Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Prédiction

A-League · Regular Season - 19

Post on X

Adelaide United

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

Prédiction IA Melbourne Victory ou match nul

43%

23%

34%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United : Sportiko estime que Melbourne Victory a 43% de chances de s'imposer, Adelaide United 34% et le match nul 23%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Melbourne Victory ou match nul

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Adelaide United

LWLDD

Last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash on February 27, 2026, Melbourne Victory hosts Adelaide United at AAMI Park. Historically, this matchup has been competitive, with Melbourne Victory holding a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings. Currently, Melbourne Victory is looking to leverage home advantage, where they have a strong record, winning 60% of their home games this season. Meanwhile, Adelaide United's away form has been inconsistent, with only 30% of points secured on the road. Key players to watch will be Melbourne's attacking duo, who have combined for over 20 goals this season, while Adelaide will rely on their solid midfield to control the pace of the game. Expect a tactical battle as both teams vie for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Adelaide United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	6	5	2	1
1	7	10	8	4	1
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–1 (10.4%)

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Players in form

Melbourne Victory

N. Vergos 7 gls

Clarismario Rodrigues 6 gls

Mata 5 gls

Adelaide United

L. Jovanović 11 gls

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United

1 Melbourne Victory Wins

0 Draws

1 Adelaide United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Adelaide United	2 - 1	Melbourne Victory
13 Dec 2025	Melbourne Victory	2 - 1	Adelaide United

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Adelaide United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
09 May	A Auckland	L	1 - 0
26 Apr	A Melbourne City	W	1 - 2
19 Apr	H Macarthur	L	0 - 1
11 Apr	A Newcastle Jets	D	1 - 1
03 Apr	H Auckland	D	1 - 1

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	15	3	8	55	39	+16	48
2	Adelaide United	26	12	7	7	46	36	+10	43
3	Auckland	26	11	9	6	42	29	+13	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	11	7	8	44	33	+11	40
5	Sydney	26	11	6	9	33	25	+8	39
6	Melbourne City	26	10	8	8	33	33	0	38
7	Macarthur	26	9	7	10	37	44	-7	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	9	6	11	36	48	-12	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	8	8	10	35	42	-7	32
10	Perth Glory	26	8	7	11	32	39	-7	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	6	8	12	27	36	-9	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	5	6	15	27	43	-16	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.