Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prédiction

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 35
FT
Post on X
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Prédiction IA Rayo Vallecano ou match nul
36%
31%
33%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Rayo Vallecano vs Girona : Sportiko estime que Rayo Vallecano a 36% de chances de s'imposer, Girona 33% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Rayo Vallecano and Girona played out a tense 1–1 draw in La Liga's 35th matchday, with both goals arriving in a dramatic final five minutes after a goalless first half. Girona dominated possession with 59% and registered 18 total shots to Rayo's nine, though neither side could find a breakthrough through the opening hour of play. A VAR review in the 56th minute cancelled a penalty for Álex Moreno, proving a significant turning point that kept the scoreline level.

The match burst to life late on when Alemão broke the deadlock for Rayo in the 86th minute, seemingly set to hand the hosts all three points. However, veteran striker Cristhian Stuani equalised for Girona in the 90th minute to snatch a share of the spoils, before picking up a yellow card moments later in stoppage time. Both managers had been active with their substitutions throughout the second half, with each side making five changes.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rayo win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that ultimately fell just short as Girona's late response denied them victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Pedro Díaz Yellow Card
44' ▮
HT 0–0
🖵 56'
Álex Moreno Penalty cancelled
Pedro Díaz ⇄ Gerard Gumbau
58' ⇄
Fran Pérez ⇄ Alemão
58' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Thomas Lemar ⇄ Claudio Echeverri
⇄ 60'
Azzedine Ounahi ⇄ Iván Martín
Sergio Camello ⇄ Pacha
68' ⇄
Jorge de Frutos ⇄ Carlos Martín
68' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Arnau Martínez ⇄ Hugo Rincón
⇄ 85'
Fran Beltrán ⇄ Cristhian Stuani
Alemão assist: Unai López
86' ⚽ 1–0
Unai López ⇄ Nobel Mendy
88' ⇄
⚽ 1–1 90'
Cristhian Stuani assist: Viktor Tsygankov
▮ 90+4'
Cristhian Stuani Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Rayo Vallecano

Match Stats

Girona
59% Ball Possession 41%
1.20 Expected Goals (xG) 0.98
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 3
9 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
484 Total passes 343
404 Passes accurate 272
83% Passes % 79%
-0.15 goals_prevented -0.15
Rayo Vallecano
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Andrei Rațiu D 7.7 90' – – – 44 (37%) 4
24 Florian Lejeune D 7.7 90' – – 2 90 (83%) 1
23 Óscar Valentín M 7.6 90' – – – 28 (26%) 2
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss D 7.3 90' – – 1 74 (66%) 2
9 Alemão F 7.2 32' 1 – 2 8 (6%) –
17 Unai López M 6.9 88' – 1 – 53 (48%) –
10 Sergio Camello F 6.9 68' – – 2 18 (13%) 2
14 Carlos Martín F 6.9 22' – – 1 6 (6%) 1
22 Pacha D 6.7 22' – – – 4 (4%) 2
13 Augusto Batalla G 6.7 90' – – – 48 (29%) –
19 Jorge de Frutos F 6.7 68' – – – 15 (9%) –
15 Gerard Gumbau M 6.5 32' – – 2 13 (9%) –
21 Fran Pérez F 6.5 58' – – 1 12 (9%) –
4 Pedro Díaz M 6.3 58' – – – 31 (25%) 1
3 Josep Chavarría D 6.2 90' – – – 38 (32%) –
32 Nobel Mendy D 6.2 9' – – – 2 (2%) –
Girona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Paulo Gazzaniga G 7.5 90' – – – 29 (21%) –
12 Vitor Reis D 7.3 90' – – – 49 (41%) 3
4 Arnau Martínez D 7.2 72' – – – 23 (16%) 1
7 Cristhian Stuani F 7.2 12' 1 – 1 1 (1%) –
24 Álex Moreno D 7.0 90' – – – 30 (24%) 3
18 Azzedine Ounahi F 6.9 60' – – 1 19 (16%) 1
20 Axel Witsel M 6.9 90' – – – 41 (35%) 1
8 Fran Beltrán M 6.9 85' – – 1 40 (33%) 1
15 Viktor Tsygankov M 6.7 90' – 1 2 23 (18%) 1
16 Alejandro Francés D 6.6 90' – – – 38 (30%) 1
3 Joel Roca M 6.5 90' – – 1 11 (9%) 2
14 Claudio Echeverri M 6.5 30' – – – 8 (4%) –
23 Iván Martín M 6.3 30' – – 1 7 (6%) –
11 Thomas Lemar M 6.3 60' – – – 16 (12%) 2
2 Hugo Rincón D 6.3 18' – – – 8 (6%) 3
Premium

Accéder à l'analyse complète de l'IA pour Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

  • Tous les 70+ marchés de probabilité
  • Rapport de match — Analyse approfondie IA
  • Avantage Analytique — modèle vs marché
  • Types de sélections que vous choisissez
Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Rayo Vallecano ou match nul
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Rayo Vallecano
DWLWL
Girona
WLWWL
Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano hosts Girona in a crucial La Liga clash on May 10, 2026. Rayo has shown solid home form, boasting a 60% win rate at Estadio Vallecas this season, while Girona has been competitive on the road, securing points in 40% of their away matches. Both teams are known for their attacking play, with Rayo averaging 1.5 goals per game at home and Girona closely following with 1.3 goals per away match. Key players to watch include Rayo's leading scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, against Girona's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their attacking efforts. This match could be pivotal in the race for European qualification, making for an intense encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Rayo Vallecano
Sergio Camello 7 gls
Girona

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

2 Rayo Vallecano Wins
1 Draws
0 Girona Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Aug 2025 Girona 1 - 3 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jan 2025 Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Girona
25 Sep 2024 Girona 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Voir les 9 confrontations — Premium

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Osasuna D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Espanyol W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Real Madrid L 4 - 1
05 Sep H Racing Santander W 3 - 2
31 Aug A Barcelona L 5 - 2

Girona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Cadiz W 1 - 2
12 Sep H Castellón L 1 - 2
05 Sep A Sporting Gijon W 0 - 2
29 Aug H Las Palmas W 5 - 2
21 Aug A Cordoba L 2 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Girona

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Michel
13 Gazzaniga
24 Moreno
12 Reis
16 Frances
4 Martinez
8 Beltran
20 Witsel
3 Roca
11 Lemar
15 Tsygankov
18 Ounahi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 A. Martinez D
16 A. Frances D
12 Vitor Reis D
24 A. Moreno D
20 A. Witsel M
8 F. Beltran M
15 V. Tsygankov M
11 T. Lemar M
3 J. Roca M
18 A. Ounahi F

Substitutes

25 V. Krapyvtsov G
1 R. Blanco G
7 C. Stuani F
17 D. Blind D
14 C. Echeverri M
5 D. Lopez D
9 A. Ruiz F
23 I. Martin M
36 R. Artero M
2 H. Rincon D

Rayo Vallecano

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Inigo Perez
13 Batalla
3 Chavarria
24 Lejeune
6 Ciss
2 Ratiu
17 Lopez
23 Valentin
4 Diaz
21 Perez
10 Camello
19 Frutos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
6 P. Ciss D
24 F. Lejeune D
3 P. Chavarria D
4 P. Diaz M
23 O. Valentin M
17 U. Lopez M
19 J. de Frutos F
10 S. Camello F
21 F. Perez F

Substitutes

1 D. Cardenas G
8 O. Trejo M
15 G. Gumbau M
18 A. Garcia M
22 Pacha D
9 Alemao F
14 C. Martin F
33 J. Vertrouwd D
32 N. Mendy D
20 I. Balliu D
16 A. Mumin D
11 R. Nteka M

Assistant Sportiko

Fonctionnalités, le concours ou le football

Inscrivez-vous gratuitement pour discuter avec l'Assistant Sportiko — posez vos questions sur les prédictions, le concours, tout ce qui touche au football.

Inscription gratuite Vous avez déjà un compte ? Connectez-vous