Tromso vs Ham-Kam Prédiction

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 22

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Tromso

Home

3 : 2

HT 1 - 1

Ham-Kam

Away

Romssa Arena, Tromsø

Prédiction IA Tromso pour gagner ou match nul

66%

21%

13%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Tromso vs Ham-Kam : Sportiko estime que Tromso a 66% de chances de s'imposer, Ham-Kam 13% et le match nul 21%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 16:56.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 73%
Home 2H Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 41'

Mohamed Ofkir assist: David Benjamin

Morten Bjørlo assist: Alexander Warneryd

44' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 45'

Mohamed Ofkir ⇄ Henrik Udahl

HT 1–1

Heine Asen Larsen assist: Ruben Jenssen

60' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 60'

Fredrik Sjolstad ⇄ Halvor Rodolen Opsahl

⇄ 60'

David Benjamin ⇄ Danilo Al-Saed

Heine Asen Larsen ⇄ Vegard Erlien

68' ⇄

🖵 71'

Henrik Udahl Penalty cancelled

⇄ 75'

Markus Johnsgard ⇄ Loris Mettler

▮ 77'

Snorre Strand Nilsen Yellow Card

Morten Bjørlo ⇄ J. Grundt

83' ⇄

Vegard Erlien assist: Ruben Jenssen

85' ⚽ 3–1

⚽ 3–2 87'

Vetle Skjaervik Own Goal

Troy Nyhammer ⇄ Nicolai Arun Jacobsen

90+3' ⇄

FT 3–2

Tromso

Match Stats

Ham-Kam

66% Ball Possession 34%

18 Total Shots 4

11 Shots on Goal 2

3 Shots off Goal 2

4 Blocked Shots 0

15 Shots insidebox 3

3 Shots outsidebox 1

7 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 3

8 Fouls 9

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 8

712 Total passes 352

640 Passes accurate 274

9 Free Kicks 8

Tromso

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Ruben Jenssen M	8.6	90'	–	2	–	56 (53%)	1
22 Heine Asen Larsen F	8.2	68'	1	–	8	18 (17%)	–
70 Morten Bjørlo M	8.2	83'	1	–	1	55 (48%)	1
15 Vegard Erlien F	7.6	22'	1	–	1	12 (11%)	–
29 Alexander Warneryd D	6.7	90'	–	1	1	51 (44%)	1
21 Leon Hien D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	108 (103%)	1
37 Sander Innvær D	6.5	90'	–	–	2	32 (27%)	2
10 Troy Nyhammer F	6.4	93'	–	–	1	57 (50%)	–
1 Jakob Haugaard G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	–
30 Isak Vadebu D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	118 (107%)	–
8 J. Grundt M	6.0	7'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	–
4 Vetle Skjaervik D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	115 (102%)	–

Ham-Kam

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Mohamed Ofkir F	7.6	46'	1	–	1	5 (5%)	–
28 David Benjamin F	7.0	60'	–	1	–	8 (7%)	–
12 Marcus Sandberg G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	47 (26%)	–
19 Henrik Udahl F	6.6	44'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	1
24 Danilo Al-Saed F	6.4	30'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
14 Luc Mares M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	2
4 Halvor Rodolen Opsahl D	6.2	30'	–	–	–	20 (20%)	–
5 A. Andresen D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	3
8 Markus Johnsgard M	6.1	75'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	2
26 Patrick Metcalfe M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	33 (26%)	–
23 Fredrik Sjolstad D	5.9	60'	–	–	–	26 (20%)	1
10 Loris Mettler M	5.9	15'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
2 Martin Gjone D	5.8	90'	–	–	1	38 (28%)	1
3 Ethan Amundsen-Day D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	2
22 Snorre Strand Nilsen D	5.1	90'	–	–	–	24 (16%)	1

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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Tromso pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

2:0 · 11%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Tromso

WWLLD

Ham-Kam

LWLLD

Last 3 meetings Tromso · 3W 0D 0L

Live insights

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Tromso win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

86' Goal 85% sure

Tromso now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 13.9%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Tromso leads 2-1. Win probability: 90.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9.1%.

62' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Tromso win: 87.6%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 35.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

45%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

13%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ham-Kam goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	3	2	1
1	9	10	4	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	8	8	3	1
4	5	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Tromso goals · most likely 2–0 (11.0%)

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Players in form

Tromso

H. Larsen 10 gls

J. Hjertø-Dahl 7 gls

Ham-Kam

M. Alassane Niang 6 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

21%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

21%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	2.8%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
1	8.6%	10.1%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.0%	10.1%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	8.3%	7.6%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
4	4.7%	4.3%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

31%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

25%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Tromso	Draw	Ham-Kam
Tromso	41.4%	3.3%	1.1%
Draw	22.9%	12.7%	5.6%
Ham-Kam	3.3%	3.3%	6.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

62%

2.5

38%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Tromso vs Ham-Kam

3 Tromso Wins

0 Draws

0 Ham-Kam Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jul 2026	Ham-Kam	1 - 4	Tromso
21 Sep 2025	Tromso	1 - 0	Ham-Kam
22 Jun 2025	Ham-Kam	1 - 3	Tromso

Voir les 9 confrontations — Premium

Tromso — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Ham-Kam	W	3 - 2
16 Sep	A Alta	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Rosenborg	L	5 - 3
06 Sep	A Kristiansund BK	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Sarpsborg 08 FF	D	0 - 0

Ham-Kam — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Tromso	L	3 - 2
16 Sep	A Kjelsås	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Molde	L	1 - 5
05 Sep	A Rosenborg	L	4 - 0
30 Aug	H Kristiansund BK	D	2 - 2

Eliteserien Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Viking	21	16	2	3	54	20	+34	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	16	2	3	53	19	+34	50
3	Tromso	21	11	5	5	40	29	+11	38
4	Molde	21	11	3	7	44	32	+12	36
5	Rosenborg	21	10	3	8	39	30	+9	33
6	Lillestrom	21	10	2	9	28	29	-1	32
7	Brann	21	9	2	10	39	32	+7	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	8	4	9	25	32	-7	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	6	7	8	24	29	-5	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	7	4	10	25	35	-10	25
11	Sandefjord	21	6	5	10	21	27	-6	23
12	Valerenga	21	6	5	10	34	43	-9	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	6	5	10	29	44	-15	23
14	Aalesund	21	4	9	8	33	46	-13	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	5	4	12	21	40	-19	19
16	Start	21	4	4	13	22	44	-22	16