Villarreal vs Celta Vigo Prédiction

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

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Celta Vigo

Away

Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Villarreal

56%

23%

21%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Villarreal vs Celta Vigo : Sportiko estime que Villarreal a 56% de chances de s'imposer, Celta Vigo 21% et le match nul 23%. Dernière mise à jour : 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Villarreal secured a 2–1 home victory over Celta Vigo in La Liga Matchday 32, with the hosts striking early to set the tone. Gerard Moreno converted a penalty inside two minutes, and Nicolas Pépé added a second with a composed finish in the 29th minute to give Villarreal a commanding 2–0 lead at half-time. The match was feisty throughout, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides before the break alone.

Celta Vigo, who enjoyed the majority of possession at 53% and actually edged the expected goals metric at 2.08 to 1.72, gave themselves a foothold when Borja Iglesias converted a penalty on 73 minutes — though the striker was immediately booked following his celebration. Despite a flurry of late substitutions from both managers, Celta could not find the equaliser, and Villarreal held on for a valuable three points.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that proved correct. The Yellow Submarine's clinical early burst ultimately proved the difference despite Celta's statistical dominance in the second half.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Gerard Moreno Penalty

2' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 14'

Marcos Alonso Yellow Card

Alfonso Pedraza Yellow Card

18' ▮

▮ 29'

Ionuț Radu Yellow Card

Nicolas Pépé assist: Alfonso Pedraza

29' ⚽ 2–0

Nicolas Pépé Yellow Card

42' ▮

▮ 45+3'

Pablo Durán Yellow Card

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

Pablo Durán ⇄ Ferran Jutglà

Pape Gueye Yellow Card

70' ▮

⚽ 2–1 73'

Borja Iglesias Penalty

▮ 74'

Borja Iglesias Yellow Card

⇄ 76'

Marcos Alonso ⇄ Iago Aspas

⇄ 76'

Hugo Álvarez ⇄ Alvaro Núñez

⇄ 76'

Hugo Sotelo ⇄ Fer López

Pape Gueye ⇄ Dani Parejo

78' ⇄

Alfonso Pedraza ⇄ Sergi Cardona

78' ⇄

Nicolas Pépé ⇄ Alfon González

78' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Borja Iglesias

Georges Mikautadze ⇄ Ayoze Pérez

85' ⇄

Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Thomas Partey

90+2' ⇄

▮ 90+4'

Ilaix Moriba Yellow Card

▮ 90+5'

Iago Aspas Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Villarreal

Match Stats

Celta Vigo

47% Ball Possession 53%

1.72 Expected Goals (xG) 2.08

13 Total Shots 9

4 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 4

4 Blocked Shots 2

8 Shots insidebox 8

5 Shots outsidebox 1

7 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 2

13 Fouls 16

3 Yellow Cards 6

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

484 Total passes 544

438 Passes accurate 484

90% Passes % 89%

-0.30 goals_prevented -0.30

Villarreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Nicolas Pépé M	7.9	78'	1	–	1	33 (30%)	3
3 Alexander Freeman D	7.7	90'	–	–	–	52 (50%)	2
7 Gerard Moreno F	7.7	90'	1	–	1	38 (35%)	–
12 Renato Veiga D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	67 (62%)	1
4 Rafa Marín D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	57 (55%)	3
20 Alberto Moleiro M	7.3	89'	–	–	–	41 (37%)	1
25 Arnau Tenas G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	–
18 Pape Gueye M	6.9	78'	–	–	3	49 (44%)	–
14 Santi Comesaña M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	1
9 Georges Mikautadze F	6.7	85'	–	–	2	14 (11%)	–
24 Alfonso Pedraza D	6.6	78'	–	1	–	25 (23%)	1
11 Alfon González F	6.6	12'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
23 Sergi Cardona D	6.6	12'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	–
10 Dani Parejo M	6.6	12'	–	–	–	17 (16%)	–
22 Ayoze Pérez F	6.5	10'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
16 Thomas Partey M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Celta Vigo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 Borja Iglesias F	7.7	83'	1	–	1	14 (12%)	–
3 Óscar Mingueza M	7.7	90'	–	–	–	65 (61%)	–
20 Marcos Alonso D	6.9	76'	–	–	–	65 (60%)	4
22 Hugo Sotelo M	6.9	76'	–	–	–	64 (56%)	2
14 Alvaro Núñez D	6.9	14'	–	–	–	16 (16%)	–
29 Yoel Lago D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	56 (55%)	3
10 Iago Aspas F	6.7	14'	–	–	1	9 (6%)	–
13 Ionuț Radu G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
6 Ilaix Moriba M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
18 Pablo Durán F	6.5	45'	–	–	1	12 (10%)	–
23 Hugo Álvarez F	6.3	76'	–	–	2	33 (28%)	1
8 Fer López M	6.3	14'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
30 Hugo González F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
32 Javi Rodríguez D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	72 (68%)	–
5 Sergio Carreira M	6.2	90'	–	–	1	47 (39%)	–
9 Ferran Jutglà F	6.0	45'	–	–	1	17 (10%)	–

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Villarreal

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Villarreal

WWLLL

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga match, Villarreal hosts Celta Vigo at Estadio de la Cerámica. Villarreal has shown improved form, currently sitting mid-table with a strong home record, winning 60% of their last six matches at home. Celta Vigo, on the other hand, struggles with consistency, often relying on their counter-attacking play but facing defensive vulnerabilities, particularly on the road. Historically, Villarreal has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 70% of their last five encounters. Expect a tactical battle where Villarreal's possession-based approach could exploit Celta's defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	6	3	1
1	10	11	6	2	1
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Villarreal goals · most likely 1–1 (10.8%)

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Players in form

Villarreal

P. Gueye 3 gls

Alberto Moleiro 2 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

1 Villarreal Wins

1 Draws

1 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Aug 2025	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	Villarreal
23 Apr 2025	Celta Vigo	3 - 0	Villarreal
26 Aug 2024	Villarreal	4 - 3	Celta Vigo

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Levante	W	3 - 1
17 Sep	A Malaga	W	1 - 3
14 Sep	H Real Betis	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 2
05 Sep	H Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 3

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Marcelino

25 Tenas

24 Pedraza

12 Veiga

4 Marin

3 Freeman

20 Moleiro

18 Gueye

14 Comesana

19 Pepe

9 Mikautadze

7 Moreno

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
25	A. Tenas	G
3	A. Freeman	D
4	R. Marin	D
12	R. Veiga	D
24	A. Pedraza	D
19	N. Pepe	M
14	S. Comesana	M
18	P. Gueye	M
20	A. Moleiro	M
7	G. Moreno	F
9	G. Mikautadze	F

Substitutes

1	Luiz Junior	G
10	D. Parejo	M
2	L. Costa	D
23	S. Cardona	D
5	W. Kambwala	D
16	T. Partey	M
22	A. Perez	F
11	A. Gonzalez	F
21	T. Oluwaseyi	F
6	P. Navarro	D
32	H. Lopez	F

Celta Vigo

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Claudio Giraldez

13 Radu

20 Alonso

29 Lago

32 Rodriguez

5 Carreira

6 Moriba

22 Sotelo

3 Mingueza

23 Alvarez

18 Duran

7 Iglesias

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	I. Radu	G
32	J. Rodriguez	D
29	Y. Lago	D
20	M. Alonso	D
3	O. Mingueza	M
22	H. Sotelo	M
6	I. Moriba	M
5	S. Carreira	M
18	P. Duran	F
23	H. Alvarez	F
7	B. Iglesias	F

Substitutes

1	I. Villar	G
30	H. Gonzalez	F
39	J. El Abdellaoui	F
12	M. Fernandez	D
36	A. Antanon	M
10	I. Aspas	F
21	M. Ristic	D
9	F. Jutgla	F
17	J. Rueda	D
14	A. Nunez	D
24	C. Dominguez	D
8	F. Lopez	M