Lorient vs Auxerre Prédiction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

02 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Auxerre

Away

Prédiction IA Auxerre ou match nul

24%

32%

44%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Lorient vs Auxerre : Sportiko estime que Lorient a 24% de chances de s'imposer, Auxerre 44% et le match nul 32%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Lorient

LDWLD

Auxerre

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Lorient · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lorient hosts Auxerre, both teams vying for crucial points. Lorient's recent form shows a mixed bag, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match, while their defense has conceded 1.5 goals on average. Auxerre, however, has struggled on the road, averaging just 0.8 goals per game while allowing 1.6 goals. Key players to watch include Lorient's leading scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Auxerre's playmaker, who contributes significantly to their attacking plays. This match could hinge on Lorient's ability to convert chances against a vulnerable Auxerre defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

24%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

44%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Auxerre goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	13	9	4	1
1	8	15	8	4	1
2	5	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ Lorient goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

32%

Home Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

32%

Home Win

24%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 24% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.9%	12.8%	9.3%	4.0%	1.3%
1	8.4%	14.7%	8.4%	3.6%	1.2%
2	4.5%	5.9%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
3	1.4%	1.8%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lorient	Draw	Auxerre
Lorient	13.9%	4.1%	1.8%
Draw	10.2%	21.6%	17.0%
Auxerre	1.2%	4.0%	26.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Auxerre

0 Lorient Wins

1 Draws

2 Auxerre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2026	Lorient	2 - 2	Auxerre
17 Aug 2025	Auxerre	1 - 0	Lorient
26 Feb 2023	Lorient	0 - 1	Auxerre

Voir les 8 confrontations — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Le Mans	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Lens	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Estac Troyes	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Nice	D	0 - 0

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.