Heracles vs Excelsior Prédiction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 28

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

28%

38%

34%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Heracles vs Excelsior : Sportiko estime que Heracles a 28% de chances de s'imposer, Excelsior 34% et le match nul 38%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Notre approche

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Heracles

LWWWW

Excelsior

DLDWW

Last 3 meetings Heracles · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Heracles will host Excelsior in a crucial Eredivisie clash on March 20, 2026. Both teams are battling to secure their league standing, with Heracles aiming to leverage their home advantage, where they have historically performed better. They currently average 1.5 goals per game at home, while Excelsior has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per away match. Key players to watch include Heracles' leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Excelsior's creative midfielder, who has been pivotal in their attacking play. This match could significantly impact both teams' aspirations for a mid-table finish.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

10%

Draw

38%

45%

Away

34%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	24	18	7	2
1	16	12	5	1
2	5	4	2
3	1	1
4
5

↑ Heracles goals · most likely 0–0 (24.2%)

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Players in form

Heracles

J. Hornkamp 10 gls

Excelsior

N. Naujoks 10 gls

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Head to Head: Heracles vs Excelsior

2 Heracles Wins

0 Draws

1 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Nov 2025	Excelsior	1 - 2	Heracles
12 May 2024	Excelsior	4 - 0	Heracles
02 Sep 2023	Heracles	3 - 1	Excelsior

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Heracles — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Almere City FC	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Jong AZ	W	3 - 2
04 Sep	H De Graafschap	W	5 - 0
30 Aug	A FC Eindhoven	W	1 - 3
24 Aug	A Jong Utrecht	W	1 - 6

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101	45	+56	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	+26	65
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	+24	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	+19	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	+21	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	+13	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	+7	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	+4	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	+4	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	+1	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.