Estrela vs Rio Ave Prédiction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Rio Ave

Away

Prédiction IA Estrela ou match nul

42%

35%

24%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Estrela vs Rio Ave : Sportiko estime que Estrela a 42% de chances de s'imposer, Rio Ave 24% et le match nul 35%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:0 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

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Estrela

LDWDW

Rio Ave

LDLLW

Last 3 meetings Estrela · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Estrela will face Rio Ave. Estrela currently holds a modest position in the league, having secured 30 points from 24 matches, while Rio Ave is slightly ahead with 34 points. Estrela's recent form shows they have struggled to convert chances, averaging only 1 goal per match in their last five outings. Conversely, Rio Ave has shown a resilient defense, conceding just 1.2 goals per match in their recent fixtures. This match could hinge on Estrela's ability to break down Rio Ave's solid backline.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rio Ave goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	17	10	5	1
1	15	15	5	1
2	9	7	3	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Estrela goals · most likely 0–0 (16.7%)

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Players in form

Estrela

A. Marcus 4 gls

L. Antonetti 4 gls

I. Stoica 4 gls

Rio Ave

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

35%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

35%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 35% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.7%	10.0%	4.6%	1.2%	0.2%
1	15.1%	14.8%	5.1%	1.3%	0.3%
2	9.4%	7.3%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	3.5%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

34%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estrela	Draw	Rio Ave
Estrela	24.7%	3.8%	1.0%
Draw	16.8%	24.9%	10.5%
Rio Ave	1.4%	3.7%	13.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estrela vs Rio Ave

0 Estrela Wins

1 Draws

2 Rio Ave Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Sep 2026	Rio Ave	3 - 3	Estrela
15 Mar 2026	Rio Ave	2 - 1	Estrela
25 Oct 2025	Estrela	1 - 2	Rio Ave

Voir les 7 confrontations — Premium

Estrela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Academico Viseu	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Rio Ave	D	3 - 3
10 Sep	H SC Braga	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Famalicao	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Nacional	W	2 - 3

Rio Ave — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Alverca	L	1 - 0
14 Sep	H Estrela	D	3 - 3
06 Sep	A Santa Clara	L	4 - 0
28 Aug	H Sporting CP	L	0 - 4
22 Aug	A Estoril	W	0 - 2

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.