PAU vs Sochaux Prédiction

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 5

Post on X

Sochaux

Away

Prédiction IA PAU ou match nul

39%

31%

30%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic PAU vs Sochaux : Sportiko estime que PAU a 39% de chances de s'imposer, Sochaux 30% et le match nul 31%. Dernière mise à jour : 4 Sep 2026, 19:58.

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1st Half Home or Draw 76%
L'équipe à domicile marque 73%
Plus de 1,5 buts 72%

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Timeline

▮ 20'

Samy Baghdadi Yellow Card

Lorenzo Rajot

29' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

30' ▮

▮ 30'

Yellow Card

▮ 34'

Saad Agouzoul Yellow Card

HT 1–0

⇄ 56'

Landry Nomel ⇄ B. Gomel

⇄ 56'

Samy Baghdadi ⇄ Bendjaloud Youssouf

⇄ 65'

Dalangunypole Gomis ⇄ Dylan Tavares

⇄ 65'

Boubacar Fofana ⇄ Mathis Clairicia

⚽ 1–1 66'

Mathis Clairicia assist: Bendjaloud Youssouf

Lorenzo Rajot ⇄ Luan Gadegbeku

68' ⇄

B. Leye ⇄ Alexis Lefebvre

72' ⇄

Cheikh Fall ⇄ Bilal Brahimi

72' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Kapit Djoco ⇄ Jonathan Mexique

Anthony Briançon ⇄ Rony Mimb Baheng

82' ⇄

Tom Pouilly ⇄ Mathys Tourraine

82' ⇄

Mathys Tourraine Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 1–1

PAU

Match Stats

Sochaux

55% Ball Possession 45%

19 Total Shots 11

7 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 5

6 Blocked Shots 3

13 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 4

8 Corner Kicks 1

7 Offsides 4

21 Fouls 15

1 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

422 Total passes 356

345 Passes accurate 286

15 Free Kicks 20

PAU

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
5 Lorenzo Rajot M	8.2	68'	1	–	2	24 (21%)	–
2 Tom Pouilly D	7.4	82'	–	–	2	45 (34%)	–
21 Jessy Benet M	7.1	90'	–	–	–	49 (38%)	4
23 Anthony Briançon D	7.1	82'	–	–	1	38 (36%)	–
4 Axel Dodote D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	44 (39%)	1
7 Hacene Benali F	7.0	90'	–	–	2	22 (18%)	3
29 Gaëtan Paquiez D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	2
6 Cheikh Fall M	6.7	72'	–	–	2	17 (13%)	3
39 Mathys Tourraine D	6.6	8'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	1
11 Alexis Lefebvre F	6.6	18'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	–
1 Brice Maubleu G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	–
22 Rony Mimb Baheng D	6.5	8'	–	–	1	9 (8%)	–
10 Bilal Brahimi M	6.4	18'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
27 Luan Gadegbeku M	6.4	22'	–	–	1	13 (11%)	–
97 Akim Abdallah D	6.1	90'	–	–	1	42 (32%)	–
9 B. Leye F	6.0	72'	–	–	5	19 (13%)	2

Sochaux

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
91 Mathis Clairicia F	7.9	25'	1	–	2	3 (1%)	–
40 Mehdi Jeannin G	7.7	90'	–	–	–	42 (26%)	–
14 Mathieu Peybernes D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	42 (40%)	1
26 Élie N'Gatta D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	47 (40%)	1
17 Bendjaloud Youssouf D	6.6	34'	–	1	–	11 (7%)	1
7 B. Gomel F	6.6	34'	–	–	1	10 (8%)	–
23 Julien Masson M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	2
9 Kapit Djoco F	6.4	82'	–	–	3	18 (12%)	–
42 Dylan Tavares D	6.3	25'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
21 Bakary Diawara M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	25 (22%)	–
77 Landry Nomel M	6.2	56'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
15 Jonathan Mexique M	6.2	8'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
3 Dalangunypole Gomis D	6.1	65'	–	–	–	37 (30%)	–
5 Samy Baghdadi M	6.1	56'	–	–	–	18 (11%)	–
10 Boubacar Fofana M	5.9	65'	–	–	3	9 (5%)	–
97 Saad Agouzoul D	5.8	52'	–	–	1	41 (38%)	1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Notre approche

PAU ou match nul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.6%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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PAU

WLDDL

Sochaux

DWDDW

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, PAU will face Sochaux on September 4, 2026. PAU's recent form has shown a potential uptick in offensive output, boasting a goal conversion rate of around 15% in their last five matches. Conversely, Sochaux has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game in the same period. The matchup will likely hinge on PAU's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities while Sochaux must tighten their defense to avoid another disappointing result. This contest promises to be a competitive encounter as both teams look to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sochaux goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	8	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ PAU goals · most likely 1–1 (14.6%)

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Players in form

PAU

B. Leye 3 gls

Sochaux

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	8.1%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.6%	14.6%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.5%	8.5%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
3	3.3%	3.8%	2.1%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PAU	Draw	Sochaux
PAU	25.0%	4.6%	1.6%
Draw	13.5%	19.5%	11.5%
Sochaux	1.7%	4.3%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PAU vs Sochaux

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

PAU — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Dunkerque	W	2 - 0
11 Sep	A Montpellier	L	1 - 0
04 Sep	H Sochaux	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Rodez	D	2 - 2
21 Aug	H Nancy	L	0 - 1

Sochaux — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Laval	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Nantes	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A PAU	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	A Clermont Foot	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Guingamp	W	1 - 0

Ligue 2 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	7	5	1	1	19	8	+11	16
2	RED Star FC 93	7	4	2	1	9	7	+2	14
3	Reims	7	3	4	0	15	9	+6	13
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6	5	+1	12
5	Metz	7	2	4	1	10	7	+3	10
6	Nancy	7	3	1	3	8	7	+1	10
7	Annecy	7	3	1	3	9	9	0	10
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4	5	-1	10
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10	10	0	9
10	PAU	7	2	2	3	6	6	0	8
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2	8
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14	16	-2	7
15	Nantes	7	2	1	4	9	13	-4	7
16	Clermont Foot	7	0	6	1	4	6	-2	6
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3	5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8	14	-6	5