Ponte da Barca vs Amarante Prédiction

Taça de Portugal · Round of 128

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Ponte da Barca

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 1

Amarante

Away

Prédiction IA Amarante pour gagner ou match nul

12%

20%

68%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Ponte da Barca vs Amarante : Sportiko estime que Ponte da Barca a 12% de chances de s'imposer, Amarante 68% et le match nul 20%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Sep 2026, 15:57.

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Moins de 3,5 buts 73%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 14'

Missed Penalty

45+1' ✗

HT 0–1

Red Card

73' ▮

⚽ 0–2 90+4'

FT 0–2

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Amarante pour gagner ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Ponte da Barca

LLLDW

Amarante

WDLWD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Amarante now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Amarante leads 0-1. Win probability: 89.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Amarante leads. Win probability: 75.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.7%.

15' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Amarante win: 71.5%. BTTS: 62.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Amarante goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ponte da Barca goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

20%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

20%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

58% Away (No Draw) 42% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	8.8%	7.5%	3.6%	1.3%
1	7.0%	14.0%	8.9%	4.3%	1.5%
2	5.1%	7.4%	5.3%	2.6%	0.9%
3	2.0%	2.9%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ponte da Barca	Draw	Amarante
Ponte da Barca	18.6%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	10.4%	18.2%	13.5%
Amarante	1.6%	4.5%	26.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ponte da Barca vs Amarante

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ponte da Barca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Amarante	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A Bragança	L	3 - 0
06 Sep	H Os Limianos	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Montalegre	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Maia Lidador	W	0 - 1

Amarante — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Ponte da Barca	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H União de Leiria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Leixoes	L	3 - 1
30 Aug	H Benfica B	W	1 - 0
22 Aug	A Vizela	D	0 - 0

Taça de Portugal Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.