | Igor Rabello | D |
| 35 | Hércules | M |
| 8 | Martinelli | M |
| 32 | Luciano Acosta | M |
| 11 | Jefferson Savarino | F |
| 28 | Riquelme Felipe | F |
| 17 | Agustín Canobbio | F |
| 7 | Hulk | F |
| 14 | Germán Cano | F |