Lorient vs Le Mans Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

06 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Le Mans

Away

Prédiction IA Trop serré pour trancher

37%

28%

35%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lorient vs Le Mans : Sportiko estime que Lorient a 37% de chances de s'imposer, Le Mans 35% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Lorient

LDWLD

Le Mans

WDDLD

Last 1 meetings Lorient · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Lorient currently sits mid-table in Ligue 1, showcasing a solid home record with a focus on defensive stability, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. In contrast, Le Mans has struggled in the league, facing challenges in both scoring and defense, averaging 1 goal per game while allowing 1.5 goals. Lorient's ability to control possession and create chances could exploit Le Mans’ defensive frailties. With both teams seeking crucial points, this match could hinge on Lorient's attacking efficiency against Le Mans' defensive vulnerabilities. The outcome will likely depend on whether Le Mans can tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Mans goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	6	3	1
1	6	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	2	1	1
5

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

35%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 35% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

81%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	6.2%	5.6%	2.7%	1.0%
1	6.4%	13.0%	8.4%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.6%	6.2%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.9%	4.3%	3.1%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.1%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lorient	Draw	Le Mans
Lorient	22.3%	4.7%	2.3%
Draw	13.4%	16.4%	12.9%
Le Mans	2.3%	4.7%	21.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Le Mans

0 Lorient Wins

0 Draws

1 Le Mans Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Le Mans	2 - 1	Lorient

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.