Strasbourg vs Nice Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28
FT
Post on X
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Strasbourg
60%
25%
15%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Strasbourg vs Nice : Sportiko estime que Strasbourg a 60% de chances de s'imposer, Nice 15% et le match nul 25%. Dernière mise à jour : 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.

Match Report

**Strasbourg 3–1 Nice (Ligue 1, Matchday 28)**

Strasbourg produced a stunning first-half display to dismantle Nice at home, scoring three goals before the break despite being the less dominant side on paper. An unnamed opener arrived in the 28th minute, before Julio Enciso doubled the lead eight minutes later. Samir El Mourabet added a third just before half-time to put the match beyond doubt, leaving Nice with a mountain to climb after the interval.

The second half was a much quieter affair, with Nice enjoying the lion's share of possession and generating the majority of chances — their expected goals figure of 2.86 compared to Strasbourg's 0.32 tells its own story. Antoine Mendy pulled one back in the 82nd minute to give the scoreline a slightly more respectable look for the visitors, but it was too little, too late.

The result was a triumph of clinical finishing over sustained pressure. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Strasbourg win as the most likely outcome at 60%, a call that proved correct despite Nice's statistical superiority across large portions of the game.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

assist: Guéla Doué
28' 1–0
Julio Enciso assist: Samir El Mourabet
36' 2–0
41'
Hicham Boudaoui Yellow Card
Samir El Mourabet
42' 3–0
43'
Yellow Card
HT 3–0
46'
46'
46'
Samir El Mourabet ⇄ Valentín Barco
58'
58'
64'
⇄ Ali Abdi
77'
77'
80'
Elye Wahi
3–1 82'
Antoine Mendy
Julio Enciso
90+1'
FT 3–1
Strasbourg

Match Stats

Nice
59% Ball Possession 41%
2.86 Expected Goals (xG) 0.32
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 4
1 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Corner Kicks 10
1 Offsides 2
7 Fouls 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
593 Total passes 394
531 Passes accurate 332
90% Passes % 84%
0.49 goals_prevented 0.49
Strasbourg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
80 Gessime Yassine M 9.2 90' 3 37 (33%) 9
19 Julio Enciso F 8.9 89' 1 5 18 (13%) 2
29 Samir El Mourabet M 8.2 58' 1 1 1 37 (30%) 2
20 Martial Godo M 8.2 77' 1 3 22 (19%) 2
22 Guéla Doué D 8.0 90' 1 1 68 (62%) 3
2 Andrew Omobamidele D 7.5 77' 81 (78%)
3 Ben Chilwell D 7.0 58' 35 (29%)
8 Maxi Oyedele M 7.0 90' 66 (63%)
39 Mike Penders G 6.9 90' 51 (45%)
6 Ismael Doukouré D 6.9 90' 82 (79%)
5 Aarón Anselmino D 6.7 13' 4 (4%)
10 Emmanuel Emegha F 6.6 13' 4 (4%)
24 Lucas Høgsberg D 6.5 32' 26 (25%)
32 Valentín Barco M 6.2 32' 24 (19%)
11 Sebastian Nanasi M 5.5 90' 35 (25%)
17 Mathis Amougou M 1' 3 (3%)
Nice
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
80 Yehvann Diouf G 7.7 90' 25 (17%)
33 Antoine Mendy D 7.3 90' 1 1 50 (41%) 1
8 Morgan Sanson M 7.2 64' 32 (26%) 1
4 Dante D 7.0 45' 1 12 (11%) 2
6 Hicham Boudaoui M 6.6 90' 39 (35%) 3
24 Charles Vanhoutte M 6.6 45' 26 (23%) 1
11 Elye Wahi F 6.5 80' 2 13 (11%) 1
2 Ali Abdi D 6.5 26' 15 (12%)
10 Sofiane Diop M 6.5 45' 18 (14%) 3
32 Kaïl Boudache F 6.5 10' 4 (3%)
26 Melvin Bard D 6.3 90' 35 (29%) 6
20 Tom Louchet M 6.3 90' 37 (33%) 3
25 Mohamed-Ali Cho F 6.3 45' 1 17 (14%)
28 Abdulay Juma Bah D 6.2 45' 17 (16%) 1
21 Isak Jansson F 6.2 45' 8 (5%) 1
92 Jonathan Clauss D 6.0 90' 46 (42%) 3
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Strasbourg
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Strasbourg
LDWWL
Nice
WLDLD
Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on April 5, 2026, Strasbourg will host Nice at Stade de la Meinau. Historically, Strasbourg has struggled against Nice, with the latter winning 60% of their encounters in the last five years. Strasbourg's home form has been solid, with a 70% points acquisition rate at home this season, while Nice has shown inconsistency, particularly in away matches, winning only 40% of their games on the road. Key players to watch include Strasbourg's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Nice's defensive leader, who has averaged 3 tackles per game. This match could be pivotal for both teams' aspirations for European competition, making it a crucial encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Strasbourg
Gessime Yassine 2 gls
S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls
Nice

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Nice

0 Strasbourg Wins
2 Draws
1 Nice Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 Jan 2026 Nice 1 - 1 Strasbourg
12 Apr 2025 Strasbourg 2 - 2 Nice
24 Nov 2024 Nice 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Paris FC L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Monaco D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Estac Troyes W 2 - 6
29 Aug H Lens W 2 - 1
21 Aug A Marseille L 4 - 0

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Nice

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Claude Puel
80 Diouf
26 Bard
28 Bah
33 Mendy
92 Clauss
10 Diop
6 Boudaoui
8 Sanson
20 Louchet
11 Wahi
21 Jansson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
80 Y. Diouf G
92 J. Clauss D
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
26 M. Bard D
20 T. Louchet M
8 M. Sanson M
6 H. Boudaoui M
10 S. Diop M
21 I. Jansson F
11 E. Wahi F

Substitutes

31 M. Dupe G
4 Dante D
2 A. Abdi D
22 T. Ndombele M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
32 K. Boudache F
99 S. Abdul Samed M
25 M. Cho F
23 G. Bernardeau M

Strasbourg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gary O'Neil
39 Penders
3 Chilwell
6 Doukoure
2 Omobamidele
22 Doue
8 Oyedele
29 Mourabet
20 Godo
11 Nanasi
80 Yassine
19 Enciso

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Penders G
22 G. Doue D
2 A. Omobamidele D
6 I. Doukoure D
3 B. Chilwell D
29 S. El Mourabet M
8 M. Oyedele M
80 G. Yassine M
11 S. Nanasi M
20 M. Godo M
19 J. Enciso F

Substitutes

1 K. Johnsson G
15 D. D. Fofana F
10 E. Emegha F
17 M. Amougou M
5 A. Anselmino D
32 V. Barco M
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw F
83 R. Luis M
24 L. Hogsberg D

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