Marseille vs Lille Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

Lille

Away

Prédiction IA Marseille ou match nul

47%

27%

25%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Marseille vs Lille : Sportiko estime que Marseille a 47% de chances de s'imposer, Lille 25% et le match nul 27%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Marseille ou match nul

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Marseille

LLLLL

Lille

LWLWD

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on March 22, 2026, Marseille hosts Lille in a crucial match for both teams’ ambitions. Marseille has displayed formidable home form, winning 70% of their home matches this season, largely thanks to a solid defense that has conceded just 0.8 goals per game. Lille, while slightly less consistent, has been effective on the road, with a 50% win rate, bolstered by a strong attacking unit averaging 1.6 goals per game. Key players to watch include Marseille's leading scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and Lille's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their goal tally. The match promises an intriguing battle, with Marseille looking to maintain pressure on the title race and Lille aiming for a European spot.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lille goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	9	4	1
1	13	13	6	2
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–0 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Marseille

M. Greenwood 16 gls

P. Aubameyang 10 gls

Lille

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Lille

0 Marseille Wins

2 Draws

1 Lille Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Dec 2025	Lille	1 - 0	Marseille
04 May 2025	Lille	1 - 1	Marseille
14 Dec 2024	Marseille	1 - 1	Lille

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Lille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nice	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Real Betis	L	2 - 3
03 Sep	A Toulouse	W	0 - 1
28 Aug	H Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.